Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 9, 2011

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.0100 (0.33%) ($26.9500 - $27.0300) on Mon. May. 9, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.21% (three month average)
RSI   96
Latest Price   $27.0100(0.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(62%)    LQD(60%)    EEM(51%)    SPY(50%)    EWG(49%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.105% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(6%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(16%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.105% (StdDev 0.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.91(0.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.79(0.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.65(1.35%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   3.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.68% (three month std-dev: 0.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110609

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_9_2011	26.45	26.65	26.79	26.91			27.01(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	74	-10000	18	241	0.28	48%	0	54.4	0.21%	0	2	96	0
2	May_6_2011	26.45	26.63	26.73	26.86			26.92(0.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	59	-10000	13	198	0.16	44%	0.04	60.7	0.23%	0	1.9	85	0
3	May_5_2011	26.44	26.61	26.69	26.82			26.88(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	58	-10000	17	179	0.35	44%	0	60.4	0.23%	0	1.9	72	0
4	May_4_2011	26.44	26.59	26.66	26.77			26.88(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	53	-10000	19	154	0.28	44%	0	66.7	0.23%	0	2.4	72	0
5	May_3_2011	26.44	26.57	26.61	26.71			26.85(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	47	-10000	23	119	0.17	44%	0	71.1	0.23%	0	2.8	71	0

6	May_2_2011	26.44	26.55	26.57	26.64			26.77(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	30	-10000	17	69	0.34	40%	0	80	0.23%	0	2.7	65	0
7	Apr_29_2011	26.44	26.54	26.54	26.59			26.71(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	17	-10000	13	29	0.38	40%	-0.04	87	0.23%	0	2.8	58	0
8	Apr_28_2011	26.45	26.52	26.52	26.55			26.63(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	6	-10000	7	3	0.53	35%	0	89.5	0.23%	0	2.2	56	0
9	Apr_27_2011	26.45	26.51	26.51	26.53			26.6(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	5	-10000	10	-9	0.34	35%	-0.04	60.9	0.23%	0	1.5	52	0
10	Apr_26_2011	26.46	26.5	26.5	26.5			26.51(0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-0	-10000	7	-23	0.35	29%	-0.04	46.2	0.23%	0	0.1	50	0

11	Apr_25_2011	26.47	26.5	26.5	26.48			26.5(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-5	-10000	3	-30	0.16	29%	-0.04	30	0.23%	0	0.1	51	0
12	Apr_21_2011	26.48	26.49	26.51	26.47			26.51(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-10	-10000	-3	-30	0.17	29%	-0.04	30	0.23%	0	0.3	49	0
13	Apr_20_2011	26.49	26.48	26.51	26.48			26.52(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-6	-10000	-3	-14	0.78	25%	0	43.3	0.23%	0	0.5	61	0
14	Apr_19_2011	26.49	26.48	26.52	26.49			26.46(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-10000	-3	4	0.59	21%	-0.04	56.7	0.24%	0	-0.1	61	0
15	Apr_18_2011	26.5	26.48	26.53	26.5			26.41(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-0	-10000	-9	26	0.68	21%	-0.04	55.9	0.24%	0	-0.7	61	0

16	Apr_15_2011	26.51	26.47	26.53	26.53			26.47(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-9	56	0.22	21%	0	61.8	0.24%	0	0	69	0
17	Apr_14_2011	26.51	26.46	26.54	26.53			26.55(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	21	-10000	0	85	0.32	20%	-0.04	57.9	0.24%	0	0.9	66	0
18	Apr_13_2011	26.52	26.45	26.53	26.53			26.55(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	-10000	0	86	0.45	20%	0	45.2	0.25%	0	0.9	66	0
19	Apr_12_2011	26.52	26.43	26.52	26.56			26.54(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	24	-10000	3	88	0.25	20%	-0.04	33.3	0.25%	0	1	66	0
20	Apr_11_2011	26.53	26.42	26.5	26.55			26.56(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	24	-10000	3	88	0.3	20%	-0.04	28.6	0.25%	0	1.3	73	0

21	Apr_8_2011	26.54	26.41	26.47	26.54			26.59(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	-10000	3	78	0.33	20%	-0.04	28.6	0.25%	0	1.6	68	0
22	Apr_7_2011	26.55	26.41	26.45	26.53			26.55(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	9	80	0.18	20%	-0.04	36.8	0.25%	0	1.5	70	0
23	Apr_6_2011	26.56	26.4	26.44	26.5			26.56(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	30	-10000	12	82	0.35	17%	-0.04	41.2	0.25%	0	1.8	75	0
24	Apr_5_2011	26.57	26.4	26.42	26.46			26.51(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	26	-10000	8	79	0.81	17%	-0.04	41.2	0.26%	0	1.3	78	0
25	Apr_4_2011	26.58	26.39	26.4	26.43			26.5(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	24	-10000	11	64	0.75	25%		46.7	0.27%	0	1.4	60	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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