Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 19, 2011

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.0200 (-0.22%) ($27.0000 - $27.0800) on Tue. Jul. 19, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.24% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $27.0200(-0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(62%)    LQD(61%)    EEM(51%)    SPY(50%)    EWG(49%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(6%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(16%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.12% (StdDev 0.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $27.1
5 Day Moving Average   $27.11(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.12(-0.37%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.1(-0.3%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   2.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.26% (three month std-dev: 0.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2011	26.78		27.12	27.11			27.02(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-6	-10000	-3	-14	0.44	52%	0	42.3	0.24%	0	-1.1	48	0
2	Jul_18_2011	26.78	27.1	27.14	27.12			27.08(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-10000	-6	8	0.33	52%	0.04	26.7	0.24%	0	-0.3	56	0
3	Jul_15_2011	26.77	27.09	27.14	27.14			27.09(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	4	-10000	-6	33	0.26	50%	0.04	18.2	0.24%	0	0	59	0
4	Jul_14_2011	26.76	27.08	27.15	27.16			27.21(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	6	55	0.48	53%	0.07	8.1	0.24%	0	1.3	68	0
5	Jul_13_2011	26.74	27.08	27.14	27.16			27.14(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	0	53	0.52	52%	0.04	-3	0.24%	0	0.8	62	0

6	Jul_12_2011	26.73	27.08	27.14	27.14			27.08(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-6	50	0.59	52%	0	-3	0.24%	0	0.1	54	0
7	Jul_11_2011	26.73	27.08	27.13	27.14			27.18(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	0	81	0.23	54%	0.04	5.4	0.23%	0	1.1	74	0
8	Jul_8_2011	26.72	27.08	27.11	27.16			27.18(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	3	90	0.41	54%	0.04	8.1	0.23%	0	1.1	75	0
9	Jul_7_2011	26.71	27.08	27.09	27.15			27.13(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	3	95	0.89	54%	0.07	8.1	0.23%	0	0.6	74	0
10	Jul_6_2011	26.69	27.08	27.09	27.14			27.12(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	3	90	0.42	54%	0.04	8.1	0.23%	0	0.5	55	0

11	Jul_5_2011	26.68	27.08	27.08	27.13			27.21(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	13	81	0.35	57%	0.04	5.4	0.23%	0	1.4	49	0
12	Jul_1_2011	26.67	27.07	27.05	27.09			27.18(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	13	42	0.35	60%	0.08	3	0.23%	0	1.2	48	0
13	Jun_30_2011	26.65	27.07	27.02	27.05			27.09(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	3	-7	0.31	57%	0.04	0	0.23%	0	0.3	40	0
14	Jun_29_2011	26.64	27.07	27	27.04			27.08(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	6	-42	0.28	57%	0	-3	0.23%	0	0.2	41	0
15	Jun_28_2011	26.64	27.06	26.99	27.04			27.08(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-16	-10000	0	-63	0.43	55%	0.04	0	0.23%	0	0.2	41	0

16	Jun_27_2011	26.63	27.06	27	27.02			27.03(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	6	-63	0.31	55%	0.04	6.1	0.23%	0	-0.4	42	0
17	Jun_24_2011	26.62	27.07	27.01	27			26.99(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-10000	6	-73	0.54	55%	0.04	-5.4	0.23%	0	-0.8	38	0
18	Jun_23_2011	26.61	27.06	27.03	26.98			27(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	10	-79	0.34	55%	0	-16.2	0.23%	0	-0.6	38	0
19	Jun_22_2011	26.61	27.07	27.04	26.95			27.02(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-26	-10000	-3	-93	0.5	55%	0.04	-24.3	0.23%	0	-0.5	44	0
20	Jun_21_2011	26.6	27.07	27.06	26.96			27.05(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-26	-10000	-6	-86	0.53	55%	0.04	-27	0.23%	0	-0.1	48	0

21	Jun_20_2011	26.59	27.06	27.07	26.98			26.92(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-16	-82	0.17	52%	0	-21.6	0.23%	0	-1.4	30	0
22	Jun_17_2011	26.59	27.07	27.09	27.03			26.9(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-25	-10000	-19	-44	0.34	55%	0.04	-2.7	0.23%	0	-1.7	50	0
23	Jun_16_2011	26.58	27.08	27.11	27.09			26.88(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-12	-10000	-16	1	0.43	50%	0	12.1	0.23%	0	-2.2	49	0
24	Jun_15_2011	26.58	27.08	27.14	27.14			27.03(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	4	-10000	-9	41	0.44	50%	0.04	33.3	0.24%	0	-0.7	53	0
25	Jun_14_2011	26.57	27.09	27.15	27.17			27.17(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	3	71	0.57	53%		46.2	0.24%	0	1.1	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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