Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 2, 2014

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.0300 (0.11%) ($26.9500 - $27.0300) on Thu. Jan. 2, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.39% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $27.0300(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(86%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EWG(57%)    EEM(56%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-23%)    DIA(1%)    IGOV(2%)    UNG(3%)    SHY(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.195% (StdDev 0.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.02(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.05(-0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.96(0.26%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   1.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.45% (three month std-dev: 0.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140202

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2014	27.12	26.96		27.02			27.03(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-2	18	0.69	34%	0	24.4	0.39%	0	0.6	65	0
2	Dec_31_2013	27.12	26.95	27.05	27.03			27(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	6	-10000	-2	28	0.41	34%	-0.04	11.5	0.39%	0	0.4	53	0
3	Dec_30_2013	27.13	26.94	27.06	27.04			27.02(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	8	-10000	-2	39	1.03	34%	0	3.6	0.39%	0	0.5	61	0
4	Dec_27_2013	27.13	26.94	27.06	27.05			26.98(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-10000	-2	47	0.69	34%	0	3.6	0.39%	0	0.3	64	0
5	Dec_26_2013	27.13	26.94	27.04	27.06			27.09(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-10000	-2	64	0.36	35%	-0.04	5.4	0.39%	0	1.1	75	0

6	Dec_24_2013	27.14	26.93	27.01	27.07			27.06(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	-10000	-2	81	0.28	35%	0	7.1	0.39%	0	0.9	77	0
7	Dec_23_2013	27.14	26.94	27	27.08			27.06(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-10000	2	96	0.68	35%	-0.04	6.8	0.39%	0	0.7	60	0
8	Dec_20_2013	27.15	26.94	26.98	27.07			27.06(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	32	-10000	8	103	0.55	35%	0	1.7	0.39%	0	0.8	64	0
9	Dec_19_2013	27.15	26.93	26.96	27.03			27.04(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	6	85	0.63	35%	0	-7.1	0.39%	0	0.7	52	0
10	Dec_18_2013	27.15	26.93	26.92	27			27.13(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	24	-10000	10	64	0.84	50%	-0.04	-12.5	0.39%	0	1.4	54	0

11	Dec_17_2013	27.16	26.93	26.87	26.95			27.13(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	7	-10000	4	15	1.53	50%	0	-16.1	0.5%	0	1.4	48	0
12	Dec_16_2013	27.16	26.92	26.84	26.92			26.99(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	4	-7	0.81	52%	-0.04	-13.6	0.5%	0	0.4	41	0
13	Dec_13_2013	27.17	26.93	26.84	26.89			26.87(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-4	-10000	3	-26	0.51	52%	-0.04	-19	0.52%	0	-0.4	43	0
14	Dec_12_2013	27.18	26.93	26.81	26.87			26.89(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-3	-10000	6	-31	0.33	52%	-0.04	-31.7	0.52%	0	-0.3	47	0
15	Dec_11_2013	27.19	26.93	26.82	26.83			26.86(-0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	7	-42	0.64	52%	-0.04	-54	0.52%	0	-0.5	46	0

16	Dec_10_2013	27.2	26.94	26.84	26.78			26.97(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-11	-10000	4	-56	0.95	52%	-0.04	-81	0.52%	0	0.2	44	0
17	Dec_9_2013	27.21	26.95	26.86	26.75			26.86(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-14	-10000	4	-67	0.6	52%	-0.04	-103.2	0.53%	0	-0.5	35	0
18	Dec_6_2013	27.22	26.96	26.87	26.72			26.78(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-23	-10000	-4	-81	0.71	52%	-0.04	-117.9	0.53%	0	-1	39	0
19	Dec_5_2013	27.23	26.99	26.89	26.75			26.67(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-26	-10000	-8	-80	0.51	52%	-0.04	-113.5	0.54%	0	-1.6	37	0
20	Dec_4_2013	27.24	27.03	26.92	26.81			26.61(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-28	-10000	-14	-70	0.88	52%	-0.04	-106.4	0.54%	0	-2	42	0

21	Dec_3_2013	27.25	27.08	26.98	26.91			26.82(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-17	-10000	-10	-37	0.74	56%	-0.04	-101.3	0.53%	0	-1.2	51	0
22	Dec_2_2013	27.26	27.12	27.02	26.98			26.72(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-10	-13	1.29	56%	0	-86.4	0.53%	0	-1.7	41	0
23	Nov_29_2013	27.26	27.18	27.06	26.98			26.94(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	1	-10000	0	3	0.54	60%	0	-77.1	0.52%	0	-0.9	42	0
24	Nov_27_2013	27.26	27.22	27.06	26.98			26.96(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-2	-10000	0	-8	0.44	60%	-0.04	-66.7	0.53%	0	-0.8	36	0
25	Nov_26_2013	27.27	27.26	27.08	27.05			27.12(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10000	0	-29	0.46	64%		-67.8	0.52%	0	-0.4	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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