Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Aug. 6, 2011

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.6100 (-0.83%) ($27.3000 - $27.9000) on Sat. Aug. 6, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.3% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $27.6100(-0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.15% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.15% (StdDev 0.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.8(-0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.56(0.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.35(0.95%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.06% (three month std-dev: 0.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110906

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2011	26.93	27.35	27.56	27.8			27.61(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	68	-10000	3	261	1.06	54%	0.04	59.4	0.3%	0	0.9	71	0
2	Aug_4_2011	26.92	27.33	27.52	27.79			27.84(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	93	-10000	26	293	1.64	58%	0.07	60.4	0.28%	0	1.8	82	0
3	Aug_3_2011	26.9	27.29	27.45	27.69			27.96(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	94	-10000	39	258	0.56	62%	0.07	57.9	0.28%	0	2.6	79	0
4	Aug_2_2011	26.88	27.25	27.37	27.54			27.9(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	76	-10000	36	197	0.85	62%	0.04	53.2	0.28%	0	3.1	80	0
5	Aug_1_2011	26.87	27.21	27.28	27.4			27.71(0.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	56	-10000	30	134	0.55	59%	0.04	50.8	0.27%	0	3.1	78	0

6	Jul_29_2011	26.86	27.18	27.21	27.29			27.52(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	35	-10000	20	80	0.39	58%	0.04	62.2	0.26%	0	3.4	65	0
7	Jul_28_2011	26.85	27.16	27.16	27.22			27.36(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	19	-10000	12	38	0.25	54%	0.04	65.4	0.25%	0	2.9	59	0
8	Jul_27_2011	26.84	27.16	27.15	27.18			27.22(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	6	25	0.45	53%	0.04	77.8	0.24%	0	1.6	55	0
9	Jul_26_2011	26.83	27.14	27.14	27.16			27.17(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	9	19	0.33	53%	0.04	72.2	0.24%	0	0.6	54	0
10	Jul_25_2011	26.82	27.13	27.14	27.13			27.19(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	-10000	6	-10	0.31	53%	0.04	54.5	0.24%	0	1	47	0

11	Jul_22_2011	26.81	27.12	27.14	27.11			27.17(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-3	-10000	3	-21	0.26	53%	0.04	50	0.24%	0	0.8	49	0
12	Jul_21_2011	26.8	27.11	27.13	27.1			27.16(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-9	-10000	-3	-25	0.18	53%	0.04	54.5	0.25%	0	0.8	54	0
13	Jul_20_2011	26.79	27.11	27.13	27.1			27.13(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	-10000	0	-14	0.42	55%	0.04	50	0.25%	0	0.4	54	0
14	Jul_19_2011	26.78	27.11	27.12	27.11			27.02(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-6	-10000	-3	-14	0.44	52%	0	42.3	0.24%	0	-1.1	48	0
15	Jul_18_2011	26.78	27.1	27.14	27.12			27.08(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-10000	-6	8	0.33	52%	0.04	26.7	0.24%	0	-0.3	56	0

16	Jul_15_2011	26.77	27.09	27.14	27.14			27.09(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-6	33	0.26	50%	0.04	18.2	0.24%	0	0	59	0
17	Jul_14_2011	26.76	27.08	27.15	27.16			27.21(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	6	55	0.48	53%	0.07	8.1	0.24%	0	1.3	68	0
18	Jul_13_2011	26.74	27.08	27.14	27.16			27.14(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	0	53	0.52	52%	0.04	-3	0.24%	0	0.8	62	0
19	Jul_12_2011	26.73	27.08	27.14	27.14			27.08(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-6	50	0.59	52%	0	-3	0.24%	0	0.1	54	0
20	Jul_11_2011	26.73	27.08	27.13	27.14			27.18(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	0	81	0.23	54%	0.04	5.4	0.23%	0	1.1	74	0

21	Jul_8_2011	26.72	27.08	27.11	27.16			27.18(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	3	90	0.41	54%	0.04	8.1	0.23%	0	1.1	75	0
22	Jul_7_2011	26.71	27.08	27.09	27.15			27.13(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	3	95	0.89	54%	0.07	8.1	0.23%	0	0.6	74	0
23	Jul_6_2011	26.69	27.08	27.09	27.14			27.12(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	3	90	0.42	54%	0.04	8.1	0.23%	0	0.5	55	0
24	Jul_5_2011	26.68	27.08	27.08	27.13			27.21(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	13	81	0.35	57%	0.04	5.4	0.23%	0	1.4	49	0
25	Jul_1_2011	26.67	27.07	27.05	27.09			27.18(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	13	42	0.35	60%		3	0.23%	0	1.2	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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