Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jul. 31, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.3600 (-0.8%) ($27.2400 - $27.4500) on Wed. Jul. 31, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $27.3600(-0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(86%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EWG(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(3%)    SHY(6%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(25%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $27.54
5 Day Moving Average   $27.61(-0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.75(-1.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.54(-0.65%)
To recent high   -12.3%
To recent low   5.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130831

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_31_2013	29.19	27.54	27.75	27.61			27.36(-0.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-10000	-6	6	1.58	35%	-0.1	21.7	1%	0	-0.5	52	0
2	Jul_30_2013	29.22	27.54	27.79	27.69			27.58(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-5	32	0.42	35%	-0.1	44.2	1%	0	0.1	70	0
3	Jul_29_2013	29.25	27.55	27.8	27.76			27.65(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-5	50	0.24	35%	-0.07	75.8	1%	0	0.3	62	0
4	Jul_26_2013	29.27	27.53	27.78	27.83			27.66(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-4	66	0.67	35%	-0.1	93.3	1%	0	0.4	66	0
5	Jul_25_2013	29.3	27.51	27.74	27.88			27.79(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-1	84	0.96	35%	-0.07	103.3	1%	0	0.8	72	0

6	Jul_24_2013	29.32	27.46	27.71	27.88			27.75(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	0	88	1.02	35%	-0.1	84	1%	0	0.8	55	0
7	Jul_23_2013	29.35	27.4	27.63	27.9			27.97(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	4	81	0.37	35%	-0.1	53.6	1%	0	1.4	56	0
8	Jul_22_2013	29.38	27.3	27.56	27.84			27.96(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	9	67	0.58	35%	-0.07	18.2	1%	0	1.3	53	0
9	Jul_19_2013	29.4	27.23	27.47	27.72			27.94(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	10	48	0.55	35%	-0.07	-7.5	1%	0	1.4	59	0
10	Jul_18_2013	29.42	27.18	27.36	27.58			27.9(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	7	23	0.44	35%	-0.1	-28.9	1%	0	1.5	59	0

11	Jul_17_2013	29.45	27.17	27.3	27.48			27.75(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	11	27	1.1	35%	-0.07	-36.7	0.99%	0	1.2	65	0
12	Jul_16_2013	29.47	27.18	27.28	27.33			27.63(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	7	29	0.8	35%	-0.1	-39.4	0.99%	0	0.9	68	0
13	Jul_15_2013	29.5	27.21	27.27	27.24			27.37(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	5	56	1.17	35%	-0.1	-38.3	0.98%	0	0.3	72	0
14	Jul_12_2013	29.53	27.27	27.26	27.17			27.25(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	5	64	1	35%	-0.1	-35.1	0.98%	0	-0	59	0
15	Jul_11_2013	29.56	27.32	27.27	27.17			27.41(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	0	59	1.8	35%	-0.1	-37.7	0.98%	0	0.1	54	0

16	Jul_10_2013	29.59	27.35	27.2	27.1			26.97(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-9	37	1.47	32%	-0.1	-41.8	0.95%	0	-0.5	42	0
17	Jul_9_2013	29.62	27.38	27.16	27.22			27.21(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10000	-7	18	1.35	32%	-0.1	-46.4	0.95%	0	-0.2	40	0
18	Jul_8_2013	29.65	27.43	27.03	27.31			27.03(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-5	-24	1.22	33%	-0.1	-45.6	0.94%	0	-0.5	36	0
19	Jul_5_2013	29.68	27.5	26.99	27.37			26.86(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-6	-63	1.58	35%	-0.13	-44.3	0.94%	0	-0.8	33	0
20	Jul_3_2013	29.72	27.59	27	27.45			27.45(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	-10000	12	-78	0.64	39%	-0.13	-42.5	0.93%	0	-0.2	39	0

21	Jul_2_2013	29.76	27.65	27.03	27.3			27.54(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	17	-100	1.92	39%	-0.1	-47.6	0.93%	0	-0.1	46	0
22	Jul_1_2013	29.79	27.72	27.07	27.08			27.67(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	29	-116	1.13	39%	-0.1	-56.2	0.93%	0	-0.1	50	0
23	Jun_28_2013	29.82	27.77	27.13	26.72			27.31(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-33	-10000	13	-171	1.37	37%	-0.1	-70.1	0.91%	0	-0.5	42	0
24	Jun_27_2013	29.85	27.85	27.25	26.56			27.26(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-46	-10000	4	-194	1.23	37%	-0.1	-76.8	0.91%	0	-0.6	39	0
25	Jun_26_2013	29.88	27.94	27.36	26.51			26.74(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-71	-10000	-18	-228	2.03	34%		-81.8	0.87%	0	-1.2	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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