Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.0200 (-0.28%) ($28.0200 - $28.1400) on Tue. Apr. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.35% (three month average)
RSI   27
Latest Price   $28.0200(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(66%)    LQD(61%)    EEM(54%)    EWG(54%)    SPY(52%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.175% in a week (0% probabilities).
EMHY(-13%)    IGOV(6%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(18%)    GLD(22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.175% (StdDev 0.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $28.14
5 Day Moving Average   $28.03(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.02(0%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.14(-0.43%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.57% (three month std-dev: 0.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120503

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_3_2012	27.51	28.14	28.02	28.03			28.02(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-11	-10000	2	-49	0.96	49%	0	-24.6	0.35%	0	-0.8	27	0
2	Apr_2_2012	27.51	28.15	28.02	28.02			28.1(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	-10000	4	-75	3.71	49%	0.04	-24.6	0.37%	0	-0.3	25	0
3	Mar_30_2012	27.5	28.16	28.03	28			28.02(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10000	-2	-95	0.65	49%	0	-18.3	0.37%	0	-0.8	31	0
4	Mar_29_2012	27.5	28.17	28.05	28.01			28.02(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	-10000	4	-101	0.8	49%	0.04	-8.8	0.37%	0	-0.9	38	0
5	Mar_28_2012	27.49	28.17	28.06	27.99			27.99(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-33	-10000	-4	-118	0.81	49%	0	-3.5	0.37%	0	-1.2	38	0

6	Mar_27_2012	27.49	28.18	28.1	28.01			27.97(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-29	-10000	-4	-102	0.42	49%	0	5.3	0.37%	0	-1.3	44	0
7	Mar_26_2012	27.49	28.18	28.16	28.03			28.02(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-25	-10000	-8	-76	0.35	49%	0	17.5	0.37%	0	-1.1	48	0
8	Mar_23_2012	27.49	28.19	28.2	28.07			28.04(0.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-4	-57	0.65	49%	0.04	33.3	0.37%	0	-0.9	42	0
9	Mar_22_2012	27.48	28.19	28.23	28.09			27.94(-0.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-10000	-10	-49	0.81	49%	0	43.3	0.37%	0	-1.4	41	0
10	Mar_21_2012	27.48	28.18	28.26	28.14			28.07(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-10000	-14	-32	0.64	51%	0.04	53.1	0.36%	0	-0.6	48	0

11	Mar_20_2012	27.47	28.17	28.26	28.21			28.09(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-10000	-18	-4	0.72	51%	0	59.2	0.36%	0	-0.4	53	0
12	Mar_19_2012	27.47	28.16	28.28	28.3			28.2(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	2	-10000	-10	36	0.56	53%	0.04	69.3	0.36%	0	0.2	59	0
13	Mar_16_2012	27.46	28.13	28.29	28.35			28.17(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	13	-10000	-6	69	0.8	53%	0.04	67.1	0.36%	0	0.2	60	0
14	Mar_15_2012	27.45	28.11	28.3	28.38			28.15(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	20	-10000	-6	98	1.36	49%	0.04	66.3	0.36%	0	0.2	61	0
15	Mar_14_2012	27.44	28.09	28.31	28.41			28.44(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	43	-10000	12	137	1.69	54%	0.04	68.8	0.35%	0	1.3	76	0

16	Mar_13_2012	27.43	28.06	28.27	28.35			28.56(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	48	-10000	18	136	1.34	56%	0.07	68.8	0.35%	0	1.9	84	0
17	Mar_12_2012	27.41	28.01	28.22	28.26			28.42(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	34	-10000	4	122	1.18	54%	0.04	66.3	0.34%	0	1.7	84	0
18	Mar_9_2012	27.4	27.97	28.17	28.24			28.31(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	37	-10000	4	136	1.89	52%	0.07	67.1	0.34%	0	1.5	85	0
19	Mar_8_2012	27.38	27.94	28.13	28.22			28.3(0.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	41	-10000	4	150	0.83	52%	0.04	68.3	0.34%	0	1.6	81	0
20	Mar_7_2012	27.37	27.9	28.09	28.2			28.17(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	41	-10000	4	153	0.98	50%	0.04	72.2	0.34%	0	1.2	75	0

21	Mar_6_2012	27.36	27.88	28.06	28.18			28.12(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	41	-10000	4	153	0.51	50%	0.07	74.7	0.34%	0	1.1	66	0
22	Mar_5_2012	27.34	27.85	28.03	28.16			28.29(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	51	-10000	15	159	0.45	53%	0.04	86.7	0.33%	0	2.1	78	0
23	Mar_2_2012	27.33	27.82	27.96	28.09			28.24(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	44	-10000	13	136	0.55	59%	0.04	98.5	0.33%	0	2.2	80	0
24	Mar_1_2012	27.32	27.78	27.9	28.03			28.17(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	37	-10000	12	111	0.66	59%	0.07	108.2	0.35%	0	2.3	79	0
25	Feb_29_2012	27.3	27.75	27.85	27.97			28.07(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	30	-10000	8	96	0.46	57%		113.8	0.35%	0	2	78	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.