Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jul. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $30.0900 (0.03%) ($30.0600 - $30.1300) on Fri. Jul. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.42% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $30.0900(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(89%)    HYG(70%)    JNK(70%)    CEMB(67%)    LQD(66%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-27%)    TBT(-21%)    VIXM(-17%)    DIA(-5%)    IPO(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.21% (StdDev 0.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.06(0.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.11(-0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.82(0.91%)
To recent high   -0.5%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 0.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160822

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_22_2016	28.73	29.82	30.11				30.09(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	0	51	1	60%	0.07	67.6	0.42%	0	0.6	75	0
2	Jul_21_2016	28.71	29.77	30.12	30.06			30.08(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	14	-10000	-5	72	1.67	57%	0.07	69.7	0.42%	0	0.7	73	0
3	Jul_20_2016	28.69	29.72	30.1	30.09			30.06(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	22	-10000	-3	97	0.71	57%	0.1	71.5	0.44%	0	0.7	76	0
4	Jul_19_2016	28.66	29.66	30.07	30.11			30.05(0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	31	-10000	-3	134	4.33	58%	0.07	70.3	0.44%	0	0.8	82	0
5	Jul_18_2016	28.64	29.59	30.05	30.13			30.04(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	41	-10000	-6	180	0.98	58%	0.1	68.7	0.44%	0	0.8	84	0

6	Jul_15_2016	28.61	29.53	30.01	30.17			30.06(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	57	-10000	-1	231	1.64	56%	0.1	65.3	0.44%	0	0.9	86	0
7	Jul_14_2016	28.58	29.45	29.96	30.18			30.23(0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	74	-10000	10	264	1.29	58%	0.11	62.4	0.44%	0	1.3	76	0
8	Jul_13_2016	28.55	29.37	29.88	30.11			30.18(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	78	-10000	12	275	0.64	60%	0.11	55.8	0.44%	0	1.4	77	0
9	Jul_12_2016	28.52	29.29	29.78	30.03			30.14(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	74	-10000	10	267	1.01	60%	0.11	52.4	0.45%	0	1.5	79	0
10	Jul_11_2016	28.49	29.23	29.65	29.96			30.25(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	83	-10000	21	270	2.25	61%	0.11	51.9	0.44%	0	1.9	82	0

11	Jul_8_2016	28.46	29.16	29.5	29.82			30.1(0.8%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	74	-10000	17	243	0.93	59%	0.11	52.8	0.44%	0	2	82	0
12	Jul_7_2016	28.43	29.1	29.4	29.71			29.86(0.27%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	71	-10000	13	244	0.98	55%	0.07	57.6	0.43%	0	1.8	81	0
13	Jul_6_2016	28.41	29.05	29.3	29.63			29.78(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	76	-10000	21	239	1.29	55%	0.11	65.6	0.44%	0	1.9	80	0
14	Jul_5_2016	28.38	29	29.2	29.49			29.79(0.81%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	77	-10000	30	217	1.64	55%	0.11	70.1	0.44%	0	2.3	77	0
15	Jul_1_2016	28.35	28.95	29.09	29.3			29.55(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	-10000	26	169	5.59	53%	0.11	74.2	0.43%	0	2.1	67	0

16	Jun_30_2016	28.32	28.91	29	29.14			29.58(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	40	-10000	16	111	1.52	53%	0.11	70	0.43%	0	2.6	62	0
17	Jun_29_2016	28.29	28.86	28.9	29.04			29.43(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	31	-10000	17	73	0.73	51%	0.07	70	0.42%	0	2.5	59	0
18	Jun_28_2016	28.27	28.8	28.82	28.94			29.1(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	-10000	12	24	0.74	47%	0.11	68.1	0.4%	0	1.5	49	0
19	Jun_27_2016	28.24	28.77	28.77	28.87			28.85(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	4	-11	0.84	43%	0.04	65.2	0.39%	0	0.4	47	0
20	Jun_24_2016	28.23	28.75	28.76	28.85			28.74(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-2	-10000	4	-20	6.04	43%	0.07	58.9	0.39%	0	-0	46	0

21	Jun_23_2016	28.21	28.73	28.79	28.83			29.08(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	-10000	17	-12	1.57	44%	0.07	57.1	0.36%	0	1.6	61	0
22	Jun_22_2016	28.19	28.7	28.77	28.74			28.92(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	11	-19	8.41	41%	0.07	45.5	0.38%	0	1	66	0
23	Jun_21_2016	28.17	28.67	28.78	28.68			28.78(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	5	-9	0.42	39%	0.07	31.2	0.37%	0	0.5	67	0
24	Jun_20_2016	28.15	28.65	28.79	28.65			28.74(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	-10000	-4	7	0.58	39%	0.04	19	0.37%	0	0.4	66	0
25	Jun_17_2016	28.14	28.63	28.8	28.67			28.65(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-11	33	0.56	43%		14.9	0.37%	0	0.1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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