Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.2600 (0.64%) ($28.1600 - $28.2700) on Fri. Oct. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.46% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $28.2600(0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(88%)    HYG(69%)    JNK(68%)    LQD(65%)    CEMB(64%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-26%)    TBT(-20%)    VIXM(-18%)    DIA(-3%)    XLRE(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.23% (StdDev 0.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.12(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.05(0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.81(1.62%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.08% (three month std-dev: 0.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_16_2015	27.72	27.81	28.05	28.12			28.26(0.64%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	42	-10000	3	158	0.78	53%	0	26.9	0.46%	0	1.5	81	0
2	Oct_15_2015	27.72	27.79	28	28.1			28.08(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	-10000	2	168	0.74	50%	-0.04	30.8	0.46%	0	1	72	0
3	Oct_14_2015	27.73	27.78	27.95	28.09			28.14(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	46	-10000	5	168	0.59	48%	0	33.7	0.46%	0	1.3	68	0
4	Oct_13_2015	27.73	27.76	27.88	28.06			27.97(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	-10000	3	154	0.82	46%	0	33	0.46%	0	0.8	61	0
5	Oct_12_2015	27.73	27.74	27.81	28.04			28.17(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	44	-10000	11	142	0.8	49%	0	33	0.45%	0	1.7	65	0

6	Oct_9_2015	27.73	27.72	27.72	27.97			28.15(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	-10000	13	99	1.19	49%	-0.04	31	0.45%	0	1.8	53	0
7	Oct_8_2015	27.74	27.7	27.65	27.89			28.01(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	18	53	0.36	47%	0	22.9	0.45%	0	1.3	45	0
8	Oct_7_2015	27.74	27.69	27.59	27.78			27.98(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	18	7	0.65	47%	0	14.5	0.45%	0	1.4	49	0
9	Oct_6_2015	27.74	27.67	27.55	27.67			27.9(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	9	-10000	21	-28	0.55	47%	-0.04	2.8	0.45%	0	1.1	52	0
10	Oct_5_2015	27.75	27.66	27.55	27.54			27.81(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-5	-10000	16	-68	2.05	47%	-0.04	-13.9	0.45%	0	0.7	52	0

11	Oct_2_2015	27.76	27.66	27.53	27.44			27.73(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-15	-10000	12	-94	1.87	47%	-0.04	-27.8	0.45%	0	0.4	46	0
12	Oct_1_2015	27.77	27.66	27.55	27.37			27.48(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-28	-10000	-2	-107	1	45%	-0.04	-31.9	0.44%	0	-0.8	43	0
13	Sep_30_2015	27.78	27.65	27.59	27.38			27.43(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-31	-10000	-7	-101	0.44	45%	-0.04	-18.1	0.44%	0	-1.1	41	0
14	Sep_29_2015	27.79	27.66	27.63	27.42			27.24(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-35	-10000	-15	-95	0.87	42%	-0.04	1.4	0.43%	0	-2.2	36	0
15	Sep_28_2015	27.8	27.69	27.68	27.51			27.3(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-34	-10000	-20	-74	1.97	42%	-0.07	41.4	0.43%	0	-2.4	38	0

16	Sep_25_2015	27.82	27.69	27.74	27.63			27.42(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-25	-10000	-22	-34	0.53	42%	-0.04	88.2	0.43%	0	-2.1	41	0
17	Sep_24_2015	27.83	27.71	27.77	27.76			27.53(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-8	-10000	-12	6	0.58	42%	-0.04	131.9	0.43%	0	-1.4	46	0
18	Sep_23_2015	27.84	27.69	27.79	27.83			27.62(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	6	-10000	-5	38	0.7	42%	-0.04	88.9	0.43%	0	-0.4	55	0
19	Sep_22_2015	27.85	27.66	27.79	27.86			27.68(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	12	-10000	-2	55	0.5	42%	-0.04	66.7	0.43%	0	0.1	57	0
20	Sep_21_2015	27.86	27.62	27.81	27.87			27.92(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	3	64	1.58	45%	-0.04	44.6	0.41%	0	1	64	0

21	Sep_18_2015	27.87	27.58	27.79	27.85			28.04(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-10000	10	65	0.76	52%	0	37.1	0.42%	0	1.4	73	0
22	Sep_17_2015	27.87	27.54	27.75	27.79			27.91(0.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	7	56	0.59	52%	-0.04	26.5	0.42%	0	1.2	75	0
23	Sep_16_2015	27.88	27.51	27.71	27.75			27.77(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	20	-10000	2	72	0.37	50%	-0.07	21.1	0.42%	0	0.9	84	0
24	Sep_15_2015	27.9	27.5	27.7	27.75			27.71(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	24	-10000	0	97	0.66	47%	-0.04	19	0.42%	0	0.7	84	0
25	Sep_14_2015	27.91	27.48	27.69	27.74			27.83(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	38	-10000	5	137	1.23	48%		17.9	0.43%	0	1.2	92	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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