Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 21, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $26.9800 (0.07%) ($26.9000 - $27.0300) on Thu. Nov. 21, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $26.9800(0.07%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(86%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EWG(57%)    EEM(56%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(2%)    SHY(6%)    TLT(18%)    GLD(23%)    USO(25%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $27.38
5 Day Moving Average   $27.09(-0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.06(-0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.38(-1.46%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.42% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131221

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_21_2013	27.26	27.38	27.06	27.09			26.98(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-10000	-3	-102	0.61	64%	-0.04	-57.7	0.52%	0	-1	25	0
2	Nov_20_2013	27.27	27.43	27.1	27.09			26.96(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-28	-10000	0	-113	0.61	64%	0	-54.1	0.53%	0	-1.2	22	0
3	Nov_19_2013	27.27	27.49	27.15	27.11			27.11(-0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-25	-10000	8	-125	0.55	68%	-0.04	-50	0.52%	0	-0.9	32	0
4	Nov_18_2013	27.28	27.53	27.19	27.05			27.27(0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-33	-10000	6	-149	0.68	73%	0	-49.7	0.53%	0	-0.7	32	0
5	Nov_15_2013	27.28	27.57	27.23	27.01			27.12(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-46	-10000	-3	-173	0.68	71%	0	-50.3	0.53%	0	-1.1	25	0

6	Nov_14_2013	27.28	27.61	27.29	27.03			27.09(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-51	-10000	-8	-180	0.6	71%	0	-47.5	0.54%	0	-1.3	23	0
7	Nov_13_2013	27.28	27.65	27.37	27.09			26.94(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-56	-10000	-15	-178	0.8	69%	0.04	-42.5	0.53%	0	-1.9	16	0
8	Nov_12_2013	27.27	27.69	27.46	27.2			26.85(-0.78%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-56	-10000	-19	-168	0.56	69%	0.04	-37.8	0.54%	0	-2.5	11	0
9	Nov_11_2013	27.26	27.73	27.56	27.34			27.06(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-51	-10000	-19	-148	0.62	77%	0	-32	0.53%	0	-2.5	20	0
10	Nov_8_2013	27.26	27.77	27.65	27.48			27.19(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-42	-10000	-16	-120	1.17	77%	0	-16.9	0.53%	0	-2.5	25	0

11	Nov_7_2013	27.26	27.79	27.73	27.6			27.43(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-10000	-13	-92	0.25	89%	0	4.4	0.52%	0	-1.9	32	0
12	Nov_6_2013	27.26	27.79	27.8	27.69			27.49(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-10000	-8	-64	1.3	89%	-0.04	27.7	0.52%	0	-1.8	33	0
13	Nov_5_2013	27.27	27.81	27.86	27.75			27.55(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-10000	-8	-38	0.88	89%	0	45.9	0.52%	0	-1.5	49	0
14	Nov_4_2013	27.27	27.82	27.91	27.81			27.72(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-5	-8	1.17	100%	-0.04	58.5	0.51%	0	-0.6	60	0
15	Nov_1_2013	27.28	27.81	27.93	27.85			27.8(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-5	13	0.62	100%	-0.04	59.2	0.51%	0	-0	56	0

16	Oct_31_2013	27.29	27.78	27.93	27.89			27.91(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-4	34	0.96	100%	0	59	0.51%	0	0.6	63	0
17	Oct_30_2013	27.29	27.76	27.93	27.92			27.75(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-10000	-10	49	0.43	100%	0	58.1	0.52%	0	-0	59	0
18	Oct_29_2013	27.29	27.74	27.94	27.99			27.85(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-4	72	0.79	100%	0	58.5	0.52%	0	0.4	65	0
19	Oct_28_2013	27.29	27.71	27.92	27.99			27.95(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	0	83	0.28	100%	-0.04	56.7	0.52%	0	0.9	73	0
20	Oct_25_2013	27.3	27.68	27.89	28.02			27.99(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	3	96	0.41	100%	-0.04	56.1	0.52%	0	1.1	78	0

21	Oct_24_2013	27.31	27.65	27.86	28			28.05(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	4	105	0.3	100%	0	56.4	0.52%	0	1.5	85	0
22	Oct_23_2013	27.31	27.62	27.82	27.97			28.1(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	37	-10000	11	114	0.41	100%	-0.04	58.6	0.53%	0	2	88	0
23	Oct_22_2013	27.32	27.59	27.76	27.89			28(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	-10000	12	109	0.54	100%	-0.04	51.3	0.53%	0	1.9	88	0
24	Oct_21_2013	27.33	27.56	27.72	27.8			27.95(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	30	-10000	7	98	0.6	100%	-0.04	57.5	0.53%	0	2	86	0
25	Oct_18_2013	27.34	27.53	27.67	27.75			27.91(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	28	-10000	7	92	0.76	100%		73.8	0.53%	0	2.1	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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