Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.5800 (-0.35%) ($28.5300 - $28.6500) on Wed. Jan. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.71% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $28.5800(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(89%)    HYG(70%)    JNK(70%)    CEMB(68%)    LQD(66%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    TBT(-20%)    VIXM(-16%)    DIA(-6%)    XHB(-3%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.355% (StdDev 0.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $28.6
5 Day Moving Average   $28.65(-0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.7(-0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.6(-0.07%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.7% (three month std-dev: 0.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_25_2017	29.18	28.6	28.7	28.65			28.58(-0.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4	-10000	-1	-12	1.35	28%	-0.07	61.4	0.71%	0	-0.1	56	0
2	Jan_24_2017	29.2	28.58	28.71	28.66			28.68(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	-10000	-3	1	1.46	28%	-0.03	63.6	0.7%	0	0.5	67	0
3	Jan_23_2017	29.21	28.56	28.71	28.69			28.77(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	7	-10000	1	23	3.84	28%	-0.07	70.4	0.7%	0	0.9	72	0
4	Jan_20_2017	29.23	28.53	28.72	28.68			28.61(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-10000	-5	33	1.09	28%	-0.03	67.9	0.7%	0	0.3	68	0
5	Jan_19_2017	29.24	28.5	28.72	28.73			28.59(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	13	-10000	-2	57	1.2	28%	-0.1	64.8	0.7%	0	0.3	69	0

6	Jan_18_2017	29.27	28.48	28.74	28.75			28.67(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	17	-10000	-2	72	1.34	28%	-0.07	64.2	0.7%	0	0.7	74	0
7	Jan_17_2017	29.29	28.44	28.7	28.77			28.83(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	21	-10000	1	80	1.23	28%	-0.1	61.2	0.7%	0	1.4	84	0
8	Jan_13_2017	29.32	28.39	28.65	28.76			28.72(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	20	-10000	-1	83	1.42	27%	-0.07	51.9	0.7%	0	1.1	84	0
9	Jan_12_2017	29.34	28.36	28.61	28.77			28.82(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	24	-10000	1	91	1.39	26%	-0.03	50.5	0.7%	0	1.5	90	0
10	Jan_11_2017	29.35	28.33	28.55	28.76			28.73(-0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	27	-10000	4	97	1.55	24%	-0.07	56.9	0.7%	0	1.4	90	0

11	Jan_10_2017	29.37	28.3	28.5	28.72			28.74(-0.17%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.1	31	-10000	9	96	1.33	24%	-0.07	58.6	0.71%	0	1.6	91	0
12	Jan_9_2017	29.39	28.27	28.44	28.63			28.79(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	11	90	0.83	24%	-0.07	59.8	0.71%	0	2	96	0
13	Jan_6_2017	29.41	28.24	28.37	28.52			28.78(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	1.1	28	-10000	10	81	1.2	24%	-0.07	64.2	0.71%	0	2.3	97	0
14	Jan_5_2017	29.43	28.21	28.31	28.42			28.78(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	26	-10000	12	67	1.43	24%	-0.07	70.1	0.71%	0	3	72	0
15	Jan_4_2017	29.45	28.17	28.24	28.3			28.5(0.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	15	-10000	6	42	2.19	18%	-0.07	80.4	0.69%	0	2.5	56	0

16	Jan_3_2017	29.47	28.14	28.19	28.24			28.28(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	1	28	6.01	16%	-0.14	71.8	0.69%	0	1.3	55	0
17	Dec_30_2016	29.51	28.12	28.16	28.23			28.26(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	-10000	3	21	1.5	16%	-0.07	48	0.69%	0	1	55	0
18	Dec_29_2016	29.53	28.09	28.12	28.2			28.27(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	2	8	0.69	16%	-0.07	34	0.69%	0	1.2	51	0
19	Dec_28_2016	29.55	28.08	28.1	28.18			28.21(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	3	1	0.57	16%	-0.07	22.6	0.69%	0	0.9	47	0
20	Dec_27_2016	29.57	28.07	28.11	28.15			28.2(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	3	3	0.6	16%	-0.1	17	0.69%	0	0.9	54	0

21	Dec_23_2016	29.6	28.06	28.1	28.12			28.19(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	5	4	0.72	16%	-0.07	16	0.69%	0	0.9	60	0
22	Dec_22_2016	29.62	28.05	28.1	28.07			28.14(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	5	-10000	5	5	0.96	20%	-0.07	4	0.69%	0	0.6	63	0
23	Dec_21_2016	29.64	28.05	28.09	28.02			28.16(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	2	-10000	1	6	1.69	27%	-0.07	-16	0.7%	0	0.9	64	0
24	Dec_20_2016	29.66	28.05	28.09	28.01			28.08(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	-10000	-4	12	0.95	27%	-0.07	-18	0.72%	0	0.3	54	0
25	Dec_19_2016	29.68	28.04	28.1	28.05			28.04(0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-10000	-2	20	1.08	29%		-4	0.72%	0	0	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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