Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Mar. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $26.3600 (0.27%) ($26.2700 - $26.3800) on Mon. Mar. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.31% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $26.3600(0.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(62%)    LQD(60%)    EEM(51%)    SPY(50%)    EWG(49%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(6%)    SHY(7%)    TLT(16%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.155% (StdDev 0.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $26.28(0.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $26.19(0.65%)
20 Day Moving Average   $26.15(0.8%)
To recent high   -3%
To recent low   1.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.38% (three month std-dev: 0.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110407

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_7_2011	26.97		26.19	26.28			26.36(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	27	-10000	7	86	0.34	8%	-0.07	-5.3	0.31%	0	2.1	70	0
2	Mar_4_2011	26.99		26.16	26.25			26.29(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	-10000	10	76	0.81	8%	-0.07	-13.2	0.31%	0	1.4	67	0
3	Mar_3_2011	27.01		26.14	26.21			26.27(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	23	-10000	10	62	0.3	8%	-0.07	-23.7	0.31%	0	1.2	66	0
4	Mar_2_2011	27.03		26.12	26.17			26.26(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	-10000	12	45	0.19	15%	-0.07	-33.3	0.31%	0	1	63	0
5	Mar_1_2011	27.05	26.15	26.09	26.12			26.22(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	-10000	7	5	0.2	26%	-0.07	-45.7	0.32%	0	0.6	42	0

6	Feb_28_2011	27.07	26.15	26.08	26.09			26.2(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	4	-18	0.32	21%	-0.07	-60.9	0.36%	0	0.3	43	0
7	Feb_25_2011	27.09	26.16	26.07	26.07			26.11(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-10000	2	-39	0.5	21%	-0.11	-71.7	0.36%	0	-0.4	33	0
8	Feb_24_2011	27.12	26.17	26.07	26.07			26.08(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-15	-10000	0	-58	0.32	20%	-0.07	-68	0.36%	0	-0.7	28	0
9	Feb_23_2011	27.14	26.19	26.06	26.07			26.01(-0.12%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-20	-10000	0	-78	0.35	20%	-0.07	-67.9	0.36%	0	-1.3	18	0
10	Feb_22_2011	27.16	26.21	26.09	26.06			26.04(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-10000	-2	-82	0.58	20%	-0.07	-73.6	0.36%	0	-1.2	31	0

11	Feb_18_2011	27.18	26.23	26.11	26.06			26.09(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-21	-10000	0	-82	0.3	23%	-0.07	-77.4	0.36%	0	-1	36	0
12	Feb_17_2011	27.2	26.25	26.13	26.06			26.08(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-10000	0	-81	0.58	28%	-0.07	-88.7	0.37%	0	-1.2	34	0
13	Feb_16_2011	27.22	26.26	26.15	26.06			26.07(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	0	-82	0.32	25%	-0.04	-93	0.38%	0	-1.3	30	0
14	Feb_15_2011	27.23	26.28	26.19	26.07			26.01(-0.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-28	-10000	-11	-80	0.58	24%	-0.07	-98.2	0.41%	0	-1.8	22	0
15	Feb_14_2011	27.25	26.31	26.22	26.13			26.09(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-21	-10000	-5	-68	0.75	24%	-0.07	-100	0.42%	0	-1.6	26	0

16	Feb_11_2011	27.27	26.34	26.24	26.16			26.09(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-22	-10000	-7	-67	0.3	22%	-0.04	-96.2	0.43%	0	-1.8	24	0
17	Feb_10_2011	27.28	26.37	26.26	26.2			26.08(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-22	-10000	-9	-61	0.22	22%	-0.07	-75.4	0.43%	0	-1.8	32	0
18	Feb_9_2011	27.3	26.4	26.29	26.25			26.1(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-10000	-13	-48	0.4	21%	-0.04	-68.9	0.43%	0	-1.9	35	0
19	Feb_8_2011	27.31	26.43	26.32	26.25			26.28(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-8	-10000	0	-31	0.37	22%	-0.04	-68.4	0.43%	0	-1	34	0
20	Feb_7_2011	27.32	26.45	26.34	26.32			26.25(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-2	-38	0.36	22%	-0.07	-70.2	0.43%	0	-1.3	28	0

21	Feb_4_2011	27.34	26.47	26.36	26.32			26.3(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-10000	0	-42	0.32	22%	-0.04	-65	0.43%	0	-1.1	29	0
22	Feb_3_2011	27.35	26.49	26.36	26.32			26.34(-0.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-10000	0	-59	0.29	25%	-0.04	-68.4	0.44%	0	-1	25	0
23	Feb_2_2011	27.36	26.51	26.37	26.33			26.41(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-21	-10000	-2	-76	0.51	27%	-0.04	-58.3	0.44%	0	-0.6	29	0
24	Feb_1_2011	27.37	26.53	26.38	26.34			26.31(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-4	-85	0.29	27%	-0.04	-44.1	0.44%	0	-1.2	25	0
25	Jan_31_2011	27.38	26.56	26.41	26.36			26.29(-0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-27	-10000	-7	-86	0.36	27%		-36.8	0.44%	0	-1.5	23	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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