Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Nov. 22, 2015

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.0700 (0.11%) ($28.0200 - $28.0900) on Sun. Nov. 22, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.47% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $28.0700(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.235% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.235% (StdDev 0.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.93(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.88(0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28(0.25%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.57% (three month std-dev: 0.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151222

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2015	27.77		27.88	27.93			28.07(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	9	-36	0.57	55%	0	-33.3	0.47%	0	0.4	47	0
2	Nov_19_2015	27.77		27.87	27.87			28.04(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-12	-10000	3	-58	0.52	55%	0.04	-43.9	0.47%	0	0.2	50	0
3	Nov_18_2015	27.76	28	27.88	27.85			27.99(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-12	-10000	5	-62	1.09	55%	0	-49.1	0.47%	0	-0.1	45	0
4	Nov_17_2015	27.76	28.01	27.89	27.85			27.8(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-10000	0	-69	0.83	53%	0	-57.9	0.47%	0	-1.3	37	0
5	Nov_16_2015	27.76	28.02	27.94	27.85			27.77(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-16	-10000	0	-65	1.25	53%	0	-52.6	0.47%	0	-1.6	33	0

6	Nov_13_2015	27.76	28.05	27.97	27.82			27.77(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-6	-73	0.61	51%	0	-50.9	0.47%	0	-1.8	32	0
7	Nov_12_2015	27.76	28.07	28	27.86			27.92(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	-10000	-8	-73	0.35	53%	0	-48	0.47%	0	-1.1	35	0
8	Nov_11_2015	27.76	28.08	28.01	27.91			27.83(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-11	-64	0.39	53%	0	-38	0.47%	0	-1.8	38	0
9	Nov_10_2015	27.76	28.1	28.04	27.98			27.82(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	-10000	-14	-45	0.48	53%	0	-19.6	0.47%	0	-2.2	42	0
10	Nov_9_2015	27.76	28.11	28.08	28.07			27.78(-0.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-12	-10000	-9	-20	0.77	53%	0	2.6	0.47%	0	-3	37	0

11	Nov_6_2015	27.76	28.13	28.12	28.13			27.94(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-3	-10000	-3	-4	0.91	53%	0	40.6	0.46%	0	-2.1	37	0
12	Nov_5_2015	27.76	28.14	28.12	28.15			28.16(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2	-10000	2	1	0.85	56%	0.04	78.6	0.46%	0	0.2	43	0
13	Nov_4_2015	27.75	28.13	28.15	28.14			28.21(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	2	-10000	3	-1	0.89	56%	0.04	90.6	0.46%	0	0.9	57	0
14	Nov_3_2015	27.74	28.12	28.13	28.12			28.25(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-1	-10000	3	-11	3.25	54%	0	100	0.46%	0	1.3	55	0
15	Nov_2_2015	27.74	28.11	28.12	28.1			28.11(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-3	-12	1.2	52%	0.04	115.4	0.46%	0	0	58	0

16	Oct_30_2015	27.73	28.09	28.13	28.12			28.03(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5	-10000	-5	-5	1.63	53%	0	121.7	0.46%	0	-0.5	45	0
17	Oct_29_2015	27.73	28.08	28.13	28.15			28.09(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-2	10	1.25	55%	0	101.6	0.46%	0	0.1	48	0
18	Oct_28_2015	27.73	28.05	28.15	28.16			28.1(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	3	16	0.42	55%	0.04	80.5	0.46%	0	0.2	55	0
19	Oct_27_2015	27.72	28.02	28.16	28.16			28.16(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	0	18	0.61	55%	0	62	0.46%	0	0.5	58	0
20	Oct_26_2015	27.72	27.98	28.16	28.14			28.2(-0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-2	19	0.36	55%	0	49.5	0.46%	0	0.7	63	0

21	Oct_23_2015	27.72	27.94	28.14	28.15			28.21(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-2	36	0.77	52%	0	40.9	0.47%	0	0.8	66	0
22	Oct_22_2015	27.72	27.9	28.13	28.16			28.11(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	2	60	0.65	52%	0	33.9	0.47%	0	0.7	66	0
23	Oct_21_2015	27.72	27.87	28.13	28.15			28.04(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-10000	-3	79	0.84	52%	0	27.8	0.47%	0	0.5	71	0
24	Oct_20_2015	27.72	27.85	28.12	28.17			28.12(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10000	5	112	0.59	52%	0	27.8	0.47%	0	0.8	76	0
25	Oct_19_2015	27.72	27.83	28.1	28.14			28.25(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	3	137	0.8	52%		26.1	0.46%	0	1.4	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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