Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 15, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $29.8800 (-0.33%) ($29.8700 - $29.9200) on Fri. Mar. 15, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.29% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $29.8800(-0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EWG(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.145% (StdDev 0.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $30.21
5 Day Moving Average   $30.03(-0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.16(-0.93%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.21(-1.09%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.46% (three month std-dev: 0.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2013	30.93	30.21	30.16	30.03			29.88(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	-10000	-12	-90	0.69	33%	-0.03	-93.5	0.29%	0	-2.4	40	0
2	Mar_14_2013	30.94	30.24	30.2	30.08			29.98(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-28	-10000	-14	-70	0.74	32%	-0.06	-100	0.29%	0	-2.2	44	0
3	Mar_13_2013	30.96	30.26	30.23	30.14			30.06(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-16	-42	0.96	32%	-0.03	-80	0.29%	0	-1.7	45	0
4	Mar_12_2013	30.97	30.29	30.26	30.21			30.12(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-13	-10000	-14	-10	0.98	32%	-0.03	-48.8	0.29%	0	-1.3	45	0
5	Mar_11_2013	30.98	30.31	30.28	30.27			30.09(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-6	-10000	-11	10	1.18	32%	-0.03	-22.4	0.29%	0	-1.5	37	0

6	Mar_8_2013	30.99	30.34	30.28	30.32			30.14(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	2	-10000	-5	23	1.47	32%	-0.06	-8.2	0.29%	0	-1.3	45	0
7	Mar_7_2013	31.01	30.34	30.29	30.34			30.31(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	6	-10000	2	17	0.9	34%	-0.03	-2.2	0.29%	0	-0.4	45	0
8	Mar_6_2013	31.02	30.36	30.28	30.33			30.41(-0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	5	-2	0.54	35%	-0.03	-10.9	0.29%	0	0.4	45	0
9	Mar_5_2013	31.03	30.36	30.28	30.31			30.42(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-4	-10000	5	-31	0.85	35%	-0.03	-30.4	0.29%	0	0.5	39	0
10	Mar_4_2013	31.04	30.36	30.26	30.29			30.34(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	-10000	9	-59	0.85	35%	-0.03	-54.3	0.28%	0	-0.1	34	0

11	Mar_1_2013	31.05	30.35	30.25	30.25			30.21(-0.17%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-23	-10000	2	-98	0.89	32%	-0.03	-77.6	0.28%	0	-0.9	31	0
12	Feb_28_2013	31.06	30.36	30.27	30.24			30.26(-0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-26	-10000	2	-111	1.69	32%	-0.03	-110.9	0.28%	0	-0.7	40	0
13	Feb_27_2013	31.07	30.37	30.29	30.23			30.34(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-24	-10000	5	-111	1.69	34%	0	-134.8	0.27%	0	-0.2	50	0
14	Feb_26_2013	31.07	30.4	30.31	30.21			30.29(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-5	-101	1.64	36%	-0.03	-123.2	0.28%	0	-0.6	52	0
15	Feb_25_2013	31.08	30.42	30.35	30.23			30.16(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-5	-75	1.2	33%	-0.03	-109.1	0.27%	0	-1.3	46	0

16	Feb_22_2013	31.09	30.47	30.39	30.25			30.15(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-13	-59	0.86	33%	-0.03	-87.3	0.27%	0	-1.3	40	0
17	Feb_21_2013	31.1	30.52	30.43	30.3			30.2(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-14	-31	0.87	33%	-0.03	-75.3	0.28%	0	-1.2	43	0
18	Feb_20_2013	31.11	30.56	30.43	30.36			30.24(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-19	-23	1.05	33%	0	-62.1	0.28%	0	-1.1	39	0
19	Feb_19_2013	31.11	30.61	30.43	30.44			30.39(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-12	-25	0.75	37%	0	-56.1	0.27%	0	-0.7	34	0
20	Feb_15_2013	31.11	30.64	30.45	30.49			30.28(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-15	-44	0.81	31%	-0.03	-50	0.27%	0	-1.1	28	0

21	Feb_14_2013	31.12	30.68	30.45	30.55			30.41(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-5	-56	1.18	33%	0	-49.5	0.28%	0	-0.9	25	0
22	Feb_13_2013	31.12	30.71	30.46	30.57			30.48(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-19	-10000	7	-97	1.22	33%	0	-50	0.27%	0	-0.7	25	0
23	Feb_12_2013	31.12	30.75	30.47	30.54			30.62(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	-10000	17	-147	0.83	35%	0	-55.8	0.27%	0	-0.4	27	0
24	Feb_11_2013	31.12	30.78	30.48	30.47			30.65(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-37	-10000	17	-198	1.08	35%	0	-60.9	0.27%	0	-0.4	31	0
25	Feb_8_2013	31.12	30.8	30.5	30.4			30.6(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-58	-10000	7	-253	1.35	35%		-69.3	0.27%	0	-0.6	27	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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