Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Sep. 11, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $26.4800 (0.61%) ($26.3700 - $26.5100) on Wed. Sep. 11, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $26.4800(0.61%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(86%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EWG(57%)    EEM(56%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(3%)    SHY(6%)    TLT(18%)    GLD(23%)    USO(25%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $26.5
5 Day Moving Average   $26.39(0.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.37(0.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.5(-0.08%)
To recent high   -7.8%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131011

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_11_2013	28.17	26.5		26.39			26.48(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	-10000	2	-10	0.53	45%	-0.14	-91.2	0.94%	0	-0.1	53	0
2	Sep_10_2013	28.21	26.54	26.37	26.39			26.32(-0.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	0	-15	0.41	43%	-0.18	-84.9	0.97%	0	-0.8	43	0
3	Sep_9_2013	28.26	26.59	26.4	26.36			26.54(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	3	-13	0.85	43%	-0.14	-69.5	0.98%	0	-0.1	45	0
4	Sep_6_2013	28.3	26.63	26.4	26.32			26.42(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	-10000	1	-26	0.39	43%	-0.14	-66.4	0.98%	0	-0.6	32	0
5	Sep_5_2013	28.34	26.67	26.39	26.31			26.2(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-12	-10000	-2	-43	0.72	41%	-0.18	-64	0.97%	0	-1.2	17	0

6	Sep_4_2013	28.39	26.72	26.41	26.34			26.3(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-17	-10000	-4	-57	0.55	42%	-0.14	-63.3	0.98%	0	-1.1	16	0
7	Sep_3_2013	28.43	26.78	26.43	26.39			26.34(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	-10000	-4	-66	0.54	42%	-0.25	-61.4	0.98%	0	-1.1	16	0
8	Aug_30_2013	28.5	26.83	26.46	26.44			26.34(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-22	-10000	-3	-77	0.75	41%	-0.14	-59.9	0.98%	0	-1.2	13	0
9	Aug_29_2013	28.54	26.88	26.51	26.48			26.35(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-22	-10000	-1	-83	0.39	40%	-0.17	-62.1	0.98%	0	-1.3	17	0
10	Aug_28_2013	28.59	26.93	26.57	26.49			26.35(-0.75%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-23	-10000	-1	-89	0.74	38%	-0.14	-69.8	0.99%	0	-1.5	19	0

11	Aug_27_2013	28.63	26.98	26.65	26.5			26.55(-0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	-10000	1	-91	0.5	38%	-0.14	-74.3	0.99%	0	-1.1	25	0
12	Aug_26_2013	28.67	27.03	26.71	26.5			26.61(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	0	-97	0.93	38%	-0.14	-79.7	1%	0	-1.1	24	0
13	Aug_23_2013	28.71	27.08	26.79	26.49			26.54(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-5	-100	0.51	37%	-0.14	-83.8	1%	0	-1.4	21	0
14	Aug_22_2013	28.75	27.14	26.87	26.55			26.39(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-32	-10000	-10	-96	0.42	37%	-0.14	-82.1	1%	0	-1.8	13	0
15	Aug_21_2013	28.79	27.21	26.97	26.68			26.39(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-29	-10000	-11	-82	0.53	37%	-0.1	-81.4	1%	0	-2.2	23	0

16	Aug_20_2013	28.82	27.28	27.06	26.83			26.5(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-24	-10000	-10	-66	0.76	36%	-0.1	-75	1%	0	-2.2	22	0
17	Aug_19_2013	28.85	27.36	27.15	26.97			26.61(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-23	-10000	-13	-54	0.6	36%	-0.1	-66.1	1%	0	-2.3	20	0
18	Aug_16_2013	28.88	27.42	27.23	27.14			26.85(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-15	-10000	-7	-39	0.46	36%	-0.1	-50.5	0.99%	0	-1.9	22	0
19	Aug_15_2013	28.91	27.48	27.29	27.24			27.04(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-4	-30	0.67	36%	-0.1	-33.3	0.99%	0	-1.6	25	0
20	Aug_14_2013	28.94	27.52	27.32	27.3			27.15(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-10	-10000	-2	-33	0.85	36%	-0.07	-21.3	0.99%	0	-1.4	23	0

21	Aug_13_2013	28.96	27.55	27.34	27.33			27.21(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-2	-38	0.65	35%	-0.1	-5.7	0.99%	0	-1.4	27	0
22	Aug_12_2013	28.99	27.55	27.38	27.36			27.43(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	1	-41	0.64	35%	-0.07	5.7	0.99%	0	-0.6	26	0
23	Aug_9_2013	29.01	27.58	27.4	27.36			27.38(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	0	-50	0.92	34%	-0.1	11.5	0.99%	0	-0.8	24	0
24	Aug_8_2013	29.04	27.57	27.42	27.35			27.33(0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	1	-56	0.54	34%	-0.07	19.5	0.99%	0	-1	23	0
25	Aug_7_2013	29.06	27.58	27.47	27.34			27.28(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-16	-10000	-1	-62	0.83	34%		15.3	0.99%	0	-1.1	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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