Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.4000 (0.04%) ($28.3600 - $28.4300) on Thu. May. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.41% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $28.4000(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(89%)    HYG(70%)    JNK(69%)    CEMB(67%)    LQD(66%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-27%)    TBT(-21%)    VIXM(-17%)    DIA(-5%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.205% (StdDev 0.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

Resistance Level   $28.51
5 Day Moving Average   $28.34(0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.43(-0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.51(-0.39%)
To recent high   -1.5%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.53% (three month std-dev: 0.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2016	27.86	28.51	28.43	28.34			28.4(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-15	-10000	5	-73	0.51	45%	0.04	-34	0.41%	0	-0.7	45	0
2	May_25_2016	27.85	28.52	28.46	28.34			28.39(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-18	-10000	0	-73	0.49	45%	0.04	-39.6	0.41%	0	-0.9	47	0
3	May_24_2016	27.84	28.52	28.49	28.31			28.35(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-26	-10000	-12	-68	1.25	45%	0.04	-47.2	0.41%	0	-1.2	46	0
4	May_23_2016	27.83	28.53	28.52	28.38			28.27(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-23	-10000	-14	-50	0.97	45%	0.04	-51	0.41%	0	-1.9	40	0
5	May_20_2016	27.82	28.54	28.55	28.46			28.31(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-14	-10000	-10	-26	0.62	47%	0.04	-43.5	0.41%	0	-1.8	39	0

6	May_19_2016	27.81	28.56	28.57	28.52			28.24(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-19	-10000	-19	-18	0.97	47%	0.04	-31	0.41%	0	-2.7	36	0
7	May_18_2016	27.8	28.58	28.6	28.63			28.4(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-5	-10000	-10	9	0.64	49%	0.04	-13.2	0.41%	0	-1.6	39	0
8	May_17_2016	27.79	28.58	28.61	28.69			28.67(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	10	-10000	2	32	0.51	57%	0.04	10.5	0.39%	0	0.6	58	0
9	May_16_2016	27.78	28.58	28.6	28.68			28.7(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	7	34	0.62	57%	0.04	15.8	0.4%	0	0.9	67	0
10	May_13_2016	27.77	28.58	28.6	28.64			28.6(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	10	-10000	2	32	1.61	57%	0.07	15.8	0.4%	0	0	62	0

11	May_12_2016	27.75	28.6	28.59	28.63			28.77(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	-10000	9	33	0.6	60%	0.04	21.1	0.39%	0	1.5	56	0
12	May_11_2016	27.74	28.6	28.58	28.58			28.72(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	11	-10000	9	17	0.6	60%	0.07	31.4	0.39%	0	1.3	53	0
13	May_10_2016	27.72	28.59	28.56	28.53			28.59(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-2	-10000	2	-13	0.98	58%	0.04	31.4	0.39%	0	0	35	0
14	May_9_2016	27.71	28.59	28.54	28.52			28.54(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-10	-10000	-2	-35	0.65	58%	0.04	34.2	0.39%	0	-0.4	39	0
15	May_6_2016	27.7	28.58	28.53	28.53			28.53(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-3	-39	3.65	55%	0.07	38.1	0.41%	0	-0.4	46	0

16	May_5_2016	27.68	28.57	28.54	28.55			28.5(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-10000	-5	-33	1.03	55%	0.04	32.7	0.41%	0	-0.5	50	0
17	May_4_2016	27.67	28.57	28.55	28.58			28.48(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-1	-28	2.56	55%	0.04	34	0.41%	0	-0.5	41	0
18	May_3_2016	27.66	28.56	28.58	28.59			28.54(-0.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	-10000	5	-16	1.63	55%	0.07	41.5	0.41%	0	-0.1	45	0
19	May_2_2016	27.64	28.55	28.6	28.56			28.61(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	5	-13	1.16	55%	0.04	37.5	0.41%	0	0.4	55	0
20	Apr_29_2016	27.63	28.54	28.61	28.56			28.61(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-5	-10000	0	-18	1.79	53%	0.04	39.3	0.41%	0	0.4	57	0

21	Apr_28_2016	27.62	28.53	28.6	28.56			28.64(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-2	-10000	0	-7	1.73	54%	0.04	50	0.41%	0	0.7	61	0
22	Apr_27_2016	27.61	28.51	28.61	28.53			28.55(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-3	-10000	-8	11	0.96	56%	0.04	53.3	0.41%	0	0.2	63	0
23	Apr_26_2016	27.6	28.51	28.62	28.58			28.41(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	2	-10000	-12	42	1.75	54%	0.04	57.1	0.41%	0	-0.4	54	0
24	Apr_25_2016	27.59	28.49	28.63	28.65			28.42(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	13	-10000	-7	73	2.24	52%	0	60	0.41%	0	-0.3	55	0
25	Apr_22_2016	27.59	28.47	28.64	28.69			28.62(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	1	93	0.75	57%		64.3	0.41%	0	0.8	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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