Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jan. 28, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $30.8900 (-0.64%) ($30.8800 - $31.0700) on Mon. Jan. 28, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.23% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $30.8900(-0.64%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(67%)    LQD(62%)    EEM(55%)    EWG(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.115% (StdDev 0.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $31.24
5 Day Moving Average   $31.08(-0.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.1(-0.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.24(-1.12%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.58% (three month std-dev: 0.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130228

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_28_2013	31.13	31.24	31.1	31.08			30.89(-0.64%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-36	-10000	-14	-100	1.83	42%	0	-37.9	0.23%	0	-1.9	24	0
2	Jan_25_2013	31.13	31.27	31.14	31.13			31.09(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-21	-10000	3	-94	0.94	44%	0.03	-29.4	0.22%	0	-1.1	24	0
3	Jan_24_2013	31.12	31.28	31.15	31.12			31.14(-0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-28	-10000	3	-119	1.07	44%	0.03	-25	0.22%	0	-0.9	30	0
4	Jan_23_2013	31.11	31.29	31.17	31.11			31.16(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-34	-10000	3	-146	1.16	44%	0	-25	0.22%	0	-0.9	28	0
5	Jan_22_2013	31.11	31.3	31.18	31.1			31.11(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-49	-10000	-9	-167	1.2	44%	0.03	-22.9	0.22%	0	-1.3	33	0

6	Jan_18_2013	31.1	31.3	31.21	31.13			31.17(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-41	-10000	-3	-154	1.65	44%	0.03	-22.2	0.22%	0	-1	39	0
7	Jan_17_2013	31.09	31.31	31.25	31.14			31.04(-0.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-50	-10000	-15	-155	16.6	40%	0.03	-24.4	0.21%	0	-1.9	32	0
8	Jan_16_2013	31.08	31.32	31.29	31.19			31.08(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-10000	-12	-125	1.29	43%	0.03	-28.9	0.21%	0	-2	35	0
9	Jan_15_2013	31.07	31.32	31.34	31.23			31.11(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-10000	-15	-86	1.71	43%	0.03	-28.9	0.21%	0	-1.8	39	0
10	Jan_14_2013	31.06	31.33	31.37	31.28			31.26(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-20	-10000	-10	-50	0.95	47%	0.06	-28.6	0.21%	0	-0.6	50	0

11	Jan_11_2013	31.04	31.34	31.39	31.31			31.21(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-10000	-17	-29	0.73	55%	0.03	-25.7	0.22%	0	-1.2	49	0
12	Jan_10_2013	31.03	31.34	31.41	31.37			31.27(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-10000	-12	17	1.6	55%	0.03	-11.4	0.22%	0	-0.7	57	0
13	Jan_9_2013	31.02	31.35	31.41	31.41			31.32(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-10000	-15	54	0.75	55%	0.06	0	0.22%	0	-0.3	67	0
14	Jan_8_2013	31	31.35	31.41	31.46			31.33(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.2	20	-10000	-5	93	3.43	55%	0.03	11.4	0.22%	0	-0.3	60	0
15	Jan_7_2013	30.99	31.36	31.42	31.46			31.41(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	29	-10000	0	117	1.31	57%	0.06	17.1	0.22%	0	0.5	64	0

16	Jan_4_2013	30.97	31.37	31.41	31.48			31.52(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	-10000	10	124	1.25	61%	0.06	20	0.21%	0	1.4	59	0
17	Jan_3_2013	30.95	31.37	31.38	31.45			31.47(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	5	95	1.08	64%	0.03	17.1	0.22%	0	1	55	0
18	Jan_2_2013	30.94	31.36	31.35	31.43			31.55(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	12	68	1.92	67%	0.1	15.6	0.22%	0	1.9	56	0
19	Dec_31_2012	30.91	31.35	31.31	31.39			31.45(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	9	25	0.6	67%	0.03	13.8	0.22%	0	1.1	46	0
20	Dec_28_2012	30.9	31.35	31.29	31.36			31.4(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	5	-3	0.52	67%	0.03	20.7	0.22%	0	0.7	48	0

21	Dec_27_2012	30.89	31.35	31.29	31.34			31.39(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	12	-22	0.53	70%	0.03	27.6	0.22%	0	0.6	43	0
22	Dec_26_2012	30.88	31.35	31.29	31.3			31.37(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	14	-41	0.42	70%	0.06	27.6	0.23%	0	0.3	44	0
23	Dec_24_2012	30.86	31.34	31.28	31.25			31.34(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-13	-10000	5	-68	0.4	70%	0.03	24.1	0.23%	0	0	46	0
24	Dec_21_2012	30.85	31.34	31.29	31.23			31.3(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	5	-79	1.08	70%	0.06	28.1	0.23%	0	-0.3	41	0
25	Dec_20_2012	30.83	31.33	31.3	31.21			31.28(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-26	-10000	-3	-95	1.02	70%		25	0.23%	0	-0.5	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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