Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 8, 2011

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.0200 (0.11%) ($27.9800 - $28.0300) on Thu. Sep. 8, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.45% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $28.0200(0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(64%)    LQD(61%)    EEM(52%)    EWG(51%)    SPY(51%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.225% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(6%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(16%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.225% (StdDev 0.45%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.93(0.32%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.82(0.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.68(1.23%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   4.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 0.45%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111008

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_8_2011	27.21	27.68	27.82	27.93			28.02(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	22	-10000	6	70	0.27	49%	0.04	53	0.45%	0	1.5	68	0
2	Sep_7_2011	27.2	27.65	27.77	27.89			27.99(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	20	-10000	8	55	0.26	49%	0.07	41.3	0.45%	0	1.5	66	0
3	Sep_6_2011	27.18	27.62	27.74	27.84			27.88(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-10000	5	50	0.49	49%	0.07	23.7	0.45%	0	1.2	71	0
4	Sep_2_2011	27.16	27.58	27.73	27.81			27.88(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10000	6	61	0.3	49%	0.04	7.2	0.45%	0	1.3	72	0
5	Sep_1_2011	27.15	27.58	27.71	27.77			27.87(0.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	11	75	0.29	48%	0.07	3.8	0.45%	0	1.4	77	0

6	Aug_31_2011	27.13	27.58	27.68	27.7			27.82(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	28	-10000	10	80	0.87	50%	0.04	4.8	0.45%	0	1.1	77	0
7	Aug_30_2011	27.12	27.56	27.66	27.64			27.75(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	19	-10000	3	66	0.84	50%	0.04	12	0.46%	0	0.8	57	0
8	Aug_29_2011	27.11	27.57	27.64	27.62			27.75(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.6	15	-10000	-2	67	0.74	50%	0.04	22.9	0.46%	0	0.8	63	0
9	Aug_26_2011	27.1	27.57	27.6	27.63			27.64(0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	20	-10000	-2	84	0.37	50%	0.07	34.9	0.46%	0	0.3	66	0
10	Aug_25_2011	27.08	27.56	27.56	27.64			27.55(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	16	-10000	-3	72	1.15	50%	0.04	44.6	0.46%	0	-0	48	0

11	Aug_24_2011	27.07	27.55	27.56	27.66			27.51(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	9	-10000	-5	49	0.24	50%	0.04	48.3	0.46%	0	-0.2	43	0
12	Aug_23_2011	27.06	27.54	27.53	27.69			27.63(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	-10000	6	43	0.45	50%	0.04	50	0.46%	0	0.3	42	0
13	Aug_22_2011	27.05	27.51	27.49	27.65			27.8(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	13	12	0.54	52%	0.04	49.5	0.45%	0	1.1	46	0
14	Aug_19_2011	27.04	27.48	27.42	27.57			27.72(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	-10000	16	-36	0.2	52%	0.04	43.2	0.45%	0	0.9	49	0
15	Aug_18_2011	27.03	27.46	27.41	27.47			27.64(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-4	-10000	16	-62	0.33	52%	0.07	33.7	0.45%	0	0.7	52	0

16	Aug_17_2011	27.01	27.43	27.42	27.37			27.65(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-16	-10000	3	-73	0.5	52%	0.04	22.4	0.45%	0	0.8	56	0
17	Aug_16_2011	27	27.41	27.44	27.35			27.46(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	-10000	7	-50	0.43	50%	0.04	18.6	0.44%	0	0.2	56	0
18	Aug_15_2011	26.99	27.39	27.48	27.31			27.4(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	-10000	10	-27	0.64	50%	0.04	14.7	0.44%	0	0	56	0
19	Aug_12_2011	26.98	27.39	27.51	27.25			27.2(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-17	-10000	-13	-30	0.47	46%	0.04	6.6	0.44%	0	-0.6	52	0
20	Aug_11_2011	26.97	27.39	27.55	27.33			27.16(-1.31%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.6	-17	-10000	-23	3	0.6	46%	0.04	13.2	0.44%	0	-0.7	52	0

21	Aug_10_2011	26.96	27.37	27.58	27.47			27.52(0.84%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	3	-10000	-16	58	0.52	51%	0.04	28.3	0.41%	0	0.5	60	0
22	Aug_9_2011	26.95	27.37	27.55	27.56			27.29(0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	7	-10000	-22	94	0.61	49%	0.04	36.8	0.39%	0	-0.2	57	0
23	Aug_8_2011	26.94	27.37	27.54	27.68			27.09(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-2	19	-10000	-22	142	0.81	46%	0.04	47.2	0.39%	0	-0.9	56	0
24	Aug_5_2011	26.93	27.35	27.56	27.8			27.61(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	68	-10000	3	261	1.06	54%	0.04	59.4	0.3%	0	0.9	71	0
25	Aug_4_2011	26.92	27.33	27.52	27.79			27.84(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	93	-10000	26	293	1.64	58%		60.4	0.28%	0	1.8	82	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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