Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.7800 (0.33%) ($27.6300 - $27.7800) on Mon. Nov. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.62% (three month average)
RSI   86
Latest Price   $27.7800(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(65%)    LQD(61%)    EEM(53%)    EWG(52%)    SPY(52%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.31% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(6%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(17%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.31% (StdDev 0.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.62(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.5(1.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.21(2.09%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   6.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2011	27.24	27.21	27.5	27.62			27.78(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	35	-10000	8	117	0.4	45%	0.04	93	0.62%	0	1.6	86	0
2	Nov_4_2011	27.23	27.16	27.43	27.55			27.69(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	32	-10000	6	108	0.29	42%	0.04	89.5	0.63%	0	1.5	86	0
3	Nov_3_2011	27.22	27.09	27.35	27.5			27.65(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	27	-10000	2	102	0.48	42%	0.04	86.9	0.63%	0	1.5	86	0
4	Nov_2_2011	27.21	27.03	27.28	27.48			27.52(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	7	102	0.47	44%	0	82.3	0.63%	0	1.3	77	0
5	Nov_1_2011	27.21	26.96	27.23	27.42			27.46(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	31	-10000	8	98	1.04	46%	0	71.1	0.63%	0	1.2	80	0

6	Oct_31_2011	27.21	26.89	27.18	27.35			27.43(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	-10000	8	97	0.67	46%	0.04	61.8	0.64%	0	1.3	84	0
7	Oct_28_2011	27.2	26.84	27.12	27.28			27.45(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-10000	13	96	0.38	48%	0	57.5	0.64%	0	1.5	82	0
8	Oct_27_2011	27.2	26.77	27.07	27.17			27.53(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	33	-10000	13	94	1.06	48%	0	50.7	0.64%	0	2	89	0
9	Oct_26_2011	27.2	26.71	27	27.06			27.23(0.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	-10000	6	92	0.28	46%	0	41.2	0.63%	0	1.5	85	0
10	Oct_25_2011	27.2	26.67	26.96	27.01			27.12(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	-10000	3	102	0.38	46%	0	28.3	0.63%	0	1.4	86	0

11	Oct_24_2011	27.2	26.64	26.91	26.98			27.06(0.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	31	-10000	3	116	0.35	46%	0	13.8	0.63%	0	1.4	87	0
12	Oct_21_2011	27.2	26.6	26.86	26.95			26.93(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	31	-10000	1	120	0.32	46%	0	-3.5	0.63%	0	1.1	66	0
13	Oct_20_2011	27.2	26.58	26.81	26.94			26.98(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	33	-10000	1	130	1.17	47%	0	-20.2	0.62%	0	1.4	72	0
14	Oct_19_2011	27.2	26.57	26.75	26.93			26.97(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	-10000	3	127	0.26	47%	0	-29.2	0.63%	0	1.3	60	0
15	Oct_18_2011	27.2	26.58	26.68	26.9			26.95(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	-10000	10	119	0.23	47%	-0.04	-34.1	0.63%	0	1	61	0

16	Oct_17_2011	27.21	26.6	26.59	26.82			26.9(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	6	88	0.32	47%	0	-42.7	0.63%	0	0.8	57	0
17	Oct_14_2011	27.21	26.61	26.53	26.77			26.88(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	-10000	13	83	0.33	46%	0	-48.1	0.63%	0	0.6	61	0
18	Oct_13_2011	27.21	26.64	26.46	26.66			26.95(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	14	51	0.23	46%	0	-54.3	0.63%	0	0.7	57	0
19	Oct_12_2011	27.21	26.66	26.4	26.54			26.81(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	14	16	0.46	46%	0	-59.7	0.63%	0	0.3	47	0
20	Oct_11_2011	27.21	26.7	26.36	26.42			26.58(-0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	14	-38	0.38	44%	0	-62.9	0.62%	0	-0.2	36	0

21	Oct_10_2011	27.21	26.76	26.35	26.31			26.62(1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-19	-10000	6	-93	0.24	44%	-0.04	-65.2	0.62%	0	-0.2	35	0
22	Oct_7_2011	27.22	26.82	26.31	26.26			26.34(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	-10000	5	-145	0.73	41%	-0.04	-64	0.6%	0	-0.8	30	0
23	Oct_6_2011	27.23	26.89	26.33	26.22			26.37(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-50	-10000	-3	-191	0.48	40%	0	-63.5	0.6%	0	-0.8	29	0
24	Oct_5_2011	27.23	26.97	26.37	26.24			26.21(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-58	-10000	-5	-216	0.41	39%	-0.04	-60.2	0.6%	0	-1.1	24	0
25	Oct_4_2011	27.24	27.06	26.48	26.28			26.01(-1.33%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-69	-10000	-14	-232	0.87	37%		-58.6	0.59%	0	-1.5	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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