Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Dec. 7, 2010

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.1700 (-0.55%) ($27.1200 - $27.4300) on Tue. Dec. 7, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.43% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $27.1700(-0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(61%)    LQD(60%)    EEM(51%)    EWG(49%)    SPY(49%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(6%)    IGOV(7%)    TLT(16%)    GLD(22%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.215% (StdDev 0.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $27.45
5 Day Moving Average   $27.23(-0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.21(-0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.45(-1.02%)
To recent high   -4.9%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.31% (three month std-dev: 0.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110107

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_7_2010	27.7	27.45	27.21	27.23			27.17(-0.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	-10000	10	-46	0.94	38%	0.04	-83.2	0.43%	0	-0.8	49	0
2	Dec_6_2010	27.69	27.51	27.24	27.17			27.32(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-13	-10000	8	-74	3.59	40%	0.04	-75.8	0.43%	0	-0.5	41	0
3	Dec_3_2010	27.68	27.57	27.25	27.17			27.3(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-28	-10000	0	-110	0.43	40%	0.04	-68.3	0.43%	0	-0.6	35	0
4	Dec_2_2010	27.67	27.63	27.28	27.12			27.24(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-37	-10000	-3	-138	0.64	40%	0.04	-59.5	0.43%	0	-0.8	30	0
5	Dec_1_2010	27.66	27.69	27.3	27.14			27.11(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-10000	-10	-170	1.02	38%	0.04	-54.5	0.43%	0	-1.1	26	0

6	Nov_30_2010	27.65	27.75	27.31	27.2			26.87(-0.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-69	-10000	-21	-213	1.22	34%	0	-50.3	0.41%	0	-1.7	17	0
7	Nov_29_2010	27.65	27.82	27.39	27.32			27.1(-0.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-66	-10000	-13	-226	1.16	36%	0.04	-48.9	0.4%	0	-1.5	17	0
8	Nov_26_2010	27.64	27.89	27.47	27.39			27.28(-0.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-68	-10000	-11	-240	0.09	35%	0.07	-46.2	0.4%	0	-1.3	17	0
9	Nov_24_2010	27.62	27.94	27.54	27.45			27.32(-0.47%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-66	-10000	-6	-247	0.58	35%	0.07	-44.6	0.4%	0	-1.4	17	0
10	Nov_23_2010	27.6	27.98	27.63	27.48			27.45(0.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-58	-10000	8	-255	0.69	36%	-0.04	-46	0.4%	0	-1.3	22	0

11	Nov_22_2010	27.61	28.02	27.7	27.44			27.44(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-75	-10000	-6	-283	0.88	36%	0.07	-49.7	0.4%	0	-1.5	28	0
12	Nov_19_2010	27.59	28.07	27.8	27.47			27.46(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-81	-10000	-17	-272	0.43	38%	0.04	-50.4	0.4%	0	-1.6	33	0
13	Nov_18_2010	27.58	28.1	27.9	27.56			27.59(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-74	-10000	-18	-241	0.51	39%	0.07	-50.4	0.4%	0	-1.5	34	0
14	Nov_17_2010	27.56	28.13	28	27.66			27.46(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-69	-10000	-25	-202	0.5	41%	0.04	-49.6	0.4%	0	-2	32	0
15	Nov_16_2010	27.55	28.17	28.11	27.8			27.25(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-65	-10000	-36	-152	1.17	38%	0.04	-46.2	0.4%	0	-3.1	29	0

16	Nov_15_2010	27.54	28.22	28.23	28			27.61(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-48	-10000	-32	-96	0.72	42%	0.07	-45.9	0.37%	0	-2.9	33	0
17	Nov_12_2010	27.52	28.26	28.3	28.17			27.88(-0.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-30	-10000	-26	-43	1.01	44%	0.07	-31.6	0.35%	0	-2.4	37	0
18	Nov_11_2010	27.5	28.28	28.35	28.3			28.1(-0.21%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-13	-10000	-21	11	0.37	47%	0.07	-4	0.34%	0	-1.3	51	0
19	Nov_10_2010	27.48	28.3	28.36	28.4			28.16(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	2	-10000	-15	54	0.46	47%	0.07	26.5	0.34%	0	-1	54	0
20	Nov_9_2010	27.46	28.31	28.36	28.47			28.23(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.7	18	-10000	-4	83	0.48	47%	0.07	53.1	0.34%	0	-0.6	54	0

21	Nov_8_2010	27.44	28.32	28.37	28.49			28.47(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	-10000	9	114	0.4	52%	0.11	69.4	0.32%	0	1.1	68	0
22	Nov_5_2010	27.41	28.31	28.35	28.45			28.54(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	34	-10000	11	104	0.24	52%	0.11	73.5	0.32%	0	1.6	62	0
23	Nov_4_2010	27.38	28.29	28.31	28.4			28.58(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	32	-10000	16	78	0.56	52%	0.07	78.3	0.32%	0	2.2	58	0
24	Nov_3_2010	27.36	28.26	28.27	28.33			28.51(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	21	-10000	16	36	0.45	52%	0.11	81	0.32%	0	2.1	50	0
25	Nov_2_2010	27.33	28.24	28.23	28.26			28.37(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	-10000	4	-12	0.38	53%		73.8	0.32%	0	1.1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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