Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 7, 2014

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.6800 (0.67%) ($28.5500 - $28.7200) on Wed. May. 7, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.34% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $28.6800(0.67%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(87%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(63%)    EWG(57%)    VT(57%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.17% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-23%)    XHB(1%)    DIA(1%)    IGOV(2%)    UNG(3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.17% (StdDev 0.34%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.42(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.28(1.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.25(1.52%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.53% (three month std-dev: 0.34%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140607

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_7_2014	27.5	28.25	28.28	28.42			28.68(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	32	-10000	16	79	0.43	74%	0.07	62.3	0.34%	0	2.9	72	0
2	May_6_2014	27.48	28.22	28.23	28.34			28.49(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	-10000	13	58	0.31	72%	0.04	66.7	0.33%	0	2.5	69	0
3	May_5_2014	27.47	28.2	28.23	28.28			28.31(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	13	34	0.29	70%	0.07	65.6	0.33%	0	1.2	51	0
4	May_2_2014	27.45	28.19	28.2	28.22			28.33(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	14	-10000	13	16	0.28	72%	0.04	59.4	0.33%	0	1.6	51	0
5	May_1_2014	27.44	28.17	28.18	28.16			28.3(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	4	-10000	8	-10	0.49	72%	0.07	37.1	0.33%	0	1.3	50	0

6	Apr_30_2014	27.42	28.15	28.17	28.12			28.26(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-6	-10000	2	-29	0.71	72%	0.04	38.9	0.34%	0	1.1	53	0
7	Apr_29_2014	27.41	28.15	28.15	28.11			28.18(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-12	-10000	-2	-40	0.33	72%	0.04	65.6	0.34%	0	0.4	52	0
8	Apr_28_2014	27.4	28.14	28.16	28.12			28.05(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-8	-26	0.55	71%	0.07	80.6	0.34%	0	-0.9	52	0
9	Apr_25_2014	27.38	28.14	28.18	28.16			28(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-9	-10000	-11	-3	1.17	71%	0.04	112.8	0.34%	0	-1.2	48	0
10	Apr_24_2014	27.37	28.13	28.18	28.21			28.11(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-2	34	0.86	70%	0.07	146.2	0.34%	0	-0.2	60	0

11	Apr_23_2014	27.35	28.11	28.18	28.22			28.2(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	-10000	6	48	0.5	66%	0.04	124	0.34%	0	0.6	63	0
12	Apr_22_2014	27.34	28.09	28.21	28.19			28.24(-0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	9	-10000	-2	42	0.35	63%	0.07	103.3	0.35%	0	0.9	59	0
13	Apr_21_2014	27.32	28.05	28.19	28.19			28.27(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	0	48	0.36	63%	0.04	94.4	0.35%	0	1.1	65	0
14	Apr_17_2014	27.31	28.01	28.18	28.19			28.24(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	14	-10000	0	57	0.51	63%	0.04	71.9	0.35%	0	0.9	67	0
15	Apr_16_2014	27.3	27.97	28.15	28.2			28.13(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	14	-10000	-2	63	1.15	62%	0.04	72	0.35%	0	0.6	64	0

16	Apr_15_2014	27.29	27.94	28.15	28.21			28.09(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10000	-4	82	1.78	62%	0.04	70.1	0.35%	0	0.5	71	0
17	Apr_14_2014	27.28	27.91	28.14	28.23			28.26(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	8	123	0.55	66%	0.07	70.3	0.34%	0	1.1	85	0
18	Apr_11_2014	27.26	27.87	28.12	28.19			28.27(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	40	-10000	8	136	1	66%	0.04	65.2	0.34%	0	1.3	87	0
19	Apr_10_2014	27.25	27.82	28.08	28.15			28.26(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	-10000	12	157	0.52	66%	0.04	60	0.35%	0	1.4	90	0
20	Apr_9_2014	27.24	27.77	28.05	28.09			28.19(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	46	-10000	6	167	0.63	66%	0.04	53.6	0.35%	0	1.4	82	0

21	Apr_8_2014	27.23	27.73	28	28.06			28.15(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	45	-10000	2	174	0.37	63%	0.04	50	0.35%	0	1.4	80	0
22	Apr_7_2014	27.22	27.69	27.95	28.05			28.06(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	49	-10000	4	182	0.48	63%	0.04	49.5	0.35%	0	1.3	75	0
23	Apr_4_2014	27.21	27.66	27.91	28.03			28.08(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	50	-10000	4	187	0.49	66%	0.04	49.5	0.36%	0	1.5	79	0
24	Apr_3_2014	27.2	27.63	27.83	28.01			27.98(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	49	-10000	4	183	0.88	65%	0.04	48.9	0.36%	0	1.3	79	0
25	Apr_2_2014	27.19	27.61	27.78	27.99			28.02(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	56	-10000	10	192	1.17	65%		50.5	0.36%	0	1.6	81	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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