Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 7, 2016

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $29.8300 (0.64%) ($29.7600 - $29.8700) on Mon. Nov. 7, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $29.8300(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(89%)    HYG(70%)    JNK(70%)    CEMB(67%)    LQD(66%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    TBT(-21%)    VIXM(-16%)    DIA(-6%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $28.34(-4.99%)
Resistance Level   $29.91
5 Day Moving Average   $29.69(0.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.76(0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.91(-0.27%)
To recent high   -3.6%
To recent low   0.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.77% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2016	30.13	29.91	29.76	29.69			29.83(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-17	-10000	5	-84	3.95	45%	0.03	-81.8	0.44%	0	-0.3	42	0
2	Nov_4_2016	30.12	29.94	29.79	29.66			29.64(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-1	-87	2.82	44%	0.03	-84.5	0.43%	0	-1.2	37	0
3	Nov_3_2016	30.11	29.98	29.84	29.66			29.71(0.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-19	-10000	0	-76	0.99	44%	0.03	-86.2	0.44%	0	-1	40	0
4	Nov_2_2016	30.1	30.01	29.88	29.67			29.64(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-30	-10000	-11	-88	1.12	44%	0.03	-85.6	0.43%	0	-1.4	26	0
5	Nov_1_2016	30.09	30.05	29.91	29.74			29.64(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-32	-10000	-17	-78	2.04	44%	0.03	-82.2	0.44%	0	-1.5	32	0

6	Oct_31_2016	30.08	30.1	29.95	29.85			29.68(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-10000	-14	-62	2.11	44%	0.03	-67.7	0.44%	0	-1.4	29	0
7	Oct_28_2016	30.07	30.15	29.98	29.94			29.66(-0.27%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-27	-10000	-15	-61	1.65	46%	0	-58.1	0.44%	0	-1.7	23	0
8	Oct_27_2016	30.07	30.2	30.01	30.04			29.74(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-10000	-10	-54	1.76	46%	0.03	-50.6	0.44%	0	-1.7	29	0
9	Oct_26_2016	30.06	30.25	30.06	30.04			29.98(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	0	-45	0.94	49%	0.03	-47.7	0.43%	0	-1	33	0
10	Oct_25_2016	30.05	30.28	30.06	30.11			30.17(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	-10000	6	-60	1.07	51%	0.03	-45.3	0.42%	0	-0.4	34	0

11	Oct_24_2016	30.04	30.3	30.07	30.07			30.17(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	8	-84	0.63	51%	0.07	-40.7	0.42%	0	-0.5	32	0
12	Oct_21_2016	30.02	30.32	30.1	30.02			30.14(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-24	-10000	6	-112	1.24	51%	0.07	-37.2	0.42%	0	-0.7	26	0
13	Oct_20_2016	30	30.34	30.12	29.98			30.07(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-37	-10000	-3	-140	1.29	51%	0.03	-29.2	0.42%	0	-1	30	0
14	Oct_19_2016	29.99	30.37	30.15	30			29.99(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-38	-10000	-3	-143	4.71	51%	0.07	-18.6	0.42%	0	-1.5	31	0
15	Oct_18_2016	29.97	30.37	30.2	30.02			29.99(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-10000	-10	-150	1.07	51%	0	-9.3	0.42%	0	-1.6	29	0

16	Oct_17_2016	29.97	30.4	30.26	30.08			29.92(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-49	-10000	-17	-143	1.36	51%	0.03	-4.9	0.42%	0	-1.9	29	0
17	Oct_14_2016	29.96	30.4	30.34	30.19			29.92(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-36	-10000	-14	-103	1.12	49%	0.07	2.4	0.43%	0	-2	32	0
18	Oct_13_2016	29.94	30.4	30.41	30.28			30.19(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-6	-80	1.66	52%	0.07	3.8	0.41%	0	-1	36	0
19	Oct_12_2016	29.92	30.4	30.45	30.32			30.1(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-29	-10000	-13	-78	1.26	52%	0.07	-3.7	0.41%	0	-1.3	29	0
20	Oct_11_2016	29.9	30.42	30.51	30.4			30.25(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-11	-50	0.84	56%	0.07	-11	0.41%	0	-0.7	45	0

21	Oct_10_2016	29.88	30.42	30.55	30.47			30.47(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-8	-11	1.08	60%	0.07	-15.9	0.4%	0	0.2	65	0
22	Oct_7_2016	29.86	30.42	30.56	30.52			30.39(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-8	26	1.27	62%	0.07	-13.4	0.41%	0	-0.1	64	0
23	Oct_6_2016	29.84	30.41	30.58	30.57			30.41(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	14	-10000	-5	71	1.92	62%	0.07	-8.2	0.41%	0	0	68	0
24	Oct_5_2016	29.82	30.43	30.58	30.6			30.49(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	23	-10000	-5	108	1.59	64%	0.07	-1.1	0.41%	0	0.2	63	0
25	Oct_4_2016	29.8	30.45	30.61	30.63			30.57(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	33	-10000	-1	134	2.67	64%		6.3	0.42%	0	0.4	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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