Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.0800 (-0.33%) ($27.0700 - $27.1200) on Wed. Jun. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.24% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $27.0800(-0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(62%)    LQD(60%)    EEM(51%)    SPY(50%)    EWG(49%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.12% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(6%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(16%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.12% (StdDev 0.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.04(0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.04(0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.02(0.22%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   3.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.3% (three month std-dev: 0.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20110701

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_1_2011	26.51	27.02	27.04	27.04			27.08(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	9	1	0.57	53%	0	93.3	0.24%	0	0.7	50	0
2	May_31_2011	26.51	27.01	27.03	27.01			27.17(0.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	2	4	-10000	9	-11	0.55	56%	0	106.7	0.24%	0	2	56	0
3	May_27_2011	26.51	26.99	27.03	26.98			26.96(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-17	-10000	-10	-37	0.13	50%	0.04	89.2	0.22%	0	-0.3	47	0
4	May_26_2011	26.5	26.98	27.02	27.01			26.96(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-6	-19	0.25	50%	0	81.3	0.22%	0	-0.2	54	0
5	May_25_2011	26.5	26.96	27.03	27.03			27.02(0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-10000	-4	15	0.18	52%	0	78.6	0.22%	0	0.4	61	0

6	May_24_2011	26.5	26.94	27.04	27.04			26.96(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	7	-10000	-4	39	0.44	50%	0	76.2	0.22%	0	0.1	58	0
7	May_23_2011	26.5	26.92	27.04	27.04			27.01(-0.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	0	68	0.33	50%	0	73.2	0.22%	0	0.5	64	0
8	May_20_2011	26.5	26.9	27.05	27.05			27.08(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	6	95	0.18	52%	0.04	71.6	0.22%	0	0.9	75	0
9	May_19_2011	26.49	26.87	27.03	27.03			27.07(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	22	-10000	-4	99	0.19	52%	0	65.4	0.22%	0	1	77	0
10	May_18_2011	26.49	26.84	27.02	27.03			27.06(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	34	-10000	0	134	0.25	52%	0.04	66.7	0.22%	0	1	80	0

11	May_17_2011	26.48	26.81	27	27.04			27.04(0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	38	-10000	-4	162	0.26	52%	0	63.4	0.22%	0	1	80	0
12	May_16_2011	26.48	26.78	26.98	27.05			27.02(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	53	-10000	4	201	0.5	52%	0.04	58.1	0.22%	0	1	82	0
13	May_13_2011	26.47	26.76	26.96	27.05			26.96(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	55	-10000	0	219	1.08	50%	0	55.8	0.23%	0	0.9	82	0
14	May_12_2011	26.47	26.74	26.94	27.04			27.13(0.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	80	-10000	18	267	1.02	58%	0.04	55.8	0.21%	0	1.7	98	0
15	May_11_2011	26.46	26.71	26.89	26.99			27.07(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	73	-10000	14	251	0.39	55%	0	54.4	0.21%	0	1.7	96	0

16	May_10_2011	26.46	26.68	26.84	26.95			27.05(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	73	-10000	14	248	0.35	55%	0.04	53.3	0.21%	0	1.9	96	0
17	May_9_2011	26.45	26.65	26.79	26.91			27.01(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	74	-10000	18	241	0.28	48%	0	54.4	0.21%	0	2	96	0
18	May_6_2011	26.45	26.63	26.73	26.86			26.92(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	59	-10000	13	198	0.16	44%	0.04	60.7	0.23%	0	1.9	85	0
19	May_5_2011	26.44	26.61	26.69	26.82			26.88(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	58	-10000	17	179	0.35	44%	0	60.4	0.23%	0	1.9	72	0
20	May_4_2011	26.44	26.59	26.66	26.77			26.88(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	53	-10000	19	154	0.28	44%	0	66.7	0.23%	0	2.4	72	0

21	May_3_2011	26.44	26.57	26.61	26.71			26.85(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	47	-10000	23	119	0.17	44%	0	71.1	0.23%	0	2.8	71	0
22	May_2_2011	26.44	26.55	26.57	26.64			26.77(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	30	-10000	17	69	0.34	40%	0	80	0.23%	0	2.7	65	0
23	Apr_29_2011	26.44	26.54	26.54	26.59			26.71(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	17	-10000	13	29	0.38	40%	-0.04	87	0.23%	0	2.8	58	0
24	Apr_28_2011	26.45	26.52	26.52	26.55			26.63(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	6	-10000	7	3	0.53	35%	0	89.5	0.23%	0	2.2	56	0
25	Apr_27_2011	26.45	26.51	26.51	26.53			26.6(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	10	-9	0.34	35%		60.9	0.23%	0	1.5	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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