Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.4000 (0.22%) ($27.3900 - $27.4700) on Fri. Feb. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.37% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $27.4000(0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(88%)    HYG(70%)    JNK(69%)    CEMB(65%)    LQD(65%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-27%)    TBT(-20%)    VIXM(-17%)    DIA(-4%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.185% (StdDev 0.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.35(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.22(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.11(1.07%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.66% (three month std-dev: 0.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2016	27.51	27.11	27.22	27.35			27.4(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	-10000	8	130	0.38	43%	-0.04	59.1	0.37%	0	1.6	60	0
2	Feb_25_2016	27.52	27.1	27.16	27.31			27.34(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	-10000	6	105	0.49	43%	0	66.7	0.37%	0	1.4	60	0
3	Feb_24_2016	27.52	27.08	27.12	27.28			27.33(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	-10000	8	89	0.58	43%	-0.04	76.3	0.37%	0	1.6	62	0
4	Feb_23_2016	27.53	27.06	27.07	27.24			27.32(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	-10000	16	75	0.57	43%	0	81.8	0.37%	0	1.7	64	0
5	Feb_22_2016	27.53	27.03	27.03	27.16			27.34(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	20	42	0.66	43%	-0.04	70.9	0.37%	0	2.1	61	0

6	Feb_19_2016	27.54	27.01	27	27.06			27.21(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	-10000	14	9	0.62	40%	0	64.6	0.36%	0	1.5	49	0
7	Feb_18_2016	27.54	26.98	26.99	26.99			27.19(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	4	-10000	12	-19	1.6	44%	0	43.8	0.36%	0	1.6	51	0
8	Feb_17_2016	27.54	26.96	26.97	26.93			27.15(0.97%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	0	-10000	12	-36	0.65	44%	0	16.1	0.37%	0	1.3	56	0
9	Feb_16_2016	27.54	26.93	26.96	26.87			26.89(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-10000	-2	-59	1.01	38%	-0.04	-7.1	0.35%	0	-0.3	52	0
10	Feb_12_2016	27.55	26.93	26.97	26.88			26.88(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-13	-46	0.64	35%	0	-18.6	0.35%	0	-0.3	56	0

11	Feb_11_2016	27.55	26.92	27	26.94			26.84(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-12	-10000	-11	-14	0.61	35%	-0.04	-16.9	0.36%	0	-0.5	47	0
12	Feb_10_2016	27.56	26.92	27.03	26.99			26.89(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-10000	-6	28	0.46	35%	-0.04	-18.6	0.36%	0	-0.2	58	0
13	Feb_9_2016	27.57	26.93	27.04	27.02			26.86(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	11	-10000	-6	61	0.83	33%	-0.04	-23.7	0.36%	0	-0.4	61	0
14	Feb_8_2016	27.58	26.94	27.05	27.05			26.94(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	18	-10000	-4	83	1.34	33%	-0.04	-23.7	0.36%	0	0	61	0
15	Feb_5_2016	27.59	26.94	27.04	27.05			27.15(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	-10000	0	102	0.86	33%	-0.04	-23.8	0.36%	0	1.2	69	0

16	Feb_4_2016	27.6	26.95	27.02	27.07			27.11(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	26	-10000	-2	108	0.44	33%	-0.04	-27	0.36%	0	0.9	57	0
17	Feb_3_2016	27.61	26.96	26.98	27.08			27.05(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	29	-10000	4	105	2.25	37%	0	-25.4	0.36%	0	0.5	55	0
18	Feb_2_2016	27.61	26.97	26.94	27.06			26.99(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	24	-10000	4	82	1.94	37%	-0.04	-23	0.36%	0	0.1	49	0
19	Feb_1_2016	27.62	26.98	26.91	27.04			27.05(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	10	54	1.17	37%	-0.04	-26.9	0.37%	0	0.3	47	0
20	Jan_29_2016	27.63	26.99	26.87	26.99			27.17(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	9	-10000	8	12	0.55	38%	-0.04	-34.6	0.36%	0	0.9	48	0

21	Jan_28_2016	27.64	26.99	26.84	26.95			27.12(0.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	9	-10000	17	-17	0.51	38%	0	-37	0.36%	0	0.5	44	0
22	Jan_27_2016	27.64	27	26.84	26.87			26.99(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10000	14	-68	0.82	35%	-0.04	-43.5	0.36%	0	-0	36	0
23	Jan_26_2016	27.65	27.02	26.81	26.8			26.89(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-22	-10000	11	-119	1.47	32%	-0.04	-49.4	0.35%	0	-0.5	30	0
24	Jan_25_2016	27.66	27.04	26.83	26.75			26.8(-0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-34	-10000	4	-149	0.89	32%	-0.04	-51.1	0.35%	0	-1	31	0
25	Jan_22_2016	27.67	27.07	26.86	26.73			26.94(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-41	-10000	2	-171	0.89	34%		-53.3	0.35%	0	-0.5	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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