Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 14, 2011

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.2100 (0.26%) ($27.1300 - $27.2100) on Thu. Jul. 14, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.24% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $27.2100(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(62%)    LQD(61%)    EEM(51%)    SPY(50%)    EWG(49%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(6%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(16%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.12% (StdDev 0.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.16(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.15(0.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.08(0.48%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.37% (three month std-dev: 0.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2011	26.76	27.08	27.15	27.16			27.21(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	-10000	6	55	0.48	53%	0.07	8.1	0.24%	0	1.3	68	0
2	Jul_13_2011	26.74	27.08	27.14	27.16			27.14(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	13	-10000	0	53	0.52	52%	0.04	-3	0.24%	0	0.8	62	0
3	Jul_12_2011	26.73	27.08	27.14	27.14			27.08(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-10000	-6	50	0.59	52%	0	-3	0.24%	0	0.1	54	0
4	Jul_11_2011	26.73	27.08	27.13	27.14			27.18(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	20	-10000	0	81	0.23	54%	0.04	5.4	0.23%	0	1.1	74	0
5	Jul_8_2011	26.72	27.08	27.11	27.16			27.18(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	-10000	3	90	0.41	54%	0.04	8.1	0.23%	0	1.1	75	0

6	Jul_7_2011	26.71	27.08	27.09	27.15			27.13(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	26	-10000	3	95	0.89	54%	0.07	8.1	0.23%	0	0.6	74	0
7	Jul_6_2011	26.69	27.08	27.09	27.14			27.12(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	25	-10000	3	90	0.42	54%	0.04	8.1	0.23%	0	0.5	55	0
8	Jul_5_2011	26.68	27.08	27.08	27.13			27.21(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-10000	13	81	0.35	57%	0.04	5.4	0.23%	0	1.4	49	0
9	Jul_1_2011	26.67	27.07	27.05	27.09			27.18(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	-10000	13	42	0.35	60%	0.08	3	0.23%	0	1.2	48	0
10	Jun_30_2011	26.65	27.07	27.02	27.05			27.09(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	-10000	3	-7	0.31	57%	0.04	0	0.23%	0	0.3	40	0

11	Jun_29_2011	26.64	27.07	27	27.04			27.08(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	-10000	6	-42	0.28	57%	0	-3	0.23%	0	0.2	41	0
12	Jun_28_2011	26.64	27.06	26.99	27.04			27.08(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-16	-10000	0	-63	0.43	55%	0.04	0	0.23%	0	0.2	41	0
13	Jun_27_2011	26.63	27.06	27	27.02			27.03(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	6	-63	0.31	55%	0.04	6.1	0.23%	0	-0.4	42	0
14	Jun_24_2011	26.62	27.07	27.01	27			26.99(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-10000	6	-73	0.54	55%	0.04	-5.4	0.23%	0	-0.8	38	0
15	Jun_23_2011	26.61	27.06	27.03	26.98			27(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	10	-79	0.34	55%	0	-16.2	0.23%	0	-0.6	38	0

16	Jun_22_2011	26.61	27.07	27.04	26.95			27.02(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-26	-10000	-3	-93	0.5	55%	0.04	-24.3	0.23%	0	-0.5	44	0
17	Jun_21_2011	26.6	27.07	27.06	26.96			27.05(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-26	-10000	-6	-86	0.53	55%	0.04	-27	0.23%	0	-0.1	48	0
18	Jun_20_2011	26.59	27.06	27.07	26.98			26.92(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-16	-82	0.17	52%	0	-21.6	0.23%	0	-1.4	30	0
19	Jun_17_2011	26.59	27.07	27.09	27.03			26.9(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-25	-10000	-19	-44	0.34	55%	0.04	-2.7	0.23%	0	-1.7	50	0
20	Jun_16_2011	26.58	27.08	27.11	27.09			26.88(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-12	-10000	-16	1	0.43	50%	0	12.1	0.23%	0	-2.2	49	0

21	Jun_15_2011	26.58	27.08	27.14	27.14			27.03(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	4	-10000	-9	41	0.44	50%	0.04	33.3	0.24%	0	-0.7	53	0
22	Jun_14_2011	26.57	27.09	27.14	27.17			27.17(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	3	71	0.57	53%	0.04	46.2	0.24%	0	1.1	68	0
23	Jun_13_2011	26.56	27.08	27.15	27.17			27.16(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	0	83	0.48	53%	0	46.2	0.24%	0	1.1	61	0
24	Jun_10_2011	26.56	27.08	27.13	27.16			27.19(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	3	71	0.35	53%	0.04	40	0.24%	0	1.5	56	0
25	Jun_9_2011	26.55	27.07	27.1	27.15			27.17(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	20	-10000	6	60	0.31	53%		57.7	0.24%	0	1.4	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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