Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Dec. 19, 2014

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.2700 (1.07%) ($28.0200 - $28.3000) on Fri. Dec. 19, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.55% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $28.2700(1.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(87%)    JNK(68%)    LQD(63%)    CEMB(60%)    EWG(58%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-23%)    VIXM(-18%)    TBT(-18%)    DIA(-1%)    XHB(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.275% (StdDev 0.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $23.98(-15.18%)
Resistance Level   $28.34
5 Day Moving Average   $27.64(2.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.89(1.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.34(-0.25%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 2.01% (three month std-dev: 0.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150119

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_19_2014	28.79	28.34	27.89	27.64			28.27(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-40	-10000	15	-203	0.71	46%	-0.03	-46.3	0.55%	0	-0.1	41	0
2	Dec_18_2014	28.8	28.36	27.92	27.53			27.97(1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-65	-10000	-3	-250	1.43	43%	-0.03	-52.2	0.54%	0	-0.7	34	0
3	Dec_17_2014	28.81	28.39	28	27.55			27.68(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-76	-10000	-11	-269	1.76	37%	-0.03	-52.7	0.52%	0	-1.2	26	0
4	Dec_16_2014	28.82	28.44	28.11	27.63			27.06(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-117	-10000	-48	-325	1.28	27%	-0.1	-53.7	0.43%	0	-2.6	13	0
5	Dec_15_2014	28.85	28.53	28.28	27.92			27.23(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-96	-10000	-41	-259	0.86	27%	-0.07	-50.6	0.43%	0	-3	15	0

6	Dec_12_2014	28.87	28.6	28.44	28.17			27.72(-1.25%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-82	-10000	-35	-224	1.32	29%	-0.03	-53.7	0.38%	0	-2.8	18	0
7	Dec_11_2014	28.88	28.66	28.56	28.36			28.07(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-64	-10000	-29	-168	1.84	32%	-0.07	-50	0.36%	0	-2.5	31	0
8	Dec_10_2014	28.9	28.7	28.65	28.51			28.09(-1.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-49	-10000	-29	-107	0.96	32%	-0.03	-40	0.36%	0	-3.1	36	0
9	Dec_9_2014	28.91	28.74	28.74	28.66			28.48(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-15	-10000	-6	-42	1.23	34%	0	-30.6	0.32%	0	-1.9	47	0
10	Dec_8_2014	28.91	28.75	28.78	28.69			28.47(-0.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-13	-10000	-13	-14	0.63	33%	-0.03	-35.7	0.33%	0	-2.3	50	0

11	Dec_5_2014	28.92	28.77	28.82	28.75			28.69(-0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10000	-9	25	0.69	36%	0	-34.2	0.32%	0	-0.7	55	0
12	Dec_4_2014	28.92	28.77	28.83	28.79			28.82(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	7	-10000	-6	44	0.7	37%	0	-36.8	0.31%	0	0.4	54	0
13	Dec_3_2014	28.92	28.77	28.82	28.82			28.82(0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	9	-10000	-5	50	0.96	37%	-0.03	-34.2	0.31%	0	0.4	50	0
14	Dec_2_2014	28.93	28.78	28.8	28.84			28.67(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	7	-10000	-6	44	0.68	34%	0	-39.5	0.31%	0	-1	45	0
15	Dec_1_2014	28.93	28.8	28.79	28.87			28.76(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	7	-10000	-6	46	1.01	35%	-0.03	-28.9	0.31%	0	-0.4	50	0

16	Nov_28_2014	28.94	28.81	28.78	28.9			28.89(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	18	-10000	7	51	0.44	37%	-0.03	-15.6	0.3%	0	0.6	51	0
17	Nov_26_2014	28.95	28.81	28.76	28.87			28.98(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	14	37	0.47	46%	0	-16.3	0.31%	0	1.1	57	0
18	Nov_25_2014	28.95	28.81	28.74	28.81			28.88(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	11	8	0.54	44%	0	-26.9	0.31%	0	0.4	50	0
19	Nov_24_2014	28.95	28.82	28.73	28.76			28.85(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	-10000	14	-14	1.02	44%	0	-32.7	0.31%	0	0.2	47	0
20	Nov_21_2014	28.95	28.82	28.72	28.7			28.9(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-2	-10000	14	-51	0.57	44%	0	-46.2	0.31%	0	0.5	42	0

21	Nov_20_2014	28.95	28.83	28.72	28.7			28.75(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-24	-10000	0	-94	0.83	40%	0	-55.8	0.3%	0	-0.5	30	0
22	Nov_19_2014	28.95	28.84	28.71	28.64			28.66(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-33	-10000	-5	-116	0.66	37%	-0.03	-51.9	0.3%	0	-1.2	22	0
23	Nov_18_2014	28.96	28.86	28.73	28.66			28.62(0.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-10000	-9	-120	0.31	37%	0	-42.3	0.3%	0	-1.6	28	0
24	Nov_17_2014	28.96	28.87	28.76	28.7			28.55(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-37	-10000	-9	-120	0.75	37%	-0.03	-35.4	0.3%	0	-2.3	20	0
25	Nov_14_2014	28.97	28.9	28.8	28.74			28.62(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34	-10000	-11	-104	0.64	43%		-23.8	0.3%	0	-2.3	35	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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