Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 29, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $29.1800 (-1.02%) ($29.1400 - $29.3300) on Wed. May. 29, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.4% (three month average)
RSI   5
Latest Price   $29.1800(-1.02%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EEM(56%)    EWG(56%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.2% (StdDev 0.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $26.41(-9.49%)
Resistance Level   $30.47
5 Day Moving Average   $29.72(-1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.02(-2.8%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.47(-4.23%)
To recent high   -6.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 0.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130629

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_29_2013	30.48	30.47	30.02	29.72			29.18(-1.02%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-99	-10000	-35	-292	1.13	34%	-0.07	-54.3	0.4%	0	-2.3	5	0
2	May_28_2013	30.5	30.56	30.16	29.93			29.48(-1.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-87	-10000	-28	-265	1.62	38%	-0.1	-49.7	0.38%	0	-2.3	10	0
3	May_24_2013	30.53	30.64	30.28	30.09			29.8(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-83	-10000	-23	-261	0.34	44%	-0.07	-44.8	0.35%	0	-2	11	0
4	May_23_2013	30.55	30.69	30.39	30.21			29.93(-0.89%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-76	-10000	-21	-240	0.77	46%	-0.03	-40.2	0.35%	0	-2.1	11	0
5	May_22_2013	30.56	30.74	30.5	30.32			30.2(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-63	-10000	-8	-227	0.98	50%	-0.03	-34.7	0.33%	0	-1.7	12	0

6	May_21_2013	30.57	30.77	30.58	30.36			30.24(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-64	-10000	-12	-221	0.83	50%	-0.03	-29.7	0.33%	0	-1.9	21	0
7	May_20_2013	30.58	30.8	30.65	30.42			30.28(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-65	-10000	-16	-210	1.55	48%	-0.03	-23.8	0.33%	0	-2	27	0
8	May_17_2013	30.59	30.82	30.73	30.5			30.41(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-58	-10000	-19	-175	1.06	52%	-0.03	-17.9	0.34%	0	-1.7	36	0
9	May_16_2013	30.6	30.84	30.8	30.6			30.45(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-51	-10000	-23	-133	0.73	52%	-0.03	-12	0.34%	0	-1.7	42	0
10	May_15_2013	30.61	30.85	30.88	30.72			30.43(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-36	-10000	-23	-74	0.7	50%	0	0	0.34%	0	-1.9	41	0

11	May_14_2013	30.61	30.85	30.95	30.84			30.55(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-16	-10000	-14	-21	0.9	52%	-0.03	12.3	0.34%	0	-1.5	43	0
12	May_13_2013	30.62	30.86	31	30.91			30.68(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-10000	-15	15	0.97	51%	-0.03	21.5	0.34%	0	-0.9	51	0
13	May_10_2013	30.63	30.87	31.03	30.99			30.88(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-10000	-10	58	1	55%	0	33.9	0.33%	0	0.1	63	0
14	May_9_2013	30.63	30.86	31.02	31.04			31.07(0.23%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	18	-10000	-6	89	0.49	59%	0	48.4	0.32%	0	1.1	73	0
15	May_8_2013	30.63	30.85	31	31.07			31(0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	26	-10000	-4	115	1	61%	0	64.5	0.32%	0	0.8	74	0

16	May_7_2013	30.63	30.83	30.98	31.09			30.94(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	33	-10000	-2	136	1.73	63%	-0.03	85.5	0.33%	0	0.6	73	0
17	May_6_2013	30.64	30.82	30.96	31.1			31.07(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	45	-10000	8	157	0.37	67%	0	109.7	0.32%	0	1.3	73	0
18	May_3_2013	30.64	30.8	30.92	31.06			31.13(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	-10000	12	147	0.84	63%	0	137.9	0.32%	0	1.8	71	0
19	May_2_2013	30.64	30.77	30.87	31			31.21(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	42	-10000	18	114	0.7	63%	0	132.3	0.33%	0	2.2	65	0
20	May_1_2013	30.64	30.73	30.8	30.91			31.09(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	27	-10000	10	79	1.02	62%	0	111.5	0.32%	0	1.5	66	0

21	Apr_30_2013	30.64	30.67	30.75	30.86			31(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-10000	10	53	1.15	54%	-0.03	95.6	0.33%	0	1.2	65	0
22	Apr_29_2013	30.65	30.61	30.71	30.81			30.89(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	9	30	0.77	51%	0	77.8	0.34%	0	0.8	57	0
23	Apr_26_2013	30.65	30.56	30.71	30.76			30.79(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	8	-10000	6	13	0.94	48%	-0.03	75	0.35%	0	0.7	54	0
24	Apr_25_2013	30.66	30.51	30.69	30.73			30.8(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	9	17	0.41	48%	-0.03	66.9	0.35%	0	0.8	63	0
25	Apr_24_2013	30.67	30.46	30.68	30.68			30.82(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	11	27	0.87	48%		57.8	0.35%	0	0.9	75	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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