Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $30.5100 (-0.42%) ($30.4900 - $30.6800) on Wed. Aug. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.39% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $30.5100(-0.42%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(89%)    HYG(70%)    JNK(70%)    CEMB(67%)    LQD(66%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-27%)    TBT(-21%)    VIXM(-16%)    DIA(-5%)    IPO(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.195% (StdDev 0.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.61(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.59(-0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.41(0.33%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   7.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.79% (three month std-dev: 0.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160924

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_24_2016	29.25	30.41		30.61			30.51(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	13	-10000	-4	65	2.07	74%	0.1	60.8	0.39%	0	0.4	67	0
2	Aug_23_2016	29.22	30.38	30.59	30.63			30.64(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	28	-10000	4	101	0.84	77%	0.07	61	0.38%	0	1	78	0
3	Aug_22_2016	29.2	30.35	30.57	30.63			30.59(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	28	-10000	0	112	1.4	77%	0.07	57.3	0.39%	0	1	79	0
4	Aug_19_2016	29.18	30.32	30.55	30.63			30.63(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	-10000	0	125	0.57	73%	0.07	57.3	0.39%	0	1.2	74	0
5	Aug_18_2016	29.16	30.29	30.51	30.61			30.68(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	38	-10000	7	130	0.82	68%	0.1	60.8	0.39%	0	1.6	72	0

6	Aug_17_2016	29.13	30.26	30.46	30.57			30.61(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	-10000	3	123	2.76	68%	0.07	55.3	0.41%	0	1.5	74	0
7	Aug_16_2016	29.11	30.23	30.4	30.55			30.55(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	33	-10000	3	123	4.72	68%	0.1	54.8	0.41%	0	1.5	72	0
8	Aug_15_2016	29.08	30.21	30.35	30.53			30.58(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	-10000	8	120	2.35	68%	0.03	52.9	0.42%	0	1.8	76	0
9	Aug_12_2016	29.07	30.18	30.3	30.48			30.62(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	-10000	14	114	0.72	66%	0.1	46	0.42%	0	2.3	74	0
10	Aug_11_2016	29.04	30.15	30.25	30.39			30.48(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	31	-10000	10	94	0.87	66%	0.07	37.7	0.42%	0	2.1	65	0

11	Aug_10_2016	29.02	30.14	30.21	30.33			30.54(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	32	-10000	16	81	0.84	66%	0.1	45.7	0.42%	0	2.9	68	0
12	Aug_9_2016	28.99	30.11	30.15	30.23			30.43(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	23	-10000	13	54	0.69	66%	0.07	48.6	0.42%	0	2.9	66	0
13	Aug_8_2016	28.97	30.1	30.11	30.15			30.31(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	11	-10000	6	25	0.88	66%	0.07	53.3	0.42%	0	2.3	63	0
14	Aug_5_2016	28.95	30.1	30.11	30.11			30.17(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	4	-10000	1	12	1.05	64%	0.07	81.5	0.42%	0	1	58	0
15	Aug_4_2016	28.93	30.09	30.07	30.1			30.2(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8	-10000	5	15	0.81	64%	0.07	100	0.42%	0	1.2	58	0

16	Aug_3_2016	28.91	30.07	30.07	30.07			30.05(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	-10000	1	-3	1.6	63%	0.1	89.2	0.41%	0	-0.2	36	0
17	Aug_2_2016	28.88	30.06	30.05	30.06			30.01(-0.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-2	-10000	1	-10	1.24	63%	0.07	110	0.42%	0	-0.4	38	0
18	Aug_1_2016	28.86	30.05	30.06	30.05			30.1(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	-10000	1	-16	2.07	63%	0.07	142.5	0.41%	0	0.4	46	0
19	Jul_29_2016	28.84	30.03	30.05	30.04			30.16(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-5	-10000	3	-30	1.56	63%	0.07	130.2	0.41%	0	0.8	42	0
20	Jul_28_2016	28.82	30	30.04	30.02			30.02(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	-10000	-1	-38	0.94	62%	0.07	120.6	0.41%	0	0.1	46	0

21	Jul_27_2016	28.8	29.97	30.06	30.03			30.03(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-10000	-1	-19	0.82	63%	0.1	117.8	0.41%	0	0.3	60	0
22	Jul_26_2016	28.77	29.93	30.07	30.04			29.96(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-10000	-3	-1	1.11	63%	0.07	94.8	0.42%	0	0.1	61	0
23	Jul_25_2016	28.75	29.88	30.09	30.04			30.01(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-10000	0	20	1.25	60%	0.07	78.2	0.42%	0	0.4	63	0
24	Jul_22_2016	28.73	29.82	30.11	30.04			30.09(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	0	51	1	60%	0.07	67.6	0.42%	0	0.6	75	0
25	Jul_21_2016	28.71	29.77	30.12	30.06			30.08(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-10000	-5	72	1.67	57%		69.7	0.42%	0	0.7	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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