Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 22, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $30.6500 (0.1%) ($30.5800 - $30.6600) on Mon. Apr. 22, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.35% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $30.6500(0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EWG(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.175% (StdDev 0.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.6(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.67(-0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.36(0.96%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.38% (three month std-dev: 0.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130522

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_22_2013	30.68	30.36		30.6			30.65(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-10000	-2	83	0.57	48%	-0.03	48.6	0.35%	0	0.7	81	0
2	Apr_19_2013	30.69	30.31		30.61			30.62(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	29	-10000	-7	138	0.51	48%	-0.03	45.5	0.35%	0	0.7	82	0
3	Apr_18_2013	30.7	30.27	30.67	30.65			30.55(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	43	-10000	-7	194	0.37	50%	-0.03	46.9	0.35%	0	0.6	78	0
4	Apr_17_2013	30.71	30.24	30.64	30.69			30.55(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	55	-10000	-6	238	0.82	50%	0	46.3	0.35%	0	0.7	79	0
5	Apr_16_2013	30.71	30.2	30.59	30.72			30.64(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	63	-10000	-4	264	0.78	50%	-0.03	45	0.35%	0	1	81	0

6	Apr_15_2013	30.72	30.16	30.52	30.72			30.7(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	71	-10000	0	285	0.77	48%	0	45.2	0.35%	0	1.2	85	0
7	Apr_12_2013	30.72	30.11	30.42	30.74			30.83(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	81	-10000	9	295	0.7	50%	0	45.3	0.35%	0	1.7	89	0
8	Apr_11_2013	30.72	30.07	30.32	30.69			30.73(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	87	-10000	19	289	0.62	50%	-0.03	41.5	0.35%	0	1.7	85	0
9	Apr_10_2013	30.73	30.03	30.22	30.59			30.69(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	87	-10000	28	263	0.85	50%	0	33.3	0.35%	0	1.8	82	0
10	Apr_9_2013	30.73	30	30.12	30.44			30.73(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	81	-10000	34	221	0.46	50%	0	20.6	0.35%	0	2.3	84	0

11	Apr_8_2013	30.73	29.96	30.02	30.26			30.72(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	69	-10000	38	163	0.81	49%	-0.03	1.1	0.35%	0	2.8	83	0
12	Apr_5_2013	30.74	29.92	29.91	30.06			30.56(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	48	-10000	32	94	0.81	45%	0	-24.3	0.34%	0	2.9	75	0
13	Apr_4_2013	30.74	29.92	29.83	29.9			30.25(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	23	-10000	21	29	1.13	39%	-0.03	-53.3	0.32%	0	1.9	59	0
14	Apr_3_2013	30.75	29.91	29.78	29.8			29.95(0.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	0	-10000	9	-27	1.11	32%	-0.06	-61.2	0.29%	0	0.2	39	0
15	Apr_2_2013	30.77	29.93	29.78	29.76			29.81(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	5	-69	2.24	31%	-0.03	-57.1	0.28%	0	-0.5	25	0

16	Apr_1_2013	30.78	29.96	29.76	29.76			29.73(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-25	-10000	0	-99	2.53	31%	-0.06	-53.8	0.28%	0	-1	21	0
17	Mar_28_2013	30.8	29.98	29.78	29.76			29.78(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	-10000	0	-116	3.5	31%	-0.06	-53.8	0.28%	0	-0.8	20	0
18	Mar_27_2013	30.82	30	29.8	29.74			29.73(-0.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-39	-10000	-5	-141	0.72	31%	-0.06	-50.6	0.28%	0	-1.1	11	0
19	Mar_26_2013	30.84	30.03	29.83	29.76			29.75(0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0	-41	-10000	-2	-159	0.58	31%	-0.03	-48.8	0.28%	0	-1.2	10	0
20	Mar_25_2013	30.85	30.06	29.86	29.77			29.71(-0.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	-10000	-5	-178	0.52	31%	-0.03	-51.9	0.28%	0	-1.5	6	0

21	Mar_22_2013	30.86	30.09	29.9	29.79			29.74(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-53	-10000	-7	-191	1	31%	-0.06	-56.2	0.28%	0	-1.6	16	0
22	Mar_21_2013	30.88	30.11	29.94	29.82			29.78(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-10000	-9	-182	0.54	31%	-0.03	-63.6	0.29%	0	-1.6	30	0
23	Mar_20_2013	30.89	30.13	29.99	29.86			29.82(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10000	-12	-168	0.99	31%	-0.03	-68.3	0.29%	0	-1.6	29	0
24	Mar_19_2013	30.9	30.15	30.05	29.91			29.8(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-10000	-14	-150	0.95	34%	-0.06	-75	0.29%	0	-1.9	25	0
25	Mar_18_2013	30.92	30.18	30.11	29.97			29.81(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-10000	-14	-121	1.01	33%		-81.1	0.29%	0	-2.3	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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