Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Feb. 9, 2012

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.6400 (0.14%) ($27.6000 - $27.6700) on Thu. Feb. 9, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.4% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $27.6400(0.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(66%)    LQD(61%)    EEM(54%)    EWG(54%)    SPY(52%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(6%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(18%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.2% (StdDev 0.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.63(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.51(0.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.27(1.36%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120309

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_9_2012	27.1	27.27	27.51	27.63			27.64(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	38	-10000	2	145	0.47	41%	0	53.8	0.4%	0	1.3	73	0
2	Feb_8_2012	27.1	27.23	27.47	27.62			27.6(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	-10000	7	154	0.4	41%	0	46.7	0.41%	0	1.3	74	0
3	Feb_7_2012	27.1	27.2	27.42	27.58			27.62(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10000	7	155	0.47	41%	0	43.7	0.41%	0	1.5	76	0
4	Feb_6_2012	27.1	27.17	27.36	27.54			27.67(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	52	-10000	16	160	0.83	41%	0.04	38.5	0.41%	0	1.9	82	0
5	Feb_3_2012	27.09	27.14	27.3	27.45			27.64(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	-10000	16	156	0.6	41%	0	29.4	0.41%	0	2.2	80	0

6	Feb_2_2012	27.09	27.11	27.24	27.36			27.55(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	42	-10000	11	133	0.72	41%	-0.04	16.2	0.41%	0	2.2	67	0
7	Feb_1_2012	27.1	27.09	27.19	27.3			27.42(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	-10000	11	120	0.81	38%	0	9.5	0.41%	0	1.9	65	0
8	Jan_31_2012	27.1	27.08	27.14	27.24			27.41(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	38	-10000	16	102	1.89	38%	0	-5.1	0.41%	0	2.1	63	0
9	Jan_30_2012	27.1	27.08	27.07	27.15			27.25(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	4	59	0.74	33%	-0.04	-19.2	0.4%	0	1.3	55	0
10	Jan_27_2012	27.11	27.07	27.03	27.13			27.17(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	12	-10000	4	36	0.44	41%	-0.04	-20	0.4%	0	0.7	51	0

11	Jan_26_2012	27.12	27.07	27.01	27.11			27.26(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	9	24	0.88	41%	-0.04	-20.3	0.42%	0	1.1	53	0
12	Jan_25_2012	27.13	27.08	26.97	27.06			27.09(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	-10000	5	-7	0.4	37%	0	-25.4	0.42%	0	0.1	40	0
13	Jan_24_2012	27.13	27.09	26.96	27.03			26.98(-0.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	2	-10000	9	-21	0.59	37%	-0.04	-25.4	0.42%	0	-0.6	45	0
14	Jan_23_2012	27.14	27.09	26.97	26.98			27.15(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-2	-10000	13	-47	0.63	39%	0	-27	0.41%	0	0.3	40	0
15	Jan_20_2012	27.14	27.1	26.96	26.91			27.07(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-20	-10000	3	-87	0.37	39%	-0.04	-37.9	0.41%	0	-0.2	37	0

16	Jan_19_2012	27.15	27.11	26.97	26.89			27(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-25	-10000	2	-105	0.59	39%	-0.04	-39.4	0.41%	0	-0.6	36	0
17	Jan_18_2012	27.16	27.12	26.99	26.88			26.93(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-30	-10000	-3	-111	1.01	39%	-0.04	-42.4	0.41%	0	-1.1	35	0
18	Jan_17_2012	27.17	27.13	27.01	26.9			26.76(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-10000	-11	-121	0.83	34%	-0.04	-43.9	0.4%	0	-2.1	28	0
19	Jan_13_2012	27.18	27.15	27.07	26.96			26.78(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-35	-10000	-13	-100	0.73	34%	-0.04	-49.1	0.4%	0	-2.5	29	0
20	Jan_12_2012	27.19	27.17	27.13	27.03			26.97(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-23	-10000	-6	-74	0.75	45%	-0.04	-41.7	0.4%	0	-1.5	34	0

21	Jan_11_2012	27.2	27.18	27.16	27.06			26.97(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-24	-10000	-11	-63	0.55	45%	0	-40.9	0.41%	0	-1.8	36	0
22	Jan_10_2012	27.2	27.2	27.2	27.12			27(-0.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-10000	-3	-35	0.96	51%	-0.04	-32.5	0.41%	0	-1.8	44	0
23	Jan_9_2012	27.21	27.21	27.22	27.14			27.07(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-14	-10000	-10	-25	0.3	51%	-0.04	-33.3	0.43%	0	-1.6	51	0
24	Jan_6_2012	27.22	27.22	27.24	27.2			27.12(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-7	4	0.75	54%	-0.04	0	0.43%	0	-1.1	59	0
25	Jan_5_2012	27.23	27.23	27.26	27.24			27.13(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-1	-10000	-7	18	0.75	58%		30.3	0.43%	0	-1.1	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.