Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 26, 2012

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $31.2300 (0.29%) ($31.1500 - $31.2400) on Mon. Nov. 26, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.24% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $31.2300(0.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(66%)    LQD(62%)    EEM(55%)    EWG(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.12% (StdDev 0.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.13(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.15(0.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.16(0.22%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.29% (three month std-dev: 0.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121226

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_26_2012	30.51			31.13			31.23(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	-0	-10000	13	-40	1.36	75%	0.07	-37.9	0.24%	0	0.8	55	0
2	Nov_23_2012	30.49	31.16	31.15	31.08			31.14(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-9	-10000	5	-51	0.43	74%	0.07	-56.3	0.24%	0	-0.2	57	0
3	Nov_21_2012	30.47	31.16	31.16	31.06			31.1(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	-10000	-11	-54	0.87	75%	0.07	-79.3	0.24%	0	-0.8	49	0
4	Nov_20_2012	30.45	31.17	31.18	31.1			31.12(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-14	-10000	-8	-31	1.14	75%	0.07	-72.4	0.24%	0	-0.6	52	0
5	Nov_19_2012	30.43	31.18	31.19	31.13			31.07(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-9	-10000	-11	-4	0.64	75%	0.1	-62.1	0.24%	0	-1.2	52	0

6	Nov_16_2012	30.4	31.2	31.2	31.17			30.97(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-9	-10000	-16	11	1.18	70%	0.07	-34.4	0.24%	0	-2.3	39	0
7	Nov_15_2012	30.38	31.22	31.22	31.23			31.06(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-1	-10000	-11	31	0.78	66%	0.1	0	0.24%	0	-1.8	40	0
8	Nov_14_2012	30.35	31.22	31.23	31.23			31.26(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	0	48	0.65	72%	0.07	37.9	0.25%	0	0.2	55	0
9	Nov_13_2012	30.33	31.22	31.21	31.23			31.27(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	0	38	0.52	72%	0.1	50	0.25%	0	0.3	48	0
10	Nov_12_2012	30.3	31.24	31.19	31.27			31.28(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	5	21	1.07	72%	0.1	62.5	0.25%	0	0.4	45	0

11	Nov_9_2012	30.27	31.23	31.18	31.25			31.28(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	10	-10000	13	0	0.66	72%	0.1	62.5	0.25%	0	0.5	41	0
12	Nov_8_2012	30.24	31.22	31.17	31.2			31.27(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	8	-31	1.16	72%	0.1	50	0.26%	0	0.5	38	0
13	Nov_7_2012	30.21	31.2	31.17	31.17			31.27(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	8	-57	0.44	72%	0.07	39.5	0.26%	0	0.6	39	0
14	Nov_6_2012	30.19	31.19	31.16	31.14			31.25(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	8	-75	1.41	74%	0.1	33.3	0.26%	0	0.5	46	0
15	Nov_5_2012	30.16	31.18	31.17	31.14			31.16(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-10000	0	-92	0.82	73%	0.1	35.6	0.26%	0	-0.1	41	0

16	Nov_2_2012	30.13	31.18	31.19	31.11			31.06(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-7	-76	0.66	74%	0.1	41.7	0.27%	0	-0.7	49	0
17	Nov_1_2012	30.1	31.17	31.22	31.14			31.13(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-2	-36	0.88	74%	0.1	64.6	0.27%	0	-0.3	61	0
18	Oct_31_2012	30.07	31.16	31.25	31.15			31.11(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-10	-6	1.13	74%	0.2	79.2	0.27%	0	-0.3	63	0
19	Oct_26_2012	30.01	31.14	31.27	31.19			31.07(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-12	26	0.51	79%	0.1	68.8	0.27%	0	-0.4	57	0
20	Oct_25_2012	29.98	31.13	31.27	31.24			31.17(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-10	69	0.52	82%	0.1	70.4	0.27%	0	0.2	63	0

21	Oct_24_2012	29.95	31.1	31.29	31.28			31.23(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10000	-7	97	0.53	82%	0.13	68.8	0.27%	0	0.5	68	0
22	Oct_23_2012	29.91	31.07	31.27	31.31			31.19(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-10	112	0.76	77%	0.13	66.7	0.27%	0	0.4	61	0
23	Oct_22_2012	29.87	31.04	31.25	31.35			31.27(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	32	-10000	-2	132	0.82	77%	0.1	66.7	0.28%	0	0.8	73	0
24	Oct_19_2012	29.84	31.01	31.22	31.36			31.32(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10000	2	151	0.66	77%	0.13	68.1	0.28%	0	1.1	78	0
25	Oct_18_2012	29.8	30.97	31.19	31.35			31.37(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	-10000	10	180	0.54	77%		70.2	0.27%	0	1.4	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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