Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 27, 2011

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.0300 (0.15%) ($26.9600 - $27.0300) on Mon. Jun. 27, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.23% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $27.0300(0.15%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(62%)    LQD(60%)    EEM(51%)    SPY(50%)    EWG(49%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(6%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(16%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.115% (StdDev 0.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

Resistance Level   $27.07
5 Day Moving Average   $27.02(0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27(0.11%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.07(-0.15%)
To recent high   -0.6%
To recent low   2.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.33% (three month std-dev: 0.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110727

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_27_2011	26.63		27	27.02			27.03(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-11	-10000	6	-63	0.31	55%	0.04	6.1	0.23%	0	-0.4	42	0
2	Jun_24_2011	26.62	27.07	27.01	27			26.99(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-14	-10000	6	-73	0.54	55%	0.04	-5.4	0.23%	0	-0.8	38	0
3	Jun_23_2011	26.61	27.06	27.03	26.98			27(-0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10000	10	-79	0.34	55%	0	-16.2	0.23%	0	-0.6	38	0
4	Jun_22_2011	26.61	27.07	27.04	26.95			27.02(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-26	-10000	-3	-93	0.5	55%	0.04	-24.3	0.23%	0	-0.5	44	0
5	Jun_21_2011	26.6	27.07	27.06	26.96			27.05(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-26	-10000	-6	-86	0.53	55%	0.04	-27	0.23%	0	-0.1	48	0

6	Jun_20_2011	26.59	27.06	27.07	26.98			26.92(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-33	-10000	-16	-82	0.17	52%	0	-21.6	0.23%	0	-1.4	30	0
7	Jun_17_2011	26.59	27.07	27.09	27.03			26.9(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-25	-10000	-19	-44	0.34	55%	0.04	-2.7	0.23%	0	-1.7	50	0
8	Jun_16_2011	26.58	27.08	27.11	27.09			26.88(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-12	-10000	-16	1	0.43	50%	0	12.1	0.23%	0	-2.2	49	0
9	Jun_15_2011	26.58	27.08	27.14	27.14			27.03(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	4	-10000	-9	41	0.44	50%	0.04	33.3	0.24%	0	-0.7	53	0
10	Jun_14_2011	26.57	27.09	27.14	27.17			27.17(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	3	71	0.57	53%	0.04	46.2	0.24%	0	1.1	68	0

11	Jun_13_2011	26.56	27.08	27.15	27.17			27.16(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	-10000	0	83	0.48	53%	0	46.2	0.24%	0	1.1	61	0
12	Jun_10_2011	26.56	27.08	27.13	27.16			27.19(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	-10000	3	71	0.35	53%	0.04	40	0.24%	0	1.5	56	0
13	Jun_9_2011	26.55	27.07	27.1	27.15			27.17(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	20	-10000	6	60	0.31	53%	0.04	57.7	0.24%	0	1.4	56	0
14	Jun_8_2011	26.54	27.07	27.09	27.13			27.17(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-10000	3	49	0.14	53%	0.04	65.4	0.24%	0	1.6	57	0
15	Jun_7_2011	26.53	27.06	27.07	27.13			27.13(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	8	-10000	0	33	0.65	53%	0	86.4	0.24%	0	1.2	56	0

16	Jun_6_2011	26.53	27.05	27.06	27.12			27.13(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-10000	9	41	0.21	53%	0.04	109.1	0.24%	0	1.3	58	0
17	Jun_3_2011	26.52	27.04	27.05	27.09			27.14(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	-10000	13	35	0.25	53%	0	92.3	0.24%	0	1.4	63	0
18	Jun_2_2011	26.52	27.03	27.05	27.05			27.1(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	3	9	0.2	53%	0.04	96.2	0.24%	0	1	46	0
19	Jun_1_2011	26.51	27.02	27.04	27.04			27.08(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	9	1	0.57	53%	0	93.3	0.24%	0	0.7	50	0
20	May_31_2011	26.51	27.01	27.03	27.01			27.17(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	4	-10000	9	-11	0.55	56%	0	106.7	0.24%	0	2	56	0

21	May_27_2011	26.51	26.99	27.03	26.98			26.96(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	-10	-37	0.13	50%	0.04	89.2	0.22%	0	-0.3	47	0
22	May_26_2011	26.5	26.98	27.02	27.01			26.96(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-6	-19	0.25	50%	0	81.3	0.22%	0	-0.2	54	0
23	May_25_2011	26.5	26.96	27.03	27.03			27.02(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-4	15	0.18	52%	0	78.6	0.22%	0	0.4	61	0
24	May_24_2011	26.5	26.94	27.04	27.04			26.96(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-4	39	0.44	50%	0	76.2	0.22%	0	0.1	58	0
25	May_23_2011	26.5	26.92	27.05	27.05			27.01(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	0	68	0.33	50%		73.2	0.22%	0	0.5	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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