Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 12, 2012

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $31.2800 (0%) ($31.2500 - $31.3200) on Mon. Nov. 12, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.25% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $31.2800(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(66%)    LQD(62%)    EEM(55%)    EWG(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.125% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.125% (StdDev 0.25%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.27(0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.19(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.24(0.13%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.32% (three month std-dev: 0.25%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_12_2012	30.3	31.24	31.19	31.27			31.28(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	9	-10000	5	21	1.07	72%	0.1	62.5	0.25%	0	0.4	45	0
2	Nov_9_2012	30.27	31.23	31.18	31.25			31.28(0.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	10	-10000	13	0	0.66	72%	0.1	62.5	0.25%	0	0.5	41	0
3	Nov_8_2012	30.24	31.22	31.17	31.2			31.27(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-2	-10000	8	-31	1.16	72%	0.1	50	0.26%	0	0.5	38	0
4	Nov_7_2012	30.21	31.2	31.17	31.17			31.27(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-8	-10000	8	-57	0.44	72%	0.07	39.5	0.26%	0	0.6	39	0
5	Nov_6_2012	30.19	31.19	31.16	31.14			31.25(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-13	-10000	8	-75	1.41	74%	0.1	33.3	0.26%	0	0.5	46	0

6	Nov_5_2012	30.16	31.18	31.17	31.14			31.16(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-23	-10000	0	-92	0.82	73%	0.1	35.6	0.26%	0	-0.1	41	0
7	Nov_2_2012	30.13	31.18	31.19	31.11			31.06(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-10000	-7	-76	0.66	74%	0.1	41.7	0.27%	0	-0.7	49	0
8	Nov_1_2012	30.1	31.17	31.22	31.14			31.13(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-10000	-2	-36	0.88	74%	0.1	64.6	0.27%	0	-0.3	61	0
9	Oct_31_2012	30.07	31.16	31.25	31.15			31.11(0.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-9	-10000	-10	-6	1.13	74%	0.2	79.2	0.27%	0	-0.3	63	0
10	Oct_26_2012	30.01	31.14	31.27	31.19			31.07(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-3	-10000	-12	26	0.51	79%	0.1	68.8	0.27%	0	-0.4	57	0

11	Oct_25_2012	29.98	31.13	31.27	31.24			31.17(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-10000	-10	69	0.52	82%	0.1	70.4	0.27%	0	0.2	63	0
12	Oct_24_2012	29.95	31.1	31.29	31.28			31.23(0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	19	-10000	-7	97	0.53	82%	0.13	68.8	0.27%	0	0.5	68	0
13	Oct_23_2012	29.91	31.07	31.27	31.31			31.19(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-10000	-10	112	0.76	77%	0.13	66.7	0.27%	0	0.4	61	0
14	Oct_22_2012	29.87	31.04	31.25	31.35			31.27(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	32	-10000	-2	132	0.82	77%	0.1	66.7	0.28%	0	0.8	73	0
15	Oct_19_2012	29.84	31.01	31.22	31.36			31.32(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10000	2	151	0.66	77%	0.13	68.1	0.28%	0	1.1	78	0

16	Oct_18_2012	29.8	30.97	31.19	31.35			31.37(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	53	-10000	10	180	0.54	77%	0.13	70.2	0.27%	0	1.4	84	0
17	Oct_17_2012	29.76	30.93	31.15	31.31			31.41(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	63	-10000	21	188	0.44	77%	0.1	67	0.27%	0	1.7	88	0
18	Oct_16_2012	29.73	30.89	31.11	31.22			31.4(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	64	-10000	21	191	0.7	79%	0.07	61.9	0.27%	0	2	89	0
19	Oct_15_2012	29.71	30.85	31.06	31.13			31.3(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	-10000	14	171	0.65	78%	0.13	51.9	0.28%	0	1.8	89	0
20	Oct_12_2012	29.67	30.81	31.01	31.07			31.29(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	54	-10000	16	167	1.15	78%	0.13	45.3	0.28%	0	2.1	82	0

21	Oct_11_2012	29.63	30.77	30.95	31			31.13(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	7	146	0.62	78%	0.1	44.6	0.28%	0	1.8	75	0
22	Oct_10_2012	29.6	30.75	30.9	30.97			30.99(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	-10000	-2	136	0.72	77%	0.1	50.8	0.28%	0	1.3	73	0
23	Oct_9_2012	29.57	30.73	30.86	30.98			30.93(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	37	-10000	2	140	0.76	77%	0.1	65.5	0.28%	0	1.2	71	0
24	Oct_8_2012	29.54	30.72	30.82	30.97			30.99(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10000	9	136	0.42	77%	0.14	78.8	0.28%	0	1.7	77	0
25	Oct_5_2012	29.5	30.7	30.78	30.93			30.98(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	11	133	0.68	77%		91.8	0.28%	0	1.9	79	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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