Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 22, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $29.7400 (-0.13%) ($29.7200 - $29.8000) on Fri. Mar. 22, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.28% (three month average)
RSI   16
Latest Price   $29.7400(-0.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EWG(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.14% (StdDev 0.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $30.09
5 Day Moving Average   $29.79(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.9(-0.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.09(-1.16%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.73% (three month std-dev: 0.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130422

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_22_2013	30.86	30.09	29.9	29.79			29.74(-0.13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-53	-10000	-7	-191	1	31%	-0.06	-56.2	0.28%	0	-1.6	16	0
2	Mar_21_2013	30.88	30.11	29.94	29.82			29.78(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-52	-10000	-9	-182	0.54	31%	-0.03	-63.6	0.29%	0	-1.6	30	0
3	Mar_20_2013	30.89	30.13	29.99	29.86			29.82(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-51	-10000	-12	-168	0.99	31%	-0.03	-68.3	0.29%	0	-1.6	29	0
4	Mar_19_2013	30.9	30.15	30.05	29.91			29.8(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-10000	-14	-150	0.95	34%	-0.06	-75	0.29%	0	-1.9	25	0
5	Mar_18_2013	30.92	30.18	30.11	29.97			29.81(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-41	-10000	-14	-121	1.01	33%	-0.03	-81.1	0.29%	0	-2.3	29	0

6	Mar_15_2013	30.93	30.21	30.16	30.03			29.88(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	-10000	-12	-90	0.69	33%	-0.03	-93.5	0.29%	0	-2.4	40	0
7	Mar_14_2013	30.94	30.24	30.2	30.08			29.98(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-14	-70	0.74	32%	-0.06	-100	0.29%	0	-2.2	44	0
8	Mar_13_2013	30.96	30.26	30.23	30.14			30.06(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-16	-42	0.96	32%	-0.03	-80	0.29%	0	-1.7	45	0
9	Mar_12_2013	30.97	30.29	30.26	30.21			30.12(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-14	-10	0.98	32%	-0.03	-48.8	0.29%	0	-1.3	45	0
10	Mar_11_2013	30.98	30.31	30.28	30.27			30.09(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-6	-10000	-11	10	1.18	32%	-0.03	-22.4	0.29%	0	-1.5	37	0

11	Mar_8_2013	30.99	30.34	30.28	30.32			30.14(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-5	23	1.47	32%	-0.06	-8.2	0.29%	0	-1.3	45	0
12	Mar_7_2013	31.01	30.34	30.29	30.34			30.31(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	2	17	0.9	34%	-0.03	-2.2	0.29%	0	-0.4	45	0
13	Mar_6_2013	31.02	30.36	30.28	30.33			30.41(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	5	-2	0.54	35%	-0.03	-10.9	0.29%	0	0.4	45	0
14	Mar_5_2013	31.03	30.36	30.28	30.31			30.42(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	5	-31	0.85	35%	-0.03	-30.4	0.29%	0	0.5	39	0
15	Mar_4_2013	31.04	30.36	30.26	30.29			30.34(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	9	-59	0.85	35%	-0.03	-54.3	0.28%	0	-0.1	34	0

16	Mar_1_2013	31.05	30.35	30.25	30.25			30.21(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-23	-10000	2	-98	0.89	32%	-0.03	-77.6	0.28%	0	-0.9	31	0
17	Feb_28_2013	31.06	30.36	30.27	30.24			30.26(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	-10000	2	-111	1.69	32%	-0.03	-110.9	0.28%	0	-0.7	40	0
18	Feb_27_2013	31.07	30.37	30.29	30.23			30.34(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-24	-10000	5	-111	1.69	34%	0	-134.8	0.27%	0	-0.2	50	0
19	Feb_26_2013	31.07	30.4	30.31	30.21			30.29(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-5	-101	1.64	36%	-0.03	-123.2	0.28%	0	-0.6	52	0
20	Feb_25_2013	31.08	30.42	30.35	30.23			30.16(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-5	-75	1.2	33%	-0.03	-109.1	0.27%	0	-1.3	46	0

21	Feb_22_2013	31.09	30.47	30.39	30.25			30.15(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-13	-59	0.86	33%	-0.03	-87.3	0.27%	0	-1.3	40	0
22	Feb_21_2013	31.1	30.52	30.43	30.3			30.2(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-14	-31	0.87	33%	-0.03	-75.3	0.28%	0	-1.2	43	0
23	Feb_20_2013	31.11	30.56	30.43	30.36			30.24(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-19	-23	1.05	33%	0	-62.1	0.28%	0	-1.1	39	0
24	Feb_19_2013	31.11	30.61	30.43	30.44			30.39(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-12	-25	0.75	37%	0	-56.1	0.27%	0	-0.7	34	0
25	Feb_15_2013	31.11	30.64	30.45	30.49			30.28(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-15	-44	0.81	31%		-50	0.27%	0	-1.1	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.