Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 3, 2013

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $31.4700 (-0.25%) ($31.4500 - $31.5800) on Thu. Jan. 3, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.22% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $31.4700(-0.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(66%)    LQD(62%)    EEM(55%)    EWG(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.11% (StdDev 0.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.45(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.38(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.36(0.35%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.35% (three month std-dev: 0.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_3_2013	30.95		31.38	31.45			31.47(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	-10000	5	95	1.08	64%	0.03	17.1	0.22%	0	1	55	0
2	Jan_2_2013	30.94	31.36	31.35	31.43			31.55(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	26	-10000	12	68	1.92	67%	0.1	15.6	0.22%	0	1.9	56	0
3	Dec_31_2012	30.91	31.35	31.31	31.39			31.45(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	-10000	9	25	0.6	67%	0.03	13.8	0.22%	0	1.1	46	0
4	Dec_28_2012	30.9	31.35	31.29	31.36			31.4(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	-10000	5	-3	0.52	67%	0.03	20.7	0.22%	0	0.7	48	0
5	Dec_27_2012	30.89	31.35	31.29	31.34			31.39(0.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	4	-10000	12	-22	0.53	70%	0.03	27.6	0.22%	0	0.6	43	0

6	Dec_26_2012	30.88	31.35	31.29	31.3			31.37(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	0	-10000	14	-41	0.42	70%	0.06	27.6	0.23%	0	0.3	44	0
7	Dec_24_2012	30.86	31.34	31.28	31.25			31.34(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-13	-10000	5	-68	0.4	70%	0.03	24.1	0.23%	0	0	46	0
8	Dec_21_2012	30.85	31.34	31.29	31.23			31.3(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	5	-79	1.08	70%	0.06	28.1	0.23%	0	-0.3	41	0
9	Dec_20_2012	30.83	31.33	31.3	31.21			31.28(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-26	-10000	-3	-95	1.02	70%	0.03	25	0.23%	0	-0.5	39	0
10	Dec_19_2012	30.82	31.33	31.31	31.22			31.23(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	-10000	-9	-90	0.7	70%	0.03	22.9	0.23%	0	-0.8	37	0

11	Dec_18_2012	30.81	31.33	31.33	31.25			31.12(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-32	-10000	-17	-75	0.63	68%	0.06	21.1	0.23%	0	-1.7	36	0
12	Dec_17_2012	30.79	31.32	31.36	31.31			31.2(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-10000	-14	-42	0.61	71%	0.03	23.8	0.23%	0	-0.9	44	0
13	Dec_14_2012	30.78	31.31	31.39	31.36			31.21(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-9	-10000	-11	-2	0.8	66%	0.07	22.2	0.23%	0	-0.7	53	0
14	Dec_13_2012	30.76	31.31	31.41	31.4			31.35(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10000	-5	37	0.83	71%	0.03	22.9	0.23%	0	0.3	71	0
15	Dec_12_2012	30.75	31.3	31.42	31.42			31.37(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-10000	-3	74	0.49	71%	0.07	27.1	0.23%	0	0.5	75	0

16	Dec_11_2012	30.73	31.29	31.42	31.42			31.41(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	0	99	0.72	71%	0.07	29.2	0.23%	0	0.8	77	0
17	Dec_10_2012	30.71	31.28	31.41	31.43			31.45(0.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	32	-10000	3	119	0.55	71%	0.07	33.3	0.23%	0	1.1	83	0
18	Dec_7_2012	30.69	31.28	31.38	31.43			31.4(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	0	138	0.38	74%	0.07	42.2	0.23%	0	0.9	85	0
19	Dec_6_2012	30.67	31.27	31.36	31.42			31.46(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	40	-10000	3	150	0.56	74%	0.07	46.7	0.23%	0	1.4	78	0
20	Dec_5_2012	30.65	31.26	31.33	31.41			31.43(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	-10000	3	137	0.79	74%	0.03	54.8	0.23%	0	1.3	58	0

21	Dec_4_2012	30.64	31.25	31.3	31.4			31.39(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	34	-10000	5	119	0.94	76%	0.07	57.1	0.23%	0	1.1	55	0
22	Dec_3_2012	30.62	31.23	31.26	31.38			31.42(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	33	-10000	11	97	0.92	76%	0.07	60.5	0.24%	0	1.6	56	0
23	Nov_30_2012	30.6	31.22	31.22	31.34			31.42(0.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	25	-10000	13	60	0.65	76%	0.07	44.7	0.24%	0	1.7	56	0
24	Nov_29_2012	30.58	31.2	31.18	31.29			31.41(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	-10000	18	25	0.82	76%	0.07	31.4	0.24%	0	1.9	56	0
25	Nov_28_2012	30.56	31.18	31.16	31.22			31.34(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	6	-10000	11	-8	0.97	76%		12.5	0.24%	0	1.6	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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