Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sun. Jul. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.6600 (-0.47%) ($27.6500 - $27.7600) on Sun. Jul. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $27.6600(-0.47%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.5% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.5% (StdDev 1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.83(-0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.78(-0.43%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.53(0.47%)
To recent high   -11.4%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130828

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_26_2013	29.27	27.53	27.78	27.83			27.66(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	14	-10000	-4	66	0.67	35%	-0.1	93.3	1%	0	0.4	66	0
2	Jul_25_2013	29.3	27.51	27.74	27.88			27.79(0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-10000	-1	84	0.96	35%	-0.07	103.3	1%	0	0.8	72	0
3	Jul_24_2013	29.32	27.46	27.71	27.88			27.75(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-10000	0	88	1.02	35%	-0.1	84	1%	0	0.8	55	0
4	Jul_23_2013	29.35	27.4	27.63	27.9			27.97(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-10000	4	81	0.37	35%	-0.1	53.6	1%	0	1.4	56	0
5	Jul_22_2013	29.38	27.3	27.56	27.84			27.96(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	9	67	0.58	35%	-0.07	18.2	1%	0	1.3	53	0

6	Jul_19_2013	29.4	27.23	27.47	27.72			27.94(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	10	48	0.55	35%	-0.07	-7.5	1%	0	1.4	59	0
7	Jul_18_2013	29.42	27.18	27.36	27.58			27.9(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	11	-10000	7	23	0.44	35%	-0.1	-28.9	1%	0	1.5	59	0
8	Jul_17_2013	29.45	27.17	27.3	27.48			27.75(0.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	11	27	1.1	35%	-0.07	-36.7	0.99%	0	1.2	65	0
9	Jul_16_2013	29.47	27.18	27.28	27.33			27.63(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	7	29	0.8	35%	-0.1	-39.4	0.99%	0	0.9	68	0
10	Jul_15_2013	29.5	27.21	27.27	27.24			27.37(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	18	-10000	5	56	1.17	35%	-0.1	-38.3	0.98%	0	0.3	72	0

11	Jul_12_2013	29.53	27.27	27.26	27.17			27.25(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	5	64	1	35%	-0.1	-35.1	0.98%	0	-0	59	0
12	Jul_11_2013	29.56	27.32	27.27	27.17			27.41(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	0	59	1.8	35%	-0.1	-37.7	0.98%	0	0.1	54	0
13	Jul_10_2013	29.59	27.35	27.2	27.1			26.97(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-10000	-9	37	1.47	32%	-0.1	-41.8	0.95%	0	-0.5	42	0
14	Jul_9_2013	29.62	27.38	27.16	27.22			27.21(0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-1	-10000	-7	18	1.35	32%	-0.1	-46.4	0.95%	0	-0.2	40	0
15	Jul_8_2013	29.65	27.43	27.03	27.31			27.03(0.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-10000	-5	-24	1.22	33%	-0.1	-45.6	0.94%	0	-0.5	36	0

16	Jul_5_2013	29.68	27.5	26.99	27.37			26.86(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-10000	-6	-63	1.58	35%	-0.13	-44.3	0.94%	0	-0.8	33	0
17	Jul_3_2013	29.72	27.59	27	27.45			27.45(-0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	-10000	12	-78	0.64	39%	-0.13	-42.5	0.93%	0	-0.2	39	0
18	Jul_2_2013	29.76	27.65	27.03	27.3			27.54(-0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-10000	17	-100	1.92	39%	-0.1	-47.6	0.93%	0	-0.1	46	0
19	Jul_1_2013	29.79	27.72	27.07	27.08			27.67(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-7	-10000	29	-116	1.13	39%	-0.1	-56.2	0.93%	0	-0.1	50	0
20	Jun_28_2013	29.82	27.77	27.13	26.72			27.31(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-33	-10000	13	-171	1.37	37%	-0.1	-70.1	0.91%	0	-0.5	42	0

21	Jun_27_2013	29.85	27.85	27.25	26.56			27.26(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-46	-10000	4	-194	1.23	37%	-0.1	-76.8	0.91%	0	-0.6	39	0
22	Jun_26_2013	29.88	27.94	27.36	26.51			26.74(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-71	-10000	-18	-228	2.03	34%	-0.13	-81.8	0.87%	0	-1.2	33	0
23	Jun_25_2013	29.92	28.06	27.48	26.72			26.42(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-79	-10000	-30	-225	1.26	31%	-0.13	-81.5	0.86%	0	-1.7	30	0
24	Jun_24_2013	29.96	28.22	27.62	27.07			25.86(-2.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-94	-10000	-47	-235	2.55	26%	-0.13	-82.4	0.8%	0	-2.6	22	0
25	Jun_21_2013	30	28.42	27.87	27.59			26.53(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-77	-10000	-41	-185	2.28	29%		-82.1	0.75%	0	-2.4	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.