Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.3100 (0.04%) ($28.2200 - $28.3700) on Tue. Mar. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.4% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $28.3100(0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(88%)    HYG(70%)    JNK(69%)    CEMB(66%)    LQD(66%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-27%)    TBT(-21%)    VIXM(-17%)    DIA(-4%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.2% (StdDev 0.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.18(0.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.05(0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.87(1.58%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.08% (three month std-dev: 0.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2016	27.48	27.87	28.05	28.18			28.31(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	42	-10000	22	100	0.81	61%	0.04	77.8	0.4%	0	1.5	68	0
2	Mar_21_2016	27.47	27.82	28	28.06			28.3(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	26	-10000	13	65	0.6	61%	0	76.9	0.4%	0	1.7	68	0
3	Mar_18_2016	27.47	27.77	27.96	27.99			28.22(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	-10000	7	64	0.99	61%	0	78.8	0.4%	0	1.6	73	0
4	Mar_17_2016	27.47	27.72	27.93	27.95			28.16(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	9	79	0.72	61%	0	81	0.4%	0	1.5	74	0
5	Mar_16_2016	27.47	27.67	27.89	27.95			27.91(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	23	-10000	0	90	0.77	58%	0	81.9	0.38%	0	0.8	72	0

6	Mar_15_2016	27.47	27.63	27.88	27.9			27.7(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	25	-10000	-6	118	0.65	55%	-0.04	77.3	0.37%	0	0.2	68	0
7	Mar_14_2016	27.48	27.6	27.89	27.9			27.96(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	41	-10000	0	163	0.49	60%	0	79.2	0.35%	0	1.1	82	0
8	Mar_11_2016	27.48	27.54	27.85	27.93			28.01(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	49	-10000	6	179	0.85	53%	0	72.4	0.35%	0	1.3	84	0
9	Mar_10_2016	27.48	27.49	27.79	27.9			27.92(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	2	165	0.85	53%	0	63.7	0.39%	0	1.2	85	0
10	Mar_9_2016	27.48	27.44	27.73	27.89			27.93(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	49	-10000	7	174	0.53	53%	0	61.5	0.39%	0	1.3	86	0

11	Mar_8_2016	27.48	27.38	27.68	27.85			27.82(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	45	-10000	2	175	0.81	51%	-0.04	57.8	0.39%	0	1.2	86	0
12	Mar_7_2016	27.49	27.34	27.63	27.84			27.96(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	63	-10000	16	203	0.92	54%	0	57.6	0.39%	0	1.7	98	0
13	Mar_4_2016	27.49	27.29	27.56	27.75			27.88(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	65	-10000	17	209	0.63	54%	0	55.4	0.38%	0	1.8	98	0
14	Mar_3_2016	27.49	27.25	27.5	27.66			27.84(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	65	-10000	19	202	0.49	50%	-0.04	52.7	0.38%	0	2	98	0
15	Mar_2_2016	27.5	27.21	27.43	27.56			27.77(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	59	-10000	17	185	2.23	50%	0	49.5	0.39%	0	2.1	92	0

16	Mar_1_2016	27.5	27.17	27.37	27.47			27.77(0.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	57	-10000	17	176	0.65	50%	0	48.9	0.39%	0	2.5	92	0
17	Feb_29_2016	27.5	27.13	27.28	27.38			27.51(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	43	-10000	6	152	1.35	45%	-0.04	51.4	0.37%	0	1.9	81	0
18	Feb_26_2016	27.51	27.11	27.22	27.35			27.4(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	8	130	0.38	43%	-0.04	59.1	0.37%	0	1.6	60	0
19	Feb_25_2016	27.52	27.1	27.16	27.31			27.34(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	6	105	0.49	43%	0	66.7	0.37%	0	1.4	60	0
20	Feb_24_2016	27.52	27.08	27.12	27.28			27.33(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	8	89	0.58	43%	-0.04	76.3	0.37%	0	1.6	62	0

21	Feb_23_2016	27.53	27.06	27.07	27.24			27.32(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	16	75	0.57	43%	0	81.8	0.37%	0	1.7	64	0
22	Feb_22_2016	27.53	27.03	27.03	27.16			27.34(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	20	42	0.66	43%	-0.04	70.9	0.37%	0	2.1	61	0
23	Feb_19_2016	27.54	27.01	27	27.06			27.21(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	14	9	0.62	40%	0	64.6	0.36%	0	1.5	49	0
24	Feb_18_2016	27.54	26.98	26.99	26.99			27.19(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	4	-10000	12	-19	1.6	44%	0	43.8	0.36%	0	1.6	51	0
25	Feb_17_2016	27.54	26.96	26.97	26.93			27.15(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	0	-10000	12	-36	0.65	44%		16.1	0.37%	0	1.3	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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