Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 24, 2016

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.7400 (-1.17%) ($28.6100 - $28.8200) on Fri. Jun. 24, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.39% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $28.7400(-1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(89%)    HYG(70%)    JNK(69%)    CEMB(67%)    LQD(66%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-27%)    TBT(-21%)    VIXM(-17%)    DIA(-5%)    XHB(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.195% (StdDev 0.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $28.75
5 Day Moving Average   $28.85(-0.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.76(-0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.75(-0.03%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.73% (three month std-dev: 0.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_24_2016	28.23	28.75	28.76	28.85			28.74(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-2	-10000	4	-20	6.04	43%	0.07	58.9	0.39%	0	-0	46	0
2	Jun_23_2016	28.21	28.73	28.79	28.83			29.08(0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	10	-10000	17	-12	1.57	44%	0.07	57.1	0.36%	0	1.6	61	0
3	Jun_22_2016	28.19	28.7	28.77	28.74			28.92(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	-10000	11	-19	8.41	41%	0.07	45.5	0.38%	0	1	66	0
4	Jun_21_2016	28.17	28.67	28.78	28.68			28.78(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	-10000	5	-9	0.42	39%	0.07	31.2	0.37%	0	0.5	67	0
5	Jun_20_2016	28.15	28.65	28.79	28.65			28.74(0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	-10000	-4	7	0.58	39%	0.04	19	0.37%	0	0.4	66	0

6	Jun_17_2016	28.14	28.63	28.8	28.67			28.65(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-10000	-11	33	0.56	43%	0.07	14.9	0.37%	0	0.1	64	0
7	Jun_16_2016	28.12	28.61	28.82	28.73			28.62(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10000	-12	69	0.59	47%	0.07	12.1	0.39%	0	0	63	0
8	Jun_15_2016	28.1	28.61	28.81	28.8			28.59(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	10	-10000	-18	93	0.73	44%	0.04	14.3	0.4%	0	-0	62	0
9	Jun_14_2016	28.09	28.61	28.8	28.9			28.66(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	25	-10000	-8	123	0.93	44%	0.07	25.3	0.42%	0	0.2	67	0
10	Jun_13_2016	28.07	28.6	28.78	28.95			28.82(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	37	-10000	-1	152	0.67	45%	0.07	34.1	0.41%	0	0.8	79	0

11	Jun_10_2016	28.05	28.59	28.74	28.96			28.97(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	48	-10000	7	169	0.89	47%	0.11	36.3	0.4%	0	1.5	86	0
12	Jun_9_2016	28.02	28.58	28.68	28.92			28.98(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	57	-10000	18	174	0.64	49%	0.07	39.1	0.4%	0	1.6	88	0
13	Jun_8_2016	28	28.56	28.62	28.82			29.05(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	55	-10000	23	150	0.62	47%	0.07	35.8	0.4%	0	2.1	77	0
14	Jun_7_2016	27.98	28.53	28.55	28.69			28.92(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	38	-10000	19	95	0.6	45%	0.04	24.3	0.41%	0	2	56	0
15	Jun_6_2016	27.97	28.51	28.48	28.58			28.86(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	23	-10000	16	44	0.74	45%	0.11	9.5	0.41%	0	1.9	52	0

16	Jun_3_2016	27.94	28.49	28.42	28.49			28.77(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	10	-10000	12	3	1.21	45%	0.07	-8.9	0.41%	0	1.8	54	0
17	Jun_2_2016	27.92	28.49	28.37	28.42			28.51(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	6	-48	0.81	41%	0.04	-26.4	0.39%	0	0.2	36	0
18	Jun_1_2016	27.91	28.49	28.36	28.39			28.39(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-17	-10000	2	-73	0.98	44%	0.07	-34	0.39%	0	-0.6	34	0
19	May_31_2016	27.89	28.48	28.38	28.38			28.39(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	-10000	4	-70	1.07	39%	0.07	-32.1	0.4%	0	-0.6	42	0
20	May_27_2016	27.87	28.49	28.41	28.36			28.39(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-10000	3	-71	0.43	45%	0.04	-30.2	0.41%	0	-0.7	44	0

21	May_26_2016	27.86	28.51	28.43	28.34			28.4(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	5	-73	0.51	45%	0.04	-34	0.41%	0	-0.7	45	0
22	May_25_2016	27.85	28.52	28.46	28.34			28.39(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	0	-73	0.49	45%	0.04	-39.6	0.41%	0	-0.9	47	0
23	May_24_2016	27.84	28.52	28.49	28.31			28.35(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-26	-10000	-12	-68	1.25	45%	0.04	-47.2	0.41%	0	-1.2	46	0
24	May_23_2016	27.83	28.53	28.52	28.38			28.27(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-14	-50	0.97	45%	0.04	-51	0.41%	0	-1.9	40	0
25	May_20_2016	27.82	28.54	28.55	28.46			28.31(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14	-10000	-10	-26	0.62	47%		-43.5	0.41%	0	-1.8	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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