Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Feb. 26, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $30.2900 (0.43%) ($30.1900 - $30.3500) on Tue. Feb. 26, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.28% (three month average)
RSI   52
Latest Price   $30.2900(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EWG(56%)    EEM(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.14% (StdDev 0.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $29.28(-3.33%)
Resistance Level   $30.4
5 Day Moving Average   $30.21(0.26%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.31(-0.07%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.4(-0.36%)
To recent high   -4%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.56% (three month std-dev: 0.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130326

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_26_2013	31.07	30.4	30.31	30.21			30.29(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-29	-10000	-5	-101	1.64	36%	-0.03	-123.2	0.28%	0	-0.6	52	0
2	Feb_25_2013	31.08	30.42	30.35	30.23			30.16(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10000	-5	-75	1.2	33%	-0.03	-109.1	0.27%	0	-1.3	46	0
3	Feb_22_2013	31.09	30.47	30.39	30.25			30.15(-0.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-25	-10000	-13	-59	0.86	33%	-0.03	-87.3	0.27%	0	-1.3	40	0
4	Feb_21_2013	31.1	30.52	30.43	30.3			30.2(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-10000	-14	-31	0.87	33%	-0.03	-75.3	0.28%	0	-1.2	43	0
5	Feb_20_2013	31.11	30.56	30.43	30.36			30.24(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	-19	-23	1.05	33%	0	-62.1	0.28%	0	-1.1	39	0

6	Feb_19_2013	31.11	30.61	30.43	30.44			30.39(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-15	-10000	-12	-25	0.75	37%	0	-56.1	0.27%	0	-0.7	34	0
7	Feb_15_2013	31.11	30.64	30.45	30.49			30.28(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-10000	-15	-44	0.81	31%	-0.03	-50	0.27%	0	-1.1	28	0
8	Feb_14_2013	31.12	30.68	30.45	30.55			30.41(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-10000	-5	-56	1.18	33%	0	-49.5	0.28%	0	-0.9	25	0
9	Feb_13_2013	31.12	30.71	30.46	30.57			30.48(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-19	-10000	7	-97	1.22	33%	0	-50	0.27%	0	-0.7	25	0
10	Feb_12_2013	31.12	30.75	30.47	30.54			30.62(-0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-24	-10000	17	-147	0.83	35%	0	-55.8	0.27%	0	-0.4	27	0

11	Feb_11_2013	31.12	30.78	30.48	30.47			30.65(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-37	-10000	17	-198	1.08	35%	0	-60.9	0.27%	0	-0.4	31	0
12	Feb_8_2013	31.12	30.8	30.5	30.4			30.6(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-58	-10000	7	-253	1.35	35%	0	-69.3	0.27%	0	-0.6	27	0
13	Feb_7_2013	31.12	30.83	30.54	30.37			30.48(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-66	-10000	5	-280	1.25	32%	0	-72.6	0.26%	0	-1	30	0
14	Feb_6_2013	31.12	30.88	30.6	30.35			30.36(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-81	-10000	-10	-295	2.09	31%	0	-77.8	0.26%	0	-1.4	23	0
15	Feb_5_2013	31.12	30.93	30.68	30.39			30.28(-0.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-91	-10000	-25	-289	1.59	31%	0	-79.6	0.26%	0	-1.9	18	0

16	Feb_4_2013	31.12	30.98	30.76	30.49			30.29(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-89	-10000	-30	-264	1.59	31%	-0.03	-76.6	0.26%	0	-2.1	16	0
17	Feb_1_2013	31.13	31.05	30.85	30.61			30.43(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-79	-10000	-32	-220	2.05	33%	0	-72.2	0.26%	0	-2.1	21	0
18	Jan_31_2013	31.13	31.1	30.92	30.74			30.4(-0.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-76	-10000	-38	-188	2.86	33%	0	-64.4	0.26%	0	-2.5	19	0
19	Jan_30_2013	31.13	31.16	30.99	30.89			30.53(-0.88%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-63	-10000	-34	-150	2.19	35%	0	-54.5	0.25%	0	-2.6	20	0
20	Jan_29_2013	31.13	31.21	31.05	31.02			30.8(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-42	-10000	-17	-116	1.65	40%	0	-47.5	0.23%	0	-2.2	24	0

21	Jan_28_2013	31.13	31.24	31.1	31.08			30.89(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-36	-10000	-14	-100	1.83	42%	0	-37.9	0.23%	0	-1.9	24	0
22	Jan_25_2013	31.13	31.27	31.14	31.13			31.09(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-10000	3	-94	0.94	44%	0.03	-29.4	0.22%	0	-1.1	24	0
23	Jan_24_2013	31.12	31.28	31.15	31.12			31.14(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	-10000	3	-119	1.07	44%	0.03	-25	0.22%	0	-0.9	30	0
24	Jan_23_2013	31.11	31.29	31.17	31.11			31.16(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	-10000	3	-146	1.16	44%	0	-25	0.22%	0	-0.9	28	0
25	Jan_22_2013	31.11	31.3	31.18	31.1			31.11(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-49	-10000	-9	-167	1.2	44%		-22.9	0.22%	0	-1.3	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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