Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Sun. Sep. 26, 2010

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $27.6000 (-0.04%) ($27.5500 - $27.6100) on Sun. Sep. 26, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.31% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $27.6000(-0.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.155% (StdDev 0.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.54(0.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.52(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.58(0.07%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   5.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.4% (three month std-dev: 0.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20101026

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_24_2010	26.67	27.58	27.52	27.54			27.6(-0.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	-10000	10	-15	0.18	47%	0.08	-90	0.31%	0	0.2	37	0
2	Sep_23_2010	26.65	27.59	27.52	27.5			27.61(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-7	-10000	7	-48	0.21	47%	0.08	-97.7	0.32%	0	0.2	43	0
3	Sep_22_2010	26.63	27.6	27.5	27.47			27.55(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10000	3	-72	0.35	47%	0.04	-86.3	0.32%	0	-0.4	40	0
4	Sep_21_2010	26.62	27.62	27.49	27.46			27.53(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-24	-10000	-3	-87	0.36	47%	0.04	-75.9	0.32%	0	-0.6	44	0
5	Sep_20_2010	26.61	27.65	27.51	27.47			27.39(-0.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-28	-10000	-7	-89	0.29	41%	0.08	-58.5	0.32%	0	-1.4	36	0

6	Sep_17_2010	26.59	27.68	27.55	27.5			27.41(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10000	-3	-67	0.38	41%	0.04	-39.1	0.32%	0	-1.4	40	0
7	Sep_16_2010	26.58	27.7	27.58	27.51			27.45(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-10000	-7	-72	0.26	41%	0.04	-31.9	0.32%	0	-1.3	33	0
8	Sep_15_2010	26.57	27.72	27.61	27.54			27.51(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-16	-10000	3	-72	0.26	41%	0.04	-26.2	0.32%	0	-1.2	31	0
9	Sep_14_2010	26.56	27.74	27.62	27.53			27.57(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-10000	-4	-95	0.64	41%	0.04	-23	0.32%	0	-1	32	0
10	Sep_13_2010	26.55	27.74	27.63	27.55			27.55(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-40	-10000	-14	-116	0.55	41%	0.08	-18	0.32%	0	-1.2	28	0

11	Sep_10_2010	26.53	27.75	27.64	27.61			27.47(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-39	-10000	-11	-121	0.35	48%	0.04	-6.6	0.32%	0	-1.6	25	0
12	Sep_9_2010	26.52	27.75	27.68	27.66			27.58(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-10000	-7	-108	0.3	52%	0.04	10.3	0.32%	0	-1.2	35	0
13	Sep_8_2010	26.51	27.77	27.71	27.69			27.5(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-29	-10000	-7	-93	0.83	52%	0.04	27.8	0.32%	0	-1.8	37	0
14	Sep_7_2010	26.5	27.77	27.76	27.69			27.67(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-20	-10000	0	-79	0.38	51%	0.04	48	0.31%	0	-0.8	39	0
15	Sep_3_2010	26.49	27.78	27.8	27.72			27.81(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-8	-10000	7	-52	0.47	56%	0.04	51.7	0.32%	0	0.2	58	0

16	Sep_2_2010	26.48	27.77	27.82	27.69			27.73(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	-10000	-4	-43	0.28	56%	0.08	55.7	0.32%	0	-0.2	59	0
17	Sep_1_2010	26.46	27.75	27.84	27.71			27.73(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-12	-10000	-9	-22	0.63	56%	0.04	61.1	0.32%	0	-0.1	53	0
18	Aug_31_2010	26.45	27.73	27.85	27.75			27.65(-0.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-10	-10000	-14	2	0.47	56%	0.04	69.6	0.32%	0	-0.4	51	0
19	Aug_30_2010	26.44	27.72	27.85	27.81			27.68(0.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-2	-10000	-16	39	0.33	56%	0.04	78.2	0.32%	0	-0.2	52	0
20	Aug_27_2010	26.43	27.7	27.85	27.88			27.64(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-10000	-18	67	0.51	56%	0.08	82.2	0.33%	0	-0.2	55	0

21	Aug_26_2010	26.41	27.67	27.88	27.96			27.84(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10000	-5	116	0.5	66%	0.04	86.6	0.31%	0	0.5	69	0
22	Aug_25_2010	26.4	27.63	27.86	27.98			27.94(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	39	-10000	4	144	0.99	72%	0.08	84.6	0.32%	0	0.9	76	0
23	Aug_24_2010	26.38	27.58	27.84	27.96			27.96(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	41	-10000	2	159	0.27	72%	0.08	81.7	0.33%	0	1.1	80	0
24	Aug_23_2010	26.36	27.53	27.81	27.95			28.04(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	62	-10000	18	193	0.45	72%	0.08	85.1	0.32%	0	1.4	83	0
25	Aug_20_2010	26.34	27.47	27.76	27.87			28.03(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	60	-10000	19	182	0.4	60%		83.3	0.33%	0	1.5	84	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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