Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 17, 2012

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $31.4100 (0.03%) ($31.3500 - $31.4400) on Wed. Oct. 17, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.27% (three month average)
RSI   88
Latest Price   $31.4100(0.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(66%)    LQD(62%)    EEM(55%)    EWG(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.135% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.135% (StdDev 0.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $31.31(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.15(0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.93(1.55%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   6.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.91% (three month std-dev: 0.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121117

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_17_2012	29.76	30.93	31.15	31.31			31.41(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	63	-10000	21	188	0.44	77%	0.1	67	0.27%	0	1.7	88	0
2	Oct_16_2012	29.73	30.89	31.11	31.22			31.4(0.32%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	64	-10000	21	191	0.7	79%	0.07	61.9	0.27%	0	2	89	0
3	Oct_15_2012	29.71	30.85	31.06	31.13			31.3(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	53	-10000	14	171	0.65	78%	0.13	51.9	0.28%	0	1.8	89	0
4	Oct_12_2012	29.67	30.81	31.01	31.07			31.29(0.51%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	54	-10000	16	167	1.15	78%	0.13	45.3	0.28%	0	2.1	82	0
5	Oct_11_2012	29.63	30.77	30.95	31			31.13(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	7	146	0.62	78%	0.1	44.6	0.28%	0	1.8	75	0

6	Oct_10_2012	29.6	30.75	30.9	30.97			30.99(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	33	-10000	-2	136	0.72	77%	0.1	50.8	0.28%	0	1.3	73	0
7	Oct_9_2012	29.57	30.73	30.86	30.98			30.93(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	37	-10000	2	140	0.76	77%	0.1	65.5	0.28%	0	1.2	71	0
8	Oct_8_2012	29.54	30.72	30.82	30.97			30.99(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	41	-10000	9	136	0.42	77%	0.14	78.8	0.28%	0	1.7	77	0
9	Oct_5_2012	29.5	30.7	30.78	30.93			30.98(0.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	42	-10000	11	133	0.68	77%	0.1	91.8	0.28%	0	1.9	79	0
10	Oct_4_2012	29.47	30.68	30.74	30.88			30.97(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	16	120	0.73	77%	0.1	93.9	0.28%	0	1.9	74	0

11	Oct_3_2012	29.44	30.65	30.7	30.81			31.03(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	42	-10000	24	97	15.96	77%	0.1	91.8	0.28%	0	2.5	65	0
12	Oct_2_2012	29.41	30.62	30.66	30.71			30.87(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-10000	17	49	0.79	77%	0.1	95.2	0.27%	0	1.9	54	0
13	Oct_1_2012	29.38	30.6	30.63	30.64			30.82(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	9	8	1.27	77%	0.1	94.9	0.28%	0	1.8	53	0
14	Sep_28_2012	29.35	30.57	30.59	30.6			30.69(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	2	-23	1.13	78%	0.07	81.4	0.28%	0	0.9	51	0
15	Sep_27_2012	29.33	30.54	30.59	30.59			30.66(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	2	-29	1.13	79%	0.07	71.4	0.28%	0	0.8	55	0

16	Sep_26_2012	29.31	30.52	30.58	30.58			30.53(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-2	-20	0.78	78%	0.07	66.1	0.28%	0	0.1	59	0
17	Sep_25_2012	29.29	30.5	30.6	30.59			30.52(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-2	10	0.94	78%	0.07	69.4	0.28%	0	0.1	61	0
18	Sep_24_2012	29.27	30.48	30.62	30.6			30.59(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	2	39	0.68	78%	0.07	74.2	0.28%	0	0.5	67	0
19	Sep_21_2012	29.25	30.46	30.63	30.59			30.63(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10000	5	64	0.62	78%	0.07	72.2	0.28%	0	0.8	76	0
20	Sep_20_2012	29.23	30.43	30.62	30.57			30.61(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	19	-10000	-2	81	0.72	78%	0.07	77.8	0.28%	0	0.8	74	0

21	Sep_19_2012	29.21	30.41	30.61	30.58			30.61(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-7	101	0.54	78%	0.07	75.9	0.29%	0	0.8	76	0
22	Sep_18_2012	29.19	30.37	30.58	30.61			30.58(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-10000	-7	128	0.71	78%	0.07	73.2	0.29%	0	0.8	74	0
23	Sep_17_2012	29.17	30.33	30.56	30.64			30.5(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	33	-10000	-7	154	0.79	78%	0.07	65.2	0.29%	0	0.6	74	0
24	Sep_14_2012	29.15	30.3	30.54	30.67			30.55(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	45	-10000	-2	186	0.79	78%	0.07	60.4	0.28%	0	0.9	78	0
25	Sep_13_2012	29.13	30.26	30.51	30.68			30.68(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	59	-10000	11	204	1.07	82%		53.5	0.28%	0	1.4	88	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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