Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.1000 (-0.21%) ($28.0400 - $28.2200) on Wed. Oct. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.46% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $28.1000(-0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(88%)    HYG(69%)    JNK(68%)    LQD(65%)    CEMB(64%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-25%)    TBT(-20%)    VIXM(-18%)    DIA(-3%)    XHB(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.23% (StdDev 0.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.16(-0.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.15(-0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.05(0.18%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.82% (three month std-dev: 0.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151128

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_28_2015	27.73	28.05	28.15	28.16			28.1(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	3	16	0.42	55%	0.04	80.5	0.46%	0	0.2	55	0
2	Oct_27_2015	27.72	28.02	28.16	28.16			28.16(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	5	-10000	0	18	0.61	55%	0	62	0.46%	0	0.5	58	0
3	Oct_26_2015	27.72	27.98	28.16	28.14			28.2(-0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-2	19	0.36	55%	0	49.5	0.46%	0	0.7	63	0
4	Oct_23_2015	27.72	27.94	28.14	28.15			28.21(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	-2	36	0.77	52%	0	40.9	0.47%	0	0.8	66	0
5	Oct_22_2015	27.72	27.9	28.13	28.16			28.11(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	2	60	0.65	52%	0	33.9	0.47%	0	0.7	66	0

6	Oct_21_2015	27.72	27.87	28.13	28.15			28.04(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-10000	-3	79	0.84	52%	0	27.8	0.47%	0	0.5	71	0
7	Oct_20_2015	27.72	27.85	28.12	28.17			28.12(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	-10000	5	112	0.59	52%	0	27.8	0.47%	0	0.8	76	0
8	Oct_19_2015	27.72	27.83	28.1	28.14			28.25(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	37	-10000	3	137	0.8	52%	0	26.1	0.46%	0	1.4	84	0
9	Oct_16_2015	27.72	27.81	28.05	28.12			28.26(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	-10000	3	158	0.78	53%	0	26.9	0.46%	0	1.5	81	0
10	Oct_15_2015	27.72	27.79	28	28.1			28.08(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	-10000	2	168	0.74	50%	-0.04	30.8	0.46%	0	1	72	0

11	Oct_14_2015	27.73	27.78	27.95	28.09			28.14(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-10000	5	168	0.59	48%	0	33.7	0.46%	0	1.3	68	0
12	Oct_13_2015	27.73	27.76	27.88	28.06			27.97(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	-10000	3	154	0.82	46%	0	33	0.46%	0	0.8	61	0
13	Oct_12_2015	27.73	27.74	27.81	28.04			28.17(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-10000	11	142	0.8	49%	0	33	0.45%	0	1.7	65	0
14	Oct_9_2015	27.73	27.72	27.72	27.97			28.15(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	-10000	13	99	1.19	49%	-0.04	31	0.45%	0	1.8	53	0
15	Oct_8_2015	27.74	27.7	27.65	27.89			28.01(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	18	53	0.36	47%	0	22.9	0.45%	0	1.3	45	0

16	Oct_7_2015	27.74	27.69	27.59	27.78			27.98(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	18	7	0.65	47%	0	14.5	0.45%	0	1.4	49	0
17	Oct_6_2015	27.74	27.67	27.55	27.67			27.9(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	9	-10000	21	-28	0.55	47%	-0.04	2.8	0.45%	0	1.1	52	0
18	Oct_5_2015	27.75	27.66	27.55	27.54			27.81(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-5	-10000	16	-68	2.05	47%	-0.04	-13.9	0.45%	0	0.7	52	0
19	Oct_2_2015	27.76	27.66	27.53	27.44			27.73(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-15	-10000	12	-94	1.87	47%	-0.04	-27.8	0.45%	0	0.4	46	0
20	Oct_1_2015	27.77	27.66	27.55	27.37			27.48(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-28	-10000	-2	-107	1	45%	-0.04	-31.9	0.44%	0	-0.8	43	0

21	Sep_30_2015	27.78	27.65	27.59	27.38			27.43(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-10000	-7	-101	0.44	45%	-0.04	-18.1	0.44%	0	-1.1	41	0
22	Sep_29_2015	27.79	27.66	27.63	27.42			27.24(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-10000	-15	-95	0.87	42%	-0.04	1.4	0.43%	0	-2.2	36	0
23	Sep_28_2015	27.8	27.69	27.68	27.51			27.3(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-34	-10000	-20	-74	1.97	42%	-0.07	41.4	0.43%	0	-2.4	38	0
24	Sep_25_2015	27.82	27.69	27.74	27.63			27.42(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-10000	-22	-34	0.53	42%	-0.04	88.2	0.43%	0	-2.1	41	0
25	Sep_24_2015	27.83	27.71	27.77	27.76			27.53(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-8	-10000	-12	6	0.58	42%		131.9	0.43%	0	-1.4	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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