Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 4, 2012

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $30.9700 (-0.19%) ($30.9600 - $31.0300) on Thu. Oct. 4, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.28% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $30.9700(-0.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EMHY(85%)    JNK(66%)    LQD(62%)    EEM(55%)    EWG(55%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(5%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(19%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.14% (StdDev 0.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.88(0.29%)
10 Day Moving Average   $30.74(0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.68(0.95%)
To recent high   -0.2%
To recent low   6.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.49% (three month std-dev: 0.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2012	29.47	30.68	30.74	30.88			30.97(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	-10000	16	120	0.73	77%	0.1	93.9	0.28%	0	1.9	74	0
2	Oct_3_2012	29.44	30.65	30.7	30.81			31.03(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	42	-10000	24	97	15.96	77%	0.1	91.8	0.28%	0	2.5	65	0
3	Oct_2_2012	29.41	30.62	30.66	30.71			30.87(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	-10000	17	49	0.79	77%	0.1	95.2	0.27%	0	1.9	54	0
4	Oct_1_2012	29.38	30.6	30.63	30.64			30.82(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	9	-10000	9	8	1.27	77%	0.1	94.9	0.28%	0	1.8	53	0
5	Sep_28_2012	29.35	30.57	30.59	30.6			30.69(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	2	-23	1.13	78%	0.07	81.4	0.28%	0	0.9	51	0

6	Sep_27_2012	29.33	30.54	30.59	30.59			30.66(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-10000	2	-29	1.13	79%	0.07	71.4	0.28%	0	0.8	55	0
7	Sep_26_2012	29.31	30.52	30.58	30.58			30.53(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	-10000	-2	-20	0.78	78%	0.07	66.1	0.28%	0	0.1	59	0
8	Sep_25_2012	29.29	30.5	30.6	30.59			30.52(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10000	-2	10	0.94	78%	0.07	69.4	0.28%	0	0.1	61	0
9	Sep_24_2012	29.27	30.48	30.62	30.6			30.59(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	-10000	2	39	0.68	78%	0.07	74.2	0.28%	0	0.5	67	0
10	Sep_21_2012	29.25	30.46	30.63	30.59			30.63(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	20	-10000	5	64	0.62	78%	0.07	72.2	0.28%	0	0.8	76	0

11	Sep_20_2012	29.23	30.43	30.62	30.57			30.61(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	19	-10000	-2	81	0.72	78%	0.07	77.8	0.28%	0	0.8	74	0
12	Sep_19_2012	29.21	30.41	30.61	30.58			30.61(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-7	101	0.54	78%	0.07	75.9	0.29%	0	0.8	76	0
13	Sep_18_2012	29.19	30.37	30.58	30.61			30.58(0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	27	-10000	-7	128	0.71	78%	0.07	73.2	0.29%	0	0.8	74	0
14	Sep_17_2012	29.17	30.33	30.56	30.64			30.5(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	33	-10000	-7	154	0.79	78%	0.07	65.2	0.29%	0	0.6	74	0
15	Sep_14_2012	29.15	30.3	30.54	30.67			30.55(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	45	-10000	-2	186	0.79	78%	0.07	60.4	0.28%	0	0.9	78	0

16	Sep_13_2012	29.13	30.26	30.51	30.68			30.68(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	59	-10000	11	204	1.07	82%	0.1	53.5	0.28%	0	1.4	88	0
17	Sep_12_2012	29.1	30.23	30.45	30.63			30.75(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	66	-10000	19	205	0.8	82%	0.07	44.4	0.27%	0	1.7	96	0
18	Sep_11_2012	29.08	30.19	30.39	30.55			30.72(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	59	-10000	16	189	1.41	82%	0.1	39.3	0.28%	0	2	97	0
19	Sep_10_2012	29.05	30.16	30.33	30.48			30.66(0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	62	-10000	21	186	1.01	82%	0.07	32.5	0.28%	0	2.1	97	0
20	Sep_7_2012	29.03	30.13	30.27	30.39			30.58(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	57	-10000	19	170	0.93	83%	0.1	22.9	0.28%	0	2.1	97	0

21	Sep_6_2012	29	30.1	30.23	30.31			30.42(0.13%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	52	-10000	13	167	0.68	84%	0.07	18.3	0.27%	0	1.8	95	0
22	Sep_5_2012	28.98	30.1	30.19	30.26			30.38(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	45	-10000	12	145	0.92	85%	0.07	18.9	0.29%	0	1.8	79	0
23	Sep_4_2012	28.96	30.09	30.14	30.21			30.36(0.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	-10000	12	119	1.77	85%	0.14	20.8	0.29%	0	1.7	59	0
24	Aug_31_2012	28.92	30.09	30.08	30.16			30.19(-0.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	2	75	0.67	79%	0.07	26	0.3%	0	0.7	50	0
25	Aug_30_2012	28.9	30.08	30.05	30.15			30.2(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-10000	5	54	0.76	79%		34	0.3%	0	0.8	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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