Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Aug. 26, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $26.6100 (0.26%) ($26.5800 - $26.7000) on Mon. Aug. 26, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $26.6100(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(86%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EWG(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(3%)    SHY(6%)    TLT(18%)    GLD(23%)    USO(25%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $23.81(-10.52%)
Resistance Level   $27.03
5 Day Moving Average   $26.49(0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.71(-0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.03(-1.55%)
To recent high   -9.7%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.48% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130926

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_26_2013	28.67	27.03	26.71				26.61(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	0	-97	0.93	38%	-0.14	-79.7	1%	0	-1.1	24	0
2	Aug_23_2013	28.71	27.08	26.79	26.49			26.54(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-5	-100	0.51	37%	-0.14	-83.8	1%	0	-1.4	21	0
3	Aug_22_2013	28.75	27.14	26.87	26.55			26.39(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-32	-10000	-10	-96	0.42	37%	-0.14	-82.1	1%	0	-1.8	13	0
4	Aug_21_2013	28.79	27.21	26.97	26.68			26.39(-0.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-29	-10000	-11	-82	0.53	37%	-0.1	-81.4	1%	0	-2.2	23	0
5	Aug_20_2013	28.82	27.28	27.06	26.83			26.5(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-24	-10000	-10	-66	0.76	36%	-0.1	-75	1%	0	-2.2	22	0

6	Aug_19_2013	28.85	27.36	27.15	26.97			26.61(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-23	-10000	-13	-54	0.6	36%	-0.1	-66.1	1%	0	-2.3	20	0
7	Aug_16_2013	28.88	27.42	27.23	27.14			26.85(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-15	-10000	-7	-39	0.46	36%	-0.1	-50.5	0.99%	0	-1.9	22	0
8	Aug_15_2013	28.91	27.48	27.29	27.24			27.04(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-10000	-4	-30	0.67	36%	-0.1	-33.3	0.99%	0	-1.6	25	0
9	Aug_14_2013	28.94	27.52	27.32	27.3			27.15(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-10	-10000	-2	-33	0.85	36%	-0.07	-21.3	0.99%	0	-1.4	23	0
10	Aug_13_2013	28.96	27.55	27.34	27.33			27.21(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-2	-38	0.65	35%	-0.1	-5.7	0.99%	0	-1.4	27	0

11	Aug_12_2013	28.99	27.55	27.38	27.36			27.43(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-10	-10000	1	-41	0.64	35%	-0.07	5.7	0.99%	0	-0.6	26	0
12	Aug_9_2013	29.01	27.58	27.4	27.36			27.38(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	0	-50	0.92	34%	-0.1	11.5	0.99%	0	-0.8	24	0
13	Aug_8_2013	29.04	27.57	27.42	27.35			27.33(0.18%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	-10000	1	-56	0.54	34%	-0.07	19.5	0.99%	0	-1	23	0
14	Aug_7_2013	29.06	27.58	27.47	27.34			27.28(-0.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-16	-10000	-1	-62	0.83	34%	-0.1	15.3	0.99%	0	-1.1	23	0
15	Aug_6_2013	29.09	27.57	27.51	27.36			27.38(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-3	-62	0.77	34%	-0.07	8.2	0.99%	0	-0.7	36	0

16	Aug_5_2013	29.11	27.56	27.57	27.4			27.37(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-16	-10000	-4	-52	0.85	34%	-0.1	3.8	0.99%	0	-0.7	42	0
17	Aug_2_2013	29.14	27.55	27.63	27.45			27.41(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-10000	-4	-34	0.65	35%	-0.07	5	0.99%	0	-0.4	55	0
18	Aug_1_2013	29.16	27.53	27.68	27.5			27.27(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-10	-10000	-8	-17	2.05	35%	-0.1	3.3	0.99%	0	-0.8	55	0
19	Jul_31_2013	29.19	27.54	27.75	27.61			27.36(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-6	6	1.58	35%	-0.1	21.7	1%	0	-0.5	52	0
20	Jul_30_2013	29.22	27.54	27.79	27.69			27.58(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-5	32	0.42	35%	-0.1	44.2	1%	0	0.1	70	0

21	Jul_29_2013	29.25	27.55	27.8	27.76			27.65(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-5	50	0.24	35%	-0.07	75.8	1%	0	0.3	62	0
22	Jul_26_2013	29.27	27.53	27.78	27.83			27.66(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-4	66	0.67	35%	-0.1	93.3	1%	0	0.4	66	0
23	Jul_25_2013	29.3	27.51	27.74	27.88			27.79(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-1	84	0.96	35%	-0.07	103.3	1%	0	0.8	72	0
24	Jul_24_2013	29.32	27.46	27.71	27.88			27.75(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	0	88	1.02	35%	-0.1	84	1%	0	0.8	55	0
25	Jul_23_2013	29.35	27.4	27.63	27.9			27.97(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	4	81	0.37	35%		53.6	1%	0	1.4	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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