Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Dec. 31, 2014

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.1600 (-0.6%) ($28.0900 - $28.3100) on Wed. Dec. 31, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $28.1600(-0.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(87%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(63%)    CEMB(60%)    EWG(58%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-24%)    TBT(-19%)    VIXM(-18%)    DIA(-2%)    XHB(-0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.25(-0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.17(-0.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.15(0.04%)
To recent high   -3.2%
To recent low   4.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150131

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_31_2014	28.75	28.15	28.17	28.25			28.16(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	29	-10000	-1	120	1.06	46%	-0.03	-28.8	0.55%	0	0	51	0
2	Dec_30_2014	28.76	28.17	28.08	28.26			28.33(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	1	76	1.53	48%	0	-29.4	0.55%	0	0.3	46	0
3	Dec_29_2014	28.76	28.19	27.97	28.25			28.21(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10000	-1	30	1.41	46%	-0.03	-30.6	0.55%	0	0	44	0
4	Dec_26_2014	28.77	28.22	27.92	28.26			28.29(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-10000	8	2	0.68	45%	0	-27.7	0.55%	0	0.1	41	0
5	Dec_24_2014	28.77	28.25	27.89	28.2			28.26(0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	3	-10000	16	-35	0.32	46%	-0.03	-27.1	0.55%	0	0	39	0

6	Dec_23_2014	28.78	28.28	27.87	28.08			28.23(-0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	2	-10000	30	-81	0.8	46%	-0.03	-30.4	0.55%	0	-0.1	38	0
7	Dec_22_2014	28.79	28.31	27.88	27.85			28.27(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-15	-10000	28	-142	3.89	46%	0	-39.7	0.55%	0	-0.1	42	0
8	Dec_19_2014	28.79	28.34	27.89	27.64			28.27(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-40	-10000	15	-203	0.71	46%	-0.03	-46.3	0.55%	0	-0.1	41	0
9	Dec_18_2014	28.8	28.36	27.92	27.53			27.97(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-65	-10000	-3	-250	1.43	43%	-0.03	-52.2	0.54%	0	-0.7	34	0
10	Dec_17_2014	28.81	28.39	28	27.55			27.68(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-76	-10000	-11	-269	1.76	37%	-0.03	-52.7	0.52%	0	-1.2	26	0

11	Dec_16_2014	28.82	28.44	28.11	27.63			27.06(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-117	-10000	-48	-325	1.28	27%	-0.1	-53.7	0.43%	0	-2.6	13	0
12	Dec_15_2014	28.85	28.53	28.28	27.92			27.23(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-96	-10000	-41	-259	0.86	27%	-0.07	-50.6	0.43%	0	-3	15	0
13	Dec_12_2014	28.87	28.6	28.44	28.17			27.72(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-82	-10000	-35	-224	1.32	29%	-0.03	-53.7	0.38%	0	-2.8	18	0
14	Dec_11_2014	28.88	28.66	28.56	28.36			28.07(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-64	-10000	-29	-168	1.84	32%	-0.07	-50	0.36%	0	-2.5	31	0
15	Dec_10_2014	28.9	28.7	28.65	28.51			28.09(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-49	-10000	-29	-107	0.96	32%	-0.03	-40	0.36%	0	-3.1	36	0

16	Dec_9_2014	28.91	28.74	28.74	28.66			28.48(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-6	-42	1.23	34%	0	-30.6	0.32%	0	-1.9	47	0
17	Dec_8_2014	28.91	28.75	28.78	28.69			28.47(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-13	-10000	-13	-14	0.63	33%	-0.03	-35.7	0.33%	0	-2.3	50	0
18	Dec_5_2014	28.92	28.77	28.82	28.75			28.69(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-9	25	0.69	36%	0	-34.2	0.32%	0	-0.7	55	0
19	Dec_4_2014	28.92	28.77	28.83	28.79			28.82(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-10000	-6	44	0.7	37%	0	-36.8	0.31%	0	0.4	54	0
20	Dec_3_2014	28.92	28.77	28.82	28.82			28.82(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-5	50	0.96	37%	-0.03	-34.2	0.31%	0	0.4	50	0

21	Dec_2_2014	28.93	28.78	28.8	28.84			28.67(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	7	-10000	-6	44	0.68	34%	0	-39.5	0.31%	0	-1	45	0
22	Dec_1_2014	28.93	28.8	28.79	28.87			28.76(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-6	46	1.01	35%	-0.03	-28.9	0.31%	0	-0.4	50	0
23	Nov_28_2014	28.94	28.81	28.78	28.9			28.89(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	7	51	0.44	37%	-0.03	-15.6	0.3%	0	0.6	51	0
24	Nov_26_2014	28.95	28.81	28.76	28.87			28.98(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	14	37	0.47	46%	0	-16.3	0.31%	0	1.1	57	0
25	Nov_25_2014	28.95	28.82	28.74	28.81			28.88(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	11	8	0.54	44%		-26.9	0.31%	0	0.4	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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