Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 28, 2016

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $30.6500 (0.2%) ($30.5200 - $30.6500) on Wed. Sep. 28, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.44% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $30.6500(0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(89%)    HYG(70%)    JNK(70%)    CEMB(67%)    LQD(66%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.22% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-27%)    TBT(-21%)    VIXM(-16%)    DIA(-5%)    XHB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.22% (StdDev 0.44%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.61(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.38(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.43(0.72%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.95% (three month std-dev: 0.44%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161028

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_28_2016	29.72		30.38	30.61			30.65(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	5	73	1.02	72%	0.07	7.4	0.44%	0	0.8	44	0
2	Sep_27_2016	29.7		30.32	30.58			30.59(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	16	33	0.99	72%	0.07	4.2	0.45%	0	0.6	38	0
3	Sep_26_2016	29.68		30.27	30.47			30.54(-0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	6	-10000	15	-21	0.71	72%	0.07	-5.3	0.45%	0	0.4	43	0
4	Sep_23_2016	29.66	30.43	30.25	30.37			30.6(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	-10000	20	-47	5.27	68%	0.07	-16.8	0.47%	0	0.6	50	0
5	Sep_22_2016	29.64	30.42	30.25	30.23			30.69(0.76%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-9	-10000	17	-85	1.58	69%	0.07	-33.7	0.47%	0	1	53	0

6	Sep_21_2016	29.62	30.41	30.22	30.11			30.46(1.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-20	-10000	10	-110	1.01	67%	0.07	-47.8	0.47%	0	0.2	46	0
7	Sep_20_2016	29.6	30.42	30.26	30.11			30.06(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	-10000	0	-131	1.71	64%	0.07	-54.3	0.44%	0	-1.3	35	0
8	Sep_19_2016	29.58	30.45	30.33	30.04			30.06(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-40	-10000	-10	-129	0.83	64%	0.03	-56.2	0.44%	0	-1.4	35	0
9	Sep_16_2016	29.57	30.48	30.38	30.11			29.9(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-10000	-15	-118	1.48	63%	0.07	-52.9	0.44%	0	-2.2	35	0
10	Sep_15_2016	29.55	30.52	30.44	30.21			30.09(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-41	-10000	-21	-100	2.24	66%	0.03	-45.8	0.43%	0	-2	39	0

11	Sep_14_2016	29.54	30.54	30.5	30.35			30.08(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-36	-10000	-26	-65	1.41	63%	0.07	-29.2	0.43%	0	-2.3	39	0
12	Sep_13_2016	29.52	30.57	30.55	30.52			30.09(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-21	-10000	-21	-19	1.64	61%	0.07	-3.6	0.44%	0	-2.8	36	0
13	Sep_12_2016	29.5	30.6	30.61	30.66			30.37(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.2	2	-10000	-5	22	2.84	65%	0.03	33.3	0.43%	0	-1.8	44	0
14	Sep_9_2016	29.49	30.61	30.63	30.69			30.42(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2.3	6	-10000	-1	28	1.96	65%	0.07	61.5	0.43%	0	-1.6	44	0
15	Sep_8_2016	29.47	30.62	30.64	30.7			30.79(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	7	30	1.28	72%	0.07	83.3	0.4%	0	1.5	53	0

16	Sep_7_2016	29.45	30.6	30.62	30.66			30.95(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	12	-10000	10	16	2.9	75%	0.1	91.7	0.39%	0	3.2	64	0
17	Sep_6_2016	29.42	30.58	30.58	30.6			30.76(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	4	-10000	5	0	1.59	74%	0.1	130.8	0.39%	0	2.3	60	0
18	Sep_2_2016	29.39	30.55	30.56	30.6			30.54(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	-10000	0	-9	0.81	75%	0.03	89.7	0.39%	0	-0.1	48	0
19	Sep_1_2016	29.38	30.54	30.57	30.6			30.48(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3	-10000	0	-11	2.43	75%	0.07	76.1	0.39%	0	-0.4	41	0
20	Aug_31_2016	29.36	30.53	30.57	30.57			30.58(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	2	1	0.66	75%	0.07	69.6	0.39%	0	0.3	58	0

21	Aug_30_2016	29.34	30.5	30.59	30.57			30.63(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	0	-2	0.97	75%	0.1	59.1	0.39%	0	0.6	56	0
22	Aug_29_2016	29.31	30.47	30.59	30.56			30.63(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10000	2	5	0.87	75%	0.07	58	0.39%	0	0.8	62	0
23	Aug_26_2016	29.29	30.45	30.58	30.55			30.51(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-5	13	1.28	74%	0.07	59.4	0.39%	0	0.3	64	0
24	Aug_25_2016	29.27	30.43	30.58	30.58			30.51(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	-10000	-5	41	1.03	74%	0.07	59.2	0.39%	0	0.3	69	0
25	Aug_24_2016	29.25	30.41	30.59	30.61			30.51(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-10000	-4	65	2.07	74%		60.8	0.39%	0	0.4	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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