Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 7, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.4300 (-0.22%) ($27.4200 - $27.5600) on Thu. Nov. 7, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.52% (three month average)
RSI   32
Latest Price   $27.4300(-0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(86%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EWG(57%)    EEM(56%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.26% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(2%)    SHY(6%)    TLT(18%)    GLD(23%)    USO(25%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.26% (StdDev 0.52%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $27.79
5 Day Moving Average   $27.6(-0.62%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.73(-1.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.79(-1.3%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.68% (three month std-dev: 0.52%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2013	27.26	27.79	27.73	27.6			27.43(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-33	-10000	-13	-92	0.25	89%	0	4.4	0.52%	0	-1.9	32	0
2	Nov_6_2013	27.26	27.79	27.8	27.69			27.49(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-22	-10000	-8	-64	1.3	89%	-0.04	27.7	0.52%	0	-1.8	33	0
3	Nov_5_2013	27.27	27.81	27.86	27.75			27.55(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-10000	-8	-38	0.88	89%	0	45.9	0.52%	0	-1.5	49	0
4	Nov_4_2013	27.27	27.82	27.91	27.81			27.72(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	-10000	-5	-8	1.17	100%	-0.04	58.5	0.51%	0	-0.6	60	0
5	Nov_1_2013	27.28	27.81	27.93	27.85			27.8(-0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-5	13	0.62	100%	-0.04	59.2	0.51%	0	-0	56	0

6	Oct_31_2013	27.29	27.78	27.93	27.89			27.91(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-4	34	0.96	100%	0	59	0.51%	0	0.6	63	0
7	Oct_30_2013	27.29	27.76	27.93	27.92			27.75(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	5	-10000	-10	49	0.43	100%	0	58.1	0.52%	0	-0	59	0
8	Oct_29_2013	27.29	27.74	27.94	27.99			27.85(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	15	-10000	-4	72	0.79	100%	0	58.5	0.52%	0	0.4	65	0
9	Oct_28_2013	27.29	27.71	27.92	27.99			27.95(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	0	83	0.28	100%	-0.04	56.7	0.52%	0	0.9	73	0
10	Oct_25_2013	27.3	27.68	27.89	28.02			27.99(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-10000	3	96	0.41	100%	-0.04	56.1	0.52%	0	1.1	78	0

11	Oct_24_2013	27.31	27.65	27.86	28			28.05(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-10000	4	105	0.3	100%	0	56.4	0.52%	0	1.5	85	0
12	Oct_23_2013	27.31	27.62	27.82	27.97			28.1(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	37	-10000	11	114	0.41	100%	-0.04	58.6	0.53%	0	2	88	0
13	Oct_22_2013	27.32	27.59	27.76	27.89			28(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	36	-10000	12	109	0.54	100%	-0.04	51.3	0.53%	0	1.9	88	0
14	Oct_21_2013	27.33	27.56	27.72	27.8			27.95(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	30	-10000	7	98	0.6	100%	-0.04	57.5	0.53%	0	2	86	0
15	Oct_18_2013	27.34	27.53	27.67	27.75			27.91(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	28	-10000	7	92	0.76	100%	-0.07	73.8	0.53%	0	2.1	82	0

16	Oct_17_2013	27.36	27.5	27.61	27.7			27.91(0.83%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	26	-10000	8	80	0.48	100%	-0.04	107.3	0.53%	0	2.7	80	0
17	Oct_16_2013	27.37	27.48	27.55	27.64			27.68(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	3	62	0.54	100%	-0.07	154.5	0.52%	0	1.7	62	0
18	Oct_15_2013	27.39	27.47	27.51	27.64			27.57(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	13	-10000	0	51	0.39	100%	0.04	148.3	0.53%	0	0.6	55	0
19	Oct_14_2013	27.38	27.44	27.49	27.62			27.69(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	7	46	0.38	100%	-0.11	120	0.53%	0	1.1	60	0
20	Oct_11_2013	27.41	27.4	27.45	27.57			27.63(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	8	32	0.32	100%	-0.07	90.6	0.54%	0	0.8	64	0

21	Oct_10_2013	27.43	27.34	27.42	27.51			27.62(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	-10000	8	17	0.42	100%	-0.11	76	0.57%	0	0.8	64	0
22	Oct_9_2013	27.46	27.29	27.41	27.45			27.6(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	8	4	0.38	100%	-0.07	70.5	0.58%	0	0.9	57	0
23	Oct_8_2013	27.48	27.24	27.41	27.39			27.54(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	6	-13	0.75	100%	-0.11	61.9	0.59%	0	0.8	43	0
24	Oct_7_2013	27.51	27.18	27.39	27.34			27.45(0.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	2	-4	1.13	100%	-0.11	57.6	0.59%	0	0.7	71	0
25	Oct_4_2013	27.54	27.14	27.38	27.32			27.33(0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-10000	-1	11	0.32	71%		56.3	0.65%	0	0.4	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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