Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 21, 2010

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $28.1300 (-0.18%) ($28.1000 - $28.1800) on Thu. Oct. 21, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.33% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $28.1300(-0.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(61%)    LQD(59%)    EEM(51%)    EWG(49%)    SPY(49%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.165% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(7%)    IGOV(7%)    TLT(16%)    GLD(23%)    USO(24%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.165% (StdDev 0.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.2(-0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.26(-0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.07(0.21%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.93% (three month std-dev: 0.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20101121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2010	27.12	28.07		28.2			28.13(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-10000	-13	55	0.41	50%	0.07	64.5	0.33%	0	0.2	66	0
2	Oct_20_2010	27.1	28.05	28.26	28.26			28.18(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10000	-11	92	0.27	50%	0.11	70	0.33%	0	0.5	67	0
3	Oct_19_2010	27.07	28.02	28.25	28.31			28.11(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	27	-10000	-8	131	0.43	50%	0.04	74.8	0.33%	0	0.3	68	0
4	Oct_18_2010	27.06	27.99	28.24	28.35			28.24(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	40	-10000	-3	169	0.36	53%	0.11	71.1	0.32%	0	0.8	78	0
5	Oct_15_2010	27.03	27.95	28.21	28.36			28.33(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	55	-10000	7	198	0.3	55%	0.07	67.8	0.32%	0	1.2	86	0

6	Oct_14_2010	27.01	27.9	28.17	28.33			28.44(-0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	65	-10000	16	213	0.34	58%	0.15	65.3	0.31%	0	1.6	95	0
7	Oct_13_2010	26.97	27.85	28.11	28.26			28.45(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	66	-10000	18	208	0.43	58%	0.11	61.3	0.31%	0	1.9	95	0
8	Oct_12_2010	26.94	27.81	28.04	28.18			28.3(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	63	-10000	16	202	0.59	55%	0.07	61.4	0.31%	0	1.8	95	0
9	Oct_11_2010	26.92	27.77	27.99	28.11			28.29(0.5%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	60	-10000	16	190	0.9	55%	0.11	57.4	0.31%	0	2	95	0
10	Oct_8_2010	26.89	27.73	27.92	28.04			28.15(0.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	56	-10000	14	182	0.42	51%	0.11	51.8	0.31%	0	1.8	95	0

11	Oct_7_2010	26.86	27.69	27.87	27.98			28.09(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	50	-10000	9	172	0.8	51%	0.07	43.4	0.31%	0	1.9	92	0
12	Oct_6_2010	26.84	27.67	27.82	27.94			28.09(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	54	-10000	14	172	0.51	51%	0.11	39.1	0.31%	0	2.2	87	0
13	Oct_5_2010	26.81	27.63	27.76	27.88			27.94(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	46	-10000	9	155	0.43	47%	0.07	32.8	0.31%	0	1.9	77	0
14	Oct_4_2010	26.79	27.62	27.72	27.84			27.93(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	-10000	14	141	0.3	47%	0.07	27.8	0.31%	0	2.1	70	0
15	Oct_1_2010	26.77	27.61	27.67	27.78			27.85(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	-10000	12	111	0.56	47%	0.07	23.5	0.31%	0	1.7	68	0

16	Sep_30_2010	26.75	27.6	27.63	27.73			27.88(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	32	-10000	12	90	0.72	47%	0.07	10.6	0.31%	0	2.2	74	0
17	Sep_29_2010	26.73	27.59	27.58	27.68			27.81(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	12	61	0.29	47%	0.07	-9.3	0.31%	0	1.8	61	0
18	Sep_28_2010	26.71	27.59	27.55	27.63			27.73(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	17	-10000	9	42	0.34	47%	0.04	-35	0.31%	0	1.4	62	0
19	Sep_27_2010	26.7	27.59	27.53	27.59			27.65(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	12	22	0.39	47%	0.11	-60	0.31%	0	0.6	47	0
20	Sep_24_2010	26.67	27.58	27.52	27.54			27.6(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	10	-15	0.18	47%	0.08	-90	0.31%	0	0.2	37	0

21	Sep_23_2010	26.65	27.59	27.52	27.5			27.61(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	7	-48	0.21	47%	0.08	-97.7	0.32%	0	0.2	43	0
22	Sep_22_2010	26.63	27.6	27.5	27.47			27.55(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10000	3	-72	0.35	47%	0.04	-86.3	0.32%	0	-0.4	40	0
23	Sep_21_2010	26.62	27.62	27.49	27.46			27.53(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	-10000	-3	-87	0.36	47%	0.04	-75.9	0.32%	0	-0.6	44	0
24	Sep_20_2010	26.61	27.65	27.51	27.47			27.39(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-7	-89	0.29	41%	0.08	-58.5	0.32%	0	-1.4	36	0
25	Sep_17_2010	26.59	27.68	27.55	27.5			27.41(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-3	-67	0.38	41%		-39.1	0.32%	0	-1.4	40	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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