Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.9600 (0.77%) ($28.8100 - $28.9600) on Wed. Apr. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $28.9600(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(88%)    JNK(68%)    LQD(64%)    CEMB(61%)    EWG(58%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-24%)    TBT(-19%)    VIXM(-18%)    DIA(-2%)    XHB(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.74(0.77%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.59(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.35(2.15%)
To recent high   -0.1%
To recent low   4.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.16% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150508

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_8_2015	28.38	28.35	28.59	28.74			28.96(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	-10000	14	103	1.3	51%	0.04	44	0.55%	0	1.8	75	0
2	Apr_7_2015	28.37	28.3	28.53	28.63			28.74(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	-10000	8	105	0.51	52%	0	32.1	0.55%	0	1.5	80	0
3	Apr_6_2015	28.37	28.27	28.49	28.57			28.77(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	36	-10000	9	115	0.89	52%	0	22.3	0.56%	0	1.7	78	0
4	Apr_2_2015	28.37	28.23	28.44	28.5			28.68(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	-10000	10	119	0.67	52%	0	9.8	0.56%	0	1.7	72	0
5	Apr_1_2015	28.37	28.21	28.37	28.5			28.53(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	23	-10000	0	93	2.05	52%	-0.04	-1.2	0.56%	0	1.3	56	0

6	Mar_31_2015	28.38	28.21	28.33	28.42			28.42(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	24	-10000	1	92	0.92	50%	0	-3.7	0.57%	0	1	56	0
7	Mar_30_2015	28.38	28.21	28.27	28.41			28.46(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	22	-10000	2	83	0.77	50%	-0.04	-2.4	0.57%	0	1.1	60	0
8	Mar_27_2015	28.39	28.2	28.19	28.39			28.41(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	2	65	0.28	50%	0	1.2	0.57%	0	0.9	55	0
9	Mar_26_2015	28.39	28.21	28.14	28.37			28.3(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10000	7	54	0.5	50%	-0.04	3.4	0.57%	0	0.4	53	0
10	Mar_25_2015	28.4	28.22	28.13	28.31			28.49(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	9	40	0.59	52%	0	2.2	0.56%	0	1	51	0

11	Mar_24_2015	28.4	28.22	28.09	28.24			28.41(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	19	20	0.4	52%	-0.04	-4.5	0.57%	0	0.8	48	0
12	Mar_23_2015	28.41	28.21	28.05	28.09			28.34(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	5	-10000	15	-27	1.72	52%	0	-21.3	0.57%	0	0.5	45	0
13	Mar_20_2015	28.41	28.21	28.02	27.97			28.3(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-8	-10000	11	-66	0.46	52%	-0.04	-40.4	0.56%	0	0.4	44	0
14	Mar_19_2015	28.42	28.2	28	27.88			28.01(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-32	-10000	-5	-111	0.63	52%	-0.04	-56.2	0.55%	0	-0.8	34	0
15	Mar_18_2015	28.43	28.21	28.03	27.88			28.13(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-26	-10000	0	-105	0.49	55%	-0.04	-53.9	0.57%	0	-0.3	37	0

16	Mar_17_2015	28.44	28.22	28.06	27.92			27.68(-0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-37	-10000	-9	-119	0.53	57%	-0.04	-52.8	0.54%	0	-2.2	23	0
17	Mar_16_2015	28.45	28.26	28.13	27.99			27.73(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-10	-91	1.28	55%	-0.07	-56.4	0.62%	0	-2.4	31	0
18	Mar_13_2015	28.47	28.3	28.21	28.08			27.85(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-19	-10000	-5	-61	0.98	50%	-0.04	-56.7	0.66%	0	-2.4	44	0
19	Mar_12_2015	28.48	28.34	28.28	28.13			28.22(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-13	-10000	-3	-44	0.52	50%	-0.04	-66.1	0.64%	0	-0.8	48	0
20	Mar_11_2015	28.49	28.35	28.32	28.16			28.14(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-5	-31	0.43	50%	0	-71.4	0.66%	0	-1.3	47	0

21	Mar_10_2015	28.49	28.36	28.35	28.21			28.02(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-13	-10000	-10	-21	0.5	46%	-0.04	-86.8	0.66%	0	-2.3	39	0
22	Mar_9_2015	28.5	28.39	28.35	28.3			28.16(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-6	-10000	-6	-5	0.46	46%	-0.04	-87.8	0.68%	0	-1.6	43	0
23	Mar_6_2015	28.51	28.41	28.39	28.36			28.13(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-8	-10000	-9	-5	0.43	45%	-0.04	-81.6	0.68%	0	-2	37	0
24	Mar_5_2015	28.52	28.44	28.42	28.45			28.36(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-2	-10000	-4	5	0.5	45%	0	-56.6	0.68%	0	-0.5	41	0
25	Mar_4_2015	28.52	28.46	28.41	28.49			28.4(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	1	-10000	-2	10	0.78	45%		-44.6	0.68%	0	-0.4	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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