Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 27, 2011

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $26.5300 (0.8%) ($26.3800 - $26.5600) on Tue. Sep. 27, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.54% (three month average)
RSI   13
Latest Price   $26.5300(0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(64%)    LQD(61%)    EEM(52%)    EWG(51%)    SPY(51%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.27% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(6%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(16%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.27% (StdDev 0.54%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $23.28(-12.25%)
Resistance Level   $27.46
5 Day Moving Average   $26.71(-0.67%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.08(-2.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.46(-3.39%)
To recent high   -5.3%
To recent low   0.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.89% (three month std-dev: 0.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2011	27.28	27.46	27.08	26.71			26.53(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-82	-10000	-23	-257	0.75	40%	-0.04	-48.1	0.54%	0	-1.8	13	0
2	Sep_26_2011	27.29	27.53	27.21	26.88			26.32(-0.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-80	-10000	-29	-231	0.9	37%	0	-44.4	0.53%	0	-2.6	11	0
3	Sep_23_2011	27.29	27.6	27.37	27.09			26.51(-1.34%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.6	-67	-10000	-26	-188	1.9	39%	-0.04	-42.5	0.53%	0	-2.9	12	0
4	Sep_22_2011	27.3	27.66	27.51	27.28			26.87(-1.58%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.5	-53	-10000	-20	-153	0.78	42%	0	-39.8	0.5%	0	-2.9	16	0
5	Sep_21_2011	27.3	27.7	27.63	27.42			27.3(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-41	-10000	-14	-120	0.2	49%	0.04	-36.8	0.46%	0	-1.9	26	0

6	Sep_20_2011	27.29	27.72	27.7	27.51			27.4(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-10000	-13	-90	0.31	49%	0.04	-24.6	0.46%	0	-1.7	35	0
7	Sep_19_2011	27.28	27.74	27.75	27.59			27.36(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-28	-10000	-16	-65	0.77	49%	0	-3.3	0.46%	0	-2.2	32	0
8	Sep_16_2011	27.28	27.76	27.8	27.69			27.48(-0.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-17	-10000	-13	-29	0.21	47%	0.04	31.5	0.46%	0	-1.9	46	0
9	Sep_15_2011	27.27	27.76	27.85	27.77			27.58(-0.51%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-9	-10000	-14	5	0.25	46%	0.04	66	0.46%	0	-1.4	56	0
10	Sep_14_2011	27.26	27.77	27.87	27.86			27.72(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	5	-10000	-8	44	0.24	47%	0.04	93.6	0.46%	0	-0.4	67	0

11	Sep_13_2011	27.25	27.76	27.88	27.91			27.82(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-10000	-3	67	0.76	47%	0.07	98.1	0.46%	0	0.4	63	0
12	Sep_12_2011	27.23	27.74	27.87	27.91			27.87(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-10000	0	70	0.49	47%	0	98.4	0.46%	0	0.8	53	0
13	Sep_9_2011	27.23	27.71	27.85	27.91			27.87(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	17	-10000	0	69	0.34	47%	0.07	75	0.46%	0	0.8	57	0
14	Sep_8_2011	27.21	27.68	27.82	27.93			28.02(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	6	70	0.27	49%	0.04	53	0.45%	0	1.5	68	0
15	Sep_7_2011	27.2	27.65	27.77	27.89			27.99(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	8	55	0.26	49%	0.07	41.3	0.45%	0	1.5	66	0

16	Sep_6_2011	27.18	27.62	27.74	27.84			27.88(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-10000	5	50	0.49	49%	0.07	23.7	0.45%	0	1.2	71	0
17	Sep_2_2011	27.16	27.58	27.73	27.81			27.88(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	6	61	0.3	49%	0.04	7.2	0.45%	0	1.3	72	0
18	Sep_1_2011	27.15	27.58	27.71	27.77			27.87(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	11	75	0.29	48%	0.07	3.8	0.45%	0	1.4	77	0
19	Aug_31_2011	27.13	27.58	27.68	27.7			27.82(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	-10000	10	80	0.87	50%	0.04	4.8	0.45%	0	1.1	77	0
20	Aug_30_2011	27.12	27.56	27.66	27.64			27.75(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	19	-10000	3	66	0.84	50%	0.04	12	0.46%	0	0.8	57	0

21	Aug_29_2011	27.11	27.57	27.64	27.62			27.75(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	15	-10000	-2	67	0.74	50%	0.04	22.9	0.46%	0	0.8	63	0
22	Aug_26_2011	27.1	27.57	27.6	27.63			27.64(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	-10000	-2	84	0.37	50%	0.07	34.9	0.46%	0	0.3	66	0
23	Aug_25_2011	27.08	27.56	27.56	27.64			27.55(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-3	72	1.15	50%	0.04	44.6	0.46%	0	-0	48	0
24	Aug_24_2011	27.07	27.55	27.56	27.66			27.51(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-5	49	0.24	50%	0.04	48.3	0.46%	0	-0.2	43	0
25	Aug_23_2011	27.06	27.54	27.53	27.69			27.63(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	6	43	0.45	50%		50	0.46%	0	0.3	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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