Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jun. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.3100 (0.18%) ($27.0400 - $27.4500) on Fri. Jun. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $27.3100(0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -2.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EEM(56%)    EWG(56%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $20.74(-24.06%)
Resistance Level   $27.77
5 Day Moving Average   $26.72(2.21%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.13(0.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.77(-1.66%)
To recent high   -12.5%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 3.28% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130728

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_28_2013	29.82	27.77	27.13	26.72			27.31(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-33	-10000	13	-171	1.37	37%	-0.1	-70.1	0.91%	0	-0.5	42	0
2	Jun_27_2013	29.85	27.85	27.25	26.56			27.26(1.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-46	-10000	4	-194	1.23	37%	-0.1	-76.8	0.91%	0	-0.6	39	0
3	Jun_26_2013	29.88	27.94	27.36	26.51			26.74(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-71	-10000	-18	-228	2.03	34%	-0.13	-81.8	0.87%	0	-1.2	33	0
4	Jun_25_2013	29.92	28.06	27.48	26.72			26.42(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-79	-10000	-30	-225	1.26	31%	-0.13	-81.5	0.86%	0	-1.7	30	0
5	Jun_24_2013	29.96	28.22	27.62	27.07			25.86(-2.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.3	-94	-10000	-47	-235	2.55	26%	-0.13	-82.4	0.8%	0	-2.6	22	0

6	Jun_21_2013	30	28.42	27.87	27.59			26.53(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-77	-10000	-41	-185	2.28	29%	-0.13	-82.1	0.75%	0	-2.4	28	0
7	Jun_20_2013	30.04	28.6	28.08	28.02			27(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-53	-10000	-28	-129	3.04	31%	-0.13	-78.8	0.72%	0	-2.3	30	0
8	Jun_19_2013	30.08	28.76	28.26	28.31			27.81(-1.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-27	-10000	-3	-97	2.12	34%	-0.1	-72	0.63%	0	-1.4	33	0
9	Jun_18_2013	30.11	28.88	28.35	28.34			28.14(-1.09%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-18	-10000	11	-104	1.7	36%	-0.1	-70.3	0.62%	0	-1	36	0
10	Jun_17_2013	30.14	28.98	28.43	28.24			28.45(-0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-32	-10000	5	-144	1.28	38%	-0.1	-74.1	0.61%	0	-0.7	35	0

11	Jun_14_2013	30.17	29.08	28.47	28.2			28.71(0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-44	-10000	4	-188	2.44	39%	-0.07	-74.3	0.6%	0	-0.5	33	0
12	Jun_13_2013	30.19	29.16	28.48	28.17			28.46(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-64	-10000	-6	-237	1.63	36%	-0.1	-75.8	0.59%	0	-0.8	28	0
13	Jun_12_2013	30.22	29.25	28.55	28.22			27.96(1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-88	-10000	-20	-291	2.14	30%	-0.1	-75.2	0.54%	0	-1.5	16	0
14	Jun_11_2013	30.25	29.38	28.67	28.37			27.64(-2.06%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-109	-10000	-37	-325	3.35	26%	-0.1	-75.2	0.51%	0	-2.1	9	0
15	Jun_10_2013	30.28	29.54	28.86	28.64			28.22(-1.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-96	-10000	-19	-328	2.14	29%	-0.1	-75.1	0.45%	0	-1.7	10	0

16	Jun_7_2013	30.31	29.68	29.02	28.76			28.55(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-93	-10000	-13	-332	0.92	29%	-0.07	-75.1	0.44%	0	-1.5	11	0
17	Jun_6_2013	30.33	29.8	29.15	28.84			28.73(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-98	-10000	-14	-349	2.22	31%	-0.1	-73.3	0.43%	0	-1.4	11	0
18	Jun_5_2013	30.36	29.91	29.29	28.93			28.69(-1.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-97	-10000	-16	-341	1.27	31%	-0.07	-72.1	0.43%	0	-1.6	11	0
19	Jun_4_2013	30.38	30.03	29.45	29.03			29.03(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-99	-10000	-15	-350	1.61	35%	-0.07	-72.9	0.41%	0	-1.4	12	0
20	Jun_3_2013	30.4	30.13	29.57	29.12			28.82(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-116	-10000	-33	-366	3.36	32%	-0.1	-69.9	0.4%	0	-1.8	2	0

21	May_31_2013	30.43	30.25	29.73	29.31			28.91(-0.99%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-109	-10000	-35	-332	2.6	32%	-0.07	-66.1	0.41%	0	-2	2	0
22	May_30_2013	30.45	30.37	29.89	29.52			29.2(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-106	-10000	-34	-323	0.86	34%	-0.1	-60.2	0.39%	0	-1.9	2	0
23	May_29_2013	30.48	30.47	30.02	29.72			29.18(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-99	-10000	-35	-292	1.13	34%	-0.07	-54.3	0.4%	0	-2.3	5	0
24	May_28_2013	30.5	30.56	30.16	29.93			29.48(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-87	-10000	-28	-265	1.62	38%	-0.1	-49.7	0.38%	0	-2.3	10	0
25	May_24_2013	30.53	30.64	30.28	30.09			29.8(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-83	-10000	-23	-261	0.34	44%		-44.8	0.35%	0	-2	11	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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